Workflow
尼龙66共聚切片
icon
Search documents
聚合顺(605166):业绩符合预期,切片供需承压,特种尼龙赋能高端化转型
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company's performance in Q3 2025 met expectations, with total revenue of 4.367 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million yuan, down 40% year-on-year [6] - The supply-demand dynamics for PA6 slices are under pressure, with a decline in apparent consumption by 4% year-on-year in Q3 2025, influenced by external factors and inventory accumulation in downstream nylon fiber factories [6] - The company is advancing into high-end nylon slices, with a project to produce 5.08 million tons of new nylon materials, enhancing product variety and value [6] - A strategic partnership with China Tianchen is being established to share interests in the PA66 sector, with plans for an 80,000-ton PA66 project [6] - The company's profitability forecast has been adjusted downwards for 2025-2027, with net profit estimates of 183 million, 403 million, and 516 million yuan respectively [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 6.242 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 12.9% [5] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 183 million yuan, reflecting a 38.9% decline year-on-year [5] - The company's gross margin is expected to be 6.6% in 2025, down from 8.1% in 2024 [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is forecasted at 0.58 yuan [5] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 8.8% in 2025 [5]
聚合顺(605166):外部扰动叠加库存影响致短期业绩承压,进军特种尼龙切片再绘成长曲线
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company reported its 2025 half-year results, which were generally in line with expectations, with a revenue of 3.03 billion yuan (YoY -14%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 111 million yuan (YoY -28%) [7] - External challenges and declining raw material prices have put short-term pressure on the company's PA6 chip production and profitability [7] - The company is advancing into high-end nylon chips, enhancing its product structure and value [7] - The company is strategically positioning itself in the PA66 market through a partnership with China Tianchen, aiming for long-term growth [7] - The profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted down to 285 million yuan due to external factors, while maintaining forecasts for 2026 and 2027 at 507 million yuan and 613 million yuan respectively [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 7.168 billion yuan - 2025: 6.366 billion yuan - 2026: 8.425 billion yuan - 2027: 8.956 billion yuan [3][9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected as follows: - 2024: 300 million yuan - 2025: 285 million yuan - 2026: 507 million yuan - 2027: 613 million yuan [3][9] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2024: 0.95 yuan - 2025: 0.91 yuan - 2026: 1.61 yuan - 2027: 1.95 yuan [3][9] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 8.1% in 2024 to 10.9% in 2027 [3] Market Data - As of August 26, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock was 12.53 yuan, with a market capitalization of 3.944 billion yuan [4] - The company has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio projected at 14 for 2025, compared to an average PE of 32 for comparable companies [7]