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观点指数:拿地规模季节性回落 房企投资节奏分化
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 12:41
Core Insights - Real estate companies are continuing to focus on "core city concentration and risk control" in their land acquisition strategies, with significant differentiation in investment pace among firms [1][6] - The top state-owned enterprises dominate core city land acquisitions due to their financial advantages, while mixed-ownership and private enterprises are adopting more cautious investment approaches [1][6] Land Acquisition Trends - In September 2025, the top 50 real estate companies added a total of 2.2564 million square meters of land, representing a month-on-month decrease of 54.03%. However, the cumulative land area acquired from January to August reached 36.2423 million square meters, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.19% [1][3] - Leading companies in land acquisition include China Overseas Land & Investment, China Merchants Shekou, and Poly Developments, with land reserves of 3.0937 million square meters, 2.7564 million square meters, and 2.6719 million square meters, respectively [3][4] Investment Amounts and New Value - The top five companies in terms of land investment amounts from January to August are China Resources Land, China Overseas Land & Investment, Greentown China, Poly Developments, and China Merchants Shekou, with respective investment amounts of 58.45 billion yuan, 55.01 billion yuan, 50.24 billion yuan, 47.87 billion yuan, and 40.46 billion yuan [3][4] - The companies with the highest new land value added during the same period are Poly Developments, China Overseas Land & Investment, and China Merchants Shekou, with new values of 89.45 billion yuan, 81.09 billion yuan, and 80.69 billion yuan, respectively [3][4] Recent Land Acquisitions - In August, China Resources Land acquired three plots in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou, with a total land area of 383,900 square meters and an acquisition amount of 26 billion yuan [3][5] - China Merchants Shekou secured four plots in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Xi'an, totaling 437,100 square meters for 12.875 billion yuan, while Poly Developments acquired two plots in Sanya for 1.134 billion yuan [3][5] Market Dynamics - The current land acquisition landscape shows significant differentiation, with top state-owned enterprises frequently acquiring land in major cities, while mixed-ownership and private firms are focusing on risk aversion and financial safety [6] - The competition for high-quality land plots remains intense, and the divergence in investment strategies among companies is expected to deepen, leading to a more pronounced structural differentiation in market activity [6]
拿地规模季节性回落,房企投资节奏分化
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 12:21
Core Insights - The report from Guandian Index indicates that the top 50 real estate companies added a total of 2.2564 million square meters of land in August, representing a month-on-month decrease of 54.03% [1] - However, the cumulative land area acquired by these companies from January to August reached 36.2423 million square meters, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.19% [1] Group 1: Land Acquisition Trends - Leading companies in land acquisition include China Overseas Land & Investment, China Merchants Shekou, and Poly Developments, with new land reserves of 3.0937 million square meters, 2.7564 million square meters, and 2.6719 million square meters respectively [3] - The companies with the highest land investment amounts from January to August are China Resources Land, China Overseas Land & Investment, and Greentown China, with equity land acquisition amounts of 58.45 billion yuan, 55.01 billion yuan, and 50.24 billion yuan respectively [3] - The companies with the most new land value added from January to August are Poly Developments, China Overseas Land & Investment, and China Merchants Shekou, with new land values of 89.45 billion yuan, 81.09 billion yuan, and 80.69 billion yuan respectively [3] Group 2: Strategic Focus and Market Dynamics - The land acquisition strategy remains focused on "core city concentration and risk control priority," with leading state-owned enterprises leveraging their financial and resource advantages to compete for quality core land [4][5] - Mixed-ownership and private enterprises are adopting a more cautious investment approach, emphasizing risk control and slowing down their land acquisition pace [4][5] - A notable transaction in August involved a joint bid by China Merchants and China Resources for a plot in Shenzhen, which was sold for 8.64 billion yuan, marking the highest total price for a land plot in Shenzhen this year [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - The current land acquisition landscape shows significant differentiation, with top state-owned enterprises actively acquiring land in major cities, while mixed-ownership and private firms are focusing on financial safety and precise layouts [5] - The competition for quality land is expected to remain intense under the "core city focus + risk control priority" framework, leading to a more pronounced structural differentiation in market activity [5]