全球规模最大的体育服饰企业之一Fanatics于周三宣布，通过与Crypto.com达成战略合作，推出一个由 体育迷主导的预测交易平台。与预测交易领域的龙头企业Polymarket和Kalshi类似，Fanatics将允许用户 交易各类预测现实事件结果的合约。 据新闻稿显示，Fanatics预测市场将分两阶段上线。第一阶段于3日正式启动，涵盖体育、金融、经济及 政治领域的事件合约业务；第二阶段预计明年年初上线，届时平台业务将拓展至加密货币、股票及首次 公开募股、气候、流行文化、科技及人工智能、影视和音乐等相关领域的事件合约。 该平台上线之际，恰逢预测交易市场迎来爆发期。Kalshi与Polymarket11月的交易总额接近100亿美元， 创下两家平台成立以来的单月最高交易额。值得关注的是，Polymarket已启动重返美国市场的进程，其 平台应用程序于周三开始逐步向美国用户开放使用权限。 全球规模最大的体育服饰企业之一Fanatics于周三宣布，通过与Crypto.com达成战略合作，推出一个由 体育迷主导的预测交易平台。与预测交易领域的龙头企业Polymarket和Kalshi类似，Fanatics将允许用 ...

Core Insights - Kalshi has partnered with StockX to create "event contracts" that allow users to predict resale prices of items like sneakers and collectibles [3] - The growth of the secondary market for trendy items has been significant, with products like the Labubu doll seeing prices soar from 99 RMB to thousands, boosting the market value of its parent company Pop Mart [3] - Kalshi aims to expand into new markets with high liquidity and trading volume, potentially legitimizing the prediction trading industry [4] Company Developments - Kalshi plans to introduce prediction contracts for popular items such as Jordan sneakers and Supreme hoodies, as well as for the best-selling brands during the Black Friday shopping event [3] - StockX's CEO views this market as a natural evolution of stock market mechanisms, indicating a shift in how collectibles are traded [3] - Coinbase is reportedly developing an independent prediction market platform that may utilize Kalshi's infrastructure, indicating growing interest in this sector [5] Market Trends - The secondary market for limited edition sneakers from brands like Nike and Adidas, as well as Pokémon trading cards, has shown similar trends of price appreciation, making derivative trading on these items potentially profitable [3] - The prediction industry is gaining traction, with Kalshi having received approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to engage in prediction trading, including for events like U.S. elections [4]