Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating to the company with a 12-month target price of 27.94 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 18.27 CNY as of October 31, 2025 [7]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 18.486 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 33%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 252 million CNY, a decrease of 6% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit was 222 million CNY, up 32% year-on-year [1]. - The company has a strong order demand, with a total of 18.1 GW of new orders added in the first three quarters of 2025, maintaining a similar level to the previous year. As of the end of Q3 2025, the total backlog of orders reached 46.9 GW, providing a solid foundation for future delivery growth [2]. - The average bidding price for onshore wind turbines has been rising, with the average price for the first nine months of 2025 at 1595 CNY/KW, a 13% increase from the average of 1414 CNY/KW in 2024. This price increase is expected to enhance the profitability of the wind turbine manufacturing segment [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 514 million CNY, with growth rates of 11% in 2025, 114% in 2026, and 9% in 2027. The average PE ratio for comparable companies in the wind turbine industry is estimated at 19 for 2025 and 14 for 2026 [4]. - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 22.198 billion CNY in 2024 to 29.550 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 33% [11]. - The gross profit margin for the wind turbine manufacturing segment is anticipated to improve, with projections of 9.6% in 2025 and 10.8% in 2026 [11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Minsheng Securities has given a "recommended" rating to Goldwind Technology (002202.SZ) with a latest price of 12.35 yuan [1] - The report highlights key future aspects including the recovery of wind turbine profitability and the potential for growth in overseas markets [1] - The company has released its semi-annual report for 2025, which is a significant event for investors [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the wind turbine segment within the wind power industry [9]. Core Insights - The wind turbine segment is identified as a high-value area within the wind power industry, which has historically faced low profitability due to intense competition. However, it is anticipated that profitability will improve in the second half of the year as turbine prices have bottomed out [2][4]. - The report highlights that the recovery in profitability is expected due to concentrated delivery of price-increased orders and a stabilization in turbine size, which will allow manufacturers to enhance cost efficiency [5][6]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Profitability Recovery - The wind turbine segment is projected to experience a profitability recovery in the second half of the year, primarily due to the concentration of price-increased orders for delivery. The average bid price for land-based wind turbines (excluding towers) is expected to rise to approximately 1588 RMB/KW in the second half of 2024, reflecting a 7% increase compared to the first half [5][6]. - The trend of increasing turbine size has stabilized, with the maximum power segment for land-based turbines remaining around 10MW, consistent with 2024 levels. The proportion of turbines with a capacity of 6MW and above is approximately 84.1% [5][17]. Section 2: Market Dynamics - The wind turbine segment may benefit from a reduction in internal competition, as the primary purchasers are state-owned enterprises. The top ten bidders for wind turbines in 2024 include major state-owned companies, which collectively hold significant market share [6][24]. - Changes in bidding rules by state-owned enterprises, such as China Power Investment Corporation, which will no longer award contracts based solely on the lowest bid, are expected to support a recovery in turbine prices. The average bid price for land-based turbines has stabilized at around 1500 RMB/KW [6][29]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading wind turbine manufacturers, as the stabilization of bid prices and the delivery of previously increased-price orders are expected to lead to a sustained recovery in gross margins. Additionally, the acceleration of offshore wind projects is anticipated to lay a foundation for 10GW of installations in 2025 [7][33].