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中长期核心主线奠基长期价值 聚合顺今年上半年外销收入同比增长超65%
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-08-28 15:46
Core Viewpoint - The company, 聚合顺, is actively addressing challenges such as intensified industry competition, weak downstream demand, and external trade disruptions while focusing on strengthening its core business and expanding its international market presence [1]. Company Overview - 聚合顺 is a national-level high-tech enterprise specializing in the research, production, and sales of nylon 6 chips, with a focus on maintaining a competitive edge through technological and management advantages [2]. - The company has established multiple production bases across Zhejiang, Shandong, and Hunan, and has developed a systematic production planning, supply chain, and management system over its ten years of operation [2]. Business Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company produced 299,268.46 tons of nylon chips, a year-on-year increase of 13.21%, and sold 293,195.21 tons, up 11.46% [1]. - The nylon 6 chip business accounts for over 95% of the company's main revenue, with fiber-grade chips contributing 65.60% and engineering plastic-grade chips 30.64% [1]. - The company's export revenue grew by over 65% year-on-year, with a significant international market presence in countries like India, South Korea, and Brazil [1]. Industry Context - The nylon chip industry is experiencing rapid capacity expansion, with an expected capacity of 8.5 million tons by the end of 2025, reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase [3]. - The industry faces oversupply pressures, with production expected to reach approximately 7 million tons against a consumption of about 6.4 million tons [3]. - The upstream caprolactam (CPL) capacity is projected to reach 7.4 million tons in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of nearly 7%, leading to a supply-demand imbalance and declining prices [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing into high-end nylon chips, with plans to optimize its production projects to include various new nylon materials, enhancing product diversity and value [4]. - The company is also collaborating with China Tianchen to share interests in the PA66 market, with plans for an 80,000-ton PA66 project in Zibo, aiming for long-term growth [4]. - The company has a strong market position in differentiated products and has accumulated extensive customer resources, which are expected to enhance its competitiveness despite current industry pressures [5].
聚合顺(605166):外部扰动叠加库存影响致短期业绩承压,进军特种尼龙切片再绘成长曲线
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company reported its 2025 half-year results, which were generally in line with expectations, with a revenue of 3.03 billion yuan (YoY -14%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 111 million yuan (YoY -28%) [7] - External challenges and declining raw material prices have put short-term pressure on the company's PA6 chip production and profitability [7] - The company is advancing into high-end nylon chips, enhancing its product structure and value [7] - The company is strategically positioning itself in the PA66 market through a partnership with China Tianchen, aiming for long-term growth [7] - The profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted down to 285 million yuan due to external factors, while maintaining forecasts for 2026 and 2027 at 507 million yuan and 613 million yuan respectively [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 7.168 billion yuan - 2025: 6.366 billion yuan - 2026: 8.425 billion yuan - 2027: 8.956 billion yuan [3][9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected as follows: - 2024: 300 million yuan - 2025: 285 million yuan - 2026: 507 million yuan - 2027: 613 million yuan [3][9] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2024: 0.95 yuan - 2025: 0.91 yuan - 2026: 1.61 yuan - 2027: 1.95 yuan [3][9] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 8.1% in 2024 to 10.9% in 2027 [3] Market Data - As of August 26, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock was 12.53 yuan, with a market capitalization of 3.944 billion yuan [4] - The company has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio projected at 14 for 2025, compared to an average PE of 32 for comparable companies [7]