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【广发金工】如何挖掘景气向上,持续增长企业
摘要 盈利、成长是选股的重要变量: 在2020年8月26日广发金融工程团队发布了关于长线选股系列报告 (二):《如何挖掘景气向上,持续增长企业》,围绕盈利和成长两大维度,辅助个股质量、价值等维度 对个股进行精选。本篇报告对该策略的表现进行跟踪,以下如无特别说明,本篇报告数据来源均为 Wind。 实证分析: 在回测期内,等权重策略在历史回测期内相对中证800指数年化波动率为13.63%,年化信息 比为1.19。组合从个股持股数量上看,平均每期持股数量约为55只,每期组合内个股的平均流通市值为 140亿元左右;从历史组合每期入选个股的行业分布中可以看出,医药生物、化工、电子、机械设备、 食品饮料等行业个股入选次数较多。 风险提示: 本专题报告所述模型用量化方法通过历史数据统计、建模和测算完成,所得结论与规律在 市场政策、环境变化时可能存在失效风险;策略在市场结构改变时有可能存在策略失效风险。策略在交 易行为改变时存在可能失效风险。 一、引言 在2020年8月26日广发金融工程团队发布了关于长线选股系列报告(二):《如何挖掘景气向上,持续增 长企业》,在这篇专题报告中,围绕盈利和成长两大维度,辅助个股质量、价值等维 ...
【广发金工】如何挖掘景气向上,持续增长企业
Core Viewpoint - The report tracks the performance of a long-term stock selection strategy focused on profitability and growth, which was initially published on August 26, 2020, by the GF Financial Engineering team [2][29]. Empirical Analysis Data Description - The empirical analysis covers a backtesting period from January 1, 2009, to August 29, 2025, with three portfolio adjustments each year on April 30, August 31, and October 31 [3]. Portfolio Construction - The stock selection process emphasizes high ROE, improving gross profit margins, and strong cash flow, while excluding stocks with poor cash flow and high debt ratios [4]. Equal-Weighted Portfolio Performance - The equal-weighted portfolio achieved a cumulative return of 3281.94% and an annualized return of 23.43% during the backtesting period, outperforming the CSI 800 index, which had a cumulative return of 169.89% [5][30]. - The equal-weighted strategy had an annualized volatility of 13.67% and an information ratio of 1.19 [13]. Market Capitalization-Weighted Portfolio Performance - The market capitalization-weighted portfolio recorded a cumulative return of 2330.56% and an annualized return of 21.02%, also outperforming the CSI 800 index [15]. - The market capitalization-weighted strategy had an annualized volatility of 13.86% and an information ratio of 1.00 [22]. Portfolio Holding Characteristics - On average, each portfolio iteration consisted of approximately 55 stocks, with an average market capitalization of around 14 billion [26][30]. - The most frequently selected sectors included pharmaceuticals, chemicals, electronics, machinery, and food and beverage, while sectors like leisure services and defense had fewer selections [26][30].