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聚合顺(605166):外部扰动叠加库存影响致短期业绩承压,进军特种尼龙切片再绘成长曲线
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company reported its 2025 half-year results, which were generally in line with expectations, with a revenue of 3.03 billion yuan (YoY -14%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 111 million yuan (YoY -28%) [7] - External challenges and declining raw material prices have put short-term pressure on the company's PA6 chip production and profitability [7] - The company is advancing into high-end nylon chips, enhancing its product structure and value [7] - The company is strategically positioning itself in the PA66 market through a partnership with China Tianchen, aiming for long-term growth [7] - The profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted down to 285 million yuan due to external factors, while maintaining forecasts for 2026 and 2027 at 507 million yuan and 613 million yuan respectively [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 7.168 billion yuan - 2025: 6.366 billion yuan - 2026: 8.425 billion yuan - 2027: 8.956 billion yuan [3][9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected as follows: - 2024: 300 million yuan - 2025: 285 million yuan - 2026: 507 million yuan - 2027: 613 million yuan [3][9] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2024: 0.95 yuan - 2025: 0.91 yuan - 2026: 1.61 yuan - 2027: 1.95 yuan [3][9] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 8.1% in 2024 to 10.9% in 2027 [3] Market Data - As of August 26, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock was 12.53 yuan, with a market capitalization of 3.944 billion yuan [4] - The company has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio projected at 14 for 2025, compared to an average PE of 32 for comparable companies [7]