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霸占恋爱食物链的老派男友,是什么新物种?
虎嗅APP· 2025-09-07 09:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising popularity of "old-fashioned boyfriends" in the current dating market, characterized by their practicality and simplicity, contrasting with the previous emphasis on romance and elaborate dating experiences [4][6][39]. Group 1: Characteristics of Old-Fashioned Boyfriends - Old-fashioned boyfriends are described as having low presence in social settings, often being perceived as "nice and honest" but lacking distinctive traits [9]. - Their food preferences lean towards traditional, hearty meals, favoring comfort food over trendy options, which reflects a nostalgic connection to simpler times [10][25]. - They exhibit a practical lifestyle, often opting for basic necessities and showing a preference for frugality, which aligns with a broader cultural shift towards valuing stability and practicality in relationships [35][37]. Group 2: Cultural Context and Trends - The article highlights a resurgence of traditional values in partner selection, indicating a societal shift towards conservative choices amidst economic uncertainties [39][53]. - This trend is not isolated to China; similar movements are observed globally, such as the "Tradwife" phenomenon in the U.S. and traditional values promoted in Russia, suggesting a collective retreat to nostalgic ideals [59][62]. - The article notes that this inclination towards old-fashioned values is a response to modern pressures, with individuals seeking stability and security in their relationships as a means of risk avoidance [63][65]. Group 3: Implications and Reflections - The preference for old-fashioned boyfriends reflects a broader cultural nostalgia, where individuals are drawn to the past as a coping mechanism for contemporary challenges [67][72]. - The article warns that while this trend may provide comfort, it could also lead to a lack of innovation and a monotonous lifestyle, as people become overly reliant on traditional choices [87][89]. - Ultimately, the article suggests that the current societal inclination towards conservatism in relationships may stifle personal growth and creativity, as individuals may fear change and opt for safer, more familiar paths [81][84].
美银Hartnett:关于美股,所有卖出信号都已触发,但是.....
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-20 02:03
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the US stock market, particularly the Nasdaq hitting new highs, has triggered sell signals from Bank of America's proprietary trading rules, indicating a potential market correction ahead [1][4]. Group 1: Sell Signals - Bank of America's chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett noted that three key sell signals have been triggered: the cash rule, global breadth rule, and global fund flow trading rule [1][4]. - The cash allocation by fund managers has dropped to 3.9%, reaching a sell signal level, historically leading to an average decline of 2% in the S&P 500 index following similar signals [4]. - The global breadth rule indicates that only 64% of the MSCI global stock index is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, down from 80% the previous week, which is below the 88% sell signal threshold [4]. - The global fund flow trading rule shows that the inflow of funds into global stocks and high-yield bonds has decreased to 0.9% of assets under management, down from 1.0% the previous week, triggering a sell signal [4]. Group 2: Bond Market Risks - Hartnett emphasized that the bond market, rather than the stock market, may be the key trigger for the next adjustment, as bond market volatility often precedes stock market corrections [5]. - The 30-year US Treasury yield briefly surpassed 5% amid concerns over potential actions by Trump against Powell, with current yields at 5.1% for the US, 5.6% for the UK, and 3.2% for Japan [6]. - If long-term bond yields reach new highs and the MOVE index exceeds 100, Hartnett will shift to a risk-averse stance [8]. Group 3: Market Breadth Concerns - Despite the stock market reaching new highs, market breadth is at historical lows, with the equal-weighted S&P 500 index relative to the S&P 500 at a 22-year low and the Russell 2000 index at a 25-year low [9]. - This divergence suggests a slowdown in the US economy or a potential bubble in the stock market, as value and small-cap stocks are outperforming large-cap stocks in more normalized global markets [11]. - Hartnett believes this extreme market concentration reflects an over-reliance on a few tech giants while ignoring broader economic deterioration [13]. Group 4: Historical Policy Concerns - Hartnett draws parallels between current tensions between Trump and Powell regarding interest rate policies and the policy conflicts of the early 1970s, which led to significant market fluctuations [14][16]. - He anticipates that if Powell is forced out, the market may experience a similar policy cycle as seen in the past, characterized by initial declines followed by potential recoveries [16].