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成材:地产偏弱,钢价整理运行
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-07-16 06:59
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific investment rating for the industry is provided in the report [1][2][3] Group 2: Core View of the Report - The report suggests short - term observation or short - selling on rebounds. It recommends short - term waiting and then trying short positions when prices rise [1][2][3] Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Information Production and Sales Data - In June 2025, China's crude steel output was 83.18 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 9.2% [2] - On July 15, the average cost of 76 independent electric arc furnace construction steel mills was 3,287 yuan/ton, with no change compared to the previous day, and the average profit was a loss of 93 yuan/ton, while the valley - electricity profit was 10 yuan/ton [2] - In June 2025, 137,570 forklifts of various types were sold, a year - on - year increase of 23.1%. From January to June 2025, a total of 739,334 forklifts were sold, a year - on - year increase of 11.7% [2] Market Performance and Suggestions - The finished steel market fluctuated yesterday and declined in the afternoon. Steel prices rebounded due to anti - involution, but the recently announced real estate data is still poor, and weak demand remains the main factor dragging down prices. In the short term, demand is unlikely to pick up seasonally. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and try short positions on rebounds [2] Factors to Watch - Future factors to watch include macro - policies, supply - side production cuts, and downstream demand [3]