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重大突破!美国有史以来最长时间的政府停摆迎来转机了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-10 20:42
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has lasted for 40 days, but there may be a turning point as Senate Majority Leader John Thune reveals a limited spending proposal is taking shape [1] - Some Senate Democrats are likely to support the proposal if certain details, such as protections for government workers, are confirmed [3] - The ongoing shutdown is causing significant impacts, with warnings from officials about potential delays in air travel during the Thanksgiving period [5] - The economic cost of the shutdown is substantial, with an estimated loss of approximately $15 billion per week and a projected reduction of about 1.5 percentage points in the quarterly annualized GDP growth rate by mid-November [6] Group 1 - A limited spending proposal is being developed to address the government shutdown, with a procedural vote planned for this Sunday [1] - At least 10 Senate Democrats are expected to support a procedural motion to advance a combined spending bill and short-term funding arrangement [3] - The shutdown's impact is growing, with warnings from the Transportation Secretary about potential delays in air travel during the holiday season [5] Group 2 - The ongoing shutdown is causing significant economic losses, estimated at $15 billion per week, and is expected to reduce GDP growth by 1.5 percentage points [6] - There are ongoing discussions between parties, with Democrats proposing to extend subsidies for low-income Americans in exchange for reopening the government [6] - The political landscape is tense, with President Trump urging lawmakers to remain in Washington until a spending deal is reached [6]
美国政府“重开”曙光初现?两党议员对结束停摆表示乐观
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-11-05 13:14
Core Points - Bipartisan optimism exists among Republican and Democratic senators regarding reaching an agreement to end the government shutdown, although there are cautious signals about breaking the deadlock quickly [1] - The proposed solution involves a short-term funding bill combined with parts of the annual appropriations bills, focusing on extending subsidies for the Affordable Care Act [1][3] - The government shutdown has lasted for 36 days, affecting federal workers and disrupting food assistance programs for millions of Americans [3][4] Group 1 - Senate Majority Leader John Thune outlined a potential path forward, emphasizing the need for Democratic agreement on the Affordable Care Act subsidies [1] - Several Democratic senators expressed a serious tone after a closed-door meeting, indicating ongoing negotiations with Republicans [1][3] - Some senators believe that if negotiations progress, the shutdown could end by the weekend [4] Group 2 - The outcome of the current shutdown largely depends on former President Trump's support for any proposals in Congress [7] - Trump reiterated his demand for Senate Republicans to abolish the filibuster rule, which requires 60 votes for most legislation to advance [3][8] - Some Republican senators are beginning to understand Trump's frustration with the prolonged shutdown and are reconsidering their stance on the filibuster [8]
特朗普在本周或将打破两项美国历史记录!美财长加入催降息阵容!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 18:06
Group 1 - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 34th day, nearing the record set during Trump's first term of 35 days, primarily due to disputes over subsidies related to the Affordable Care Act [2][4] - The shutdown has resulted in an estimated economic loss of at least $18 billion, with $7 billion to $14 billion expected to be permanent losses [4] - The shutdown has led to significant disruptions in the aviation sector, with over 5,600 flight delays and 500 cancellations reported on October 31 [9] Group 2 - The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, affecting 42 million low-income Americans, will stop issuing benefits starting November 1, exacerbating food insecurity [8] - The ongoing political deadlock has intensified pressure on the aviation system, with warnings of a "disastrous" situation if the shutdown continues into the Thanksgiving travel peak [9] - Trump's proposal to eliminate the Senate's filibuster rule has sparked internal divisions within the Republican Party, with some members opposing the move as a threat to bipartisan cooperation [6] Group 3 - The Trump administration has ordered the Defense Secretary to utilize available funds to ensure military personnel receive their salaries on time, potentially facing legal challenges for reallocating funds [11] - The upcoming Supreme Court hearing on Trump's tariffs, which could have significant financial implications, is being described as one of the most important cases in recent history [12][14] - The Federal Reserve is facing internal disagreements regarding interest rate policies, with some officials advocating for more aggressive rate cuts to prevent economic recession [16]
美国政府关门时长逼近历史记录,特朗普误判民主党决心,“关键时刻”到来!
智通财经网· 2025-11-02 07:49
Core Points - The U.S. government shutdown is approaching its 32nd day, nearing the record of 35 days set in 2018-2019 [1] - The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) funding, which supports 42 million Americans, is set to expire on November 1, leading to a potential humanitarian crisis [2][5] - Political negotiations in Congress remain stagnant, with the next Senate vote scheduled for November 3, which will mark the 34th day of the shutdown [2][8] Group 1: Government Shutdown Impact - The ongoing shutdown has resulted in significant pressure on the U.S. economy and society, particularly affecting low-income families reliant on SNAP [5][6] - Millions of families may face hunger risks due to the interruption of SNAP funding, which serves about one-eighth of the U.S. population [6] - Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has issued ground delay orders in major cities due to staff shortages, indicating increasing strain on the aviation system [6] Group 2: Political Dynamics - The Trump administration misjudged the Democratic Party's resolve in budget negotiations, leading to an extended shutdown [3][4] - Trump has publicly pressured Republicans to invoke the "nuclear option" to bypass Senate rules, but this proposal has been largely rejected within the party [3] - Bipartisan negotiations have shown some progress, but core disagreements remain, particularly regarding the timing of discussions on healthcare subsidies and government reopening [8]
美国政府关门难解:参院七次否决拨款案,特朗普威胁砍民主党项目,共和党领袖否认要动"大招"
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-10-09 18:59
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its eighth day with no immediate resolution in sight [1] - The Senate failed to pass any temporary funding bills in a recent vote, with both Republican and Democratic proposals falling short of the required votes [1][2] - Former President Trump has threatened to use the shutdown to permanently cut programs favored by Democrats, indicating a significant political maneuvering [3] Group 1: Legislative Actions - The Senate's recent vote saw a Republican proposal receive 54 votes in favor but failed to meet the 60-vote threshold needed for approval [1] - The core disagreement between the parties centers around the continuation of healthcare subsidies established under the Affordable Care Act, which are set to expire at the end of the year [2] - The House of Representatives has been in a "48-hour notice" state, with no commitment to reconvene next week [2] Group 2: Political Maneuvering - Trump has directed the Office of Management and Budget to identify specific programs for cuts, including $18 billion in infrastructure funding for New York City and $8 billion in climate-related funding [3] - The potential withdrawal of $12 billion in clean energy project funding is also under consideration, targeting initiatives approved during the Biden administration [3] - Senate Republican leader Thune has denied any discussions regarding the use of the "nuclear option" to break the legislative deadlock [4] Group 3: Internal Party Dynamics - There is growing concern among Republican senators about the implications of using the "nuclear option," which could backfire if the party becomes the minority [5] - House Speaker Johnson has faced criticism from within the party for his strategy, as the House has not convened for several weeks following the passage of a temporary funding resolution [5]