Core Viewpoint - The market is showing a positive trend in dividend stocks, with the China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) rising by 0.25% as of October 17, 2025, and several constituent stocks experiencing significant gains, indicating a potential shift towards high-dividend assets as companies prepare to release their Q3 reports [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) increased by 0.25% [1] - Key constituent stocks such as Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (600188) rose by 3.38%, Shenhua Group (000933) by 2.01%, Agricultural Bank of China (601288) by 1.87%, and Xiamen Bank (601187) by 1.63% [1] - The National Enterprise Dividend ETF (159515) also saw an increase of 0.17% [1] Group 2: Upcoming Financial Reports - A batch of Q3 reports from A-share listed companies is expected to be released by the end of October 2025, with some companies likely to implement quarterly dividends, which may boost interest in dividend assets [1] - Many companies are anticipated to report positive results for Q3, suggesting a gradual recovery for dividend assets [1] Group 3: Investment Sentiment - Institutions indicate that the valuation of high-dividend sectors has become more attractive after a two-month correction, especially in the context of ongoing US-China tensions [1] - Analysts believe that dividend assets will demonstrate defensive characteristics amid increasing regional political risks [1] - The current market risk appetite remains under pressure, and if the A-share adjustment does not trigger systemic capital chain reactions, dividend stocks may serve as effective risk hedging tools for investors [1] Group 4: Index Composition - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) includes 100 listed companies selected for their high cash dividend yields, stable dividends, and sufficient scale and liquidity [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 17.15% of the total index weight, including companies like COSCO Shipping Holdings (601919) and Jizhong Energy (000937) [2]

Economic Outlook - Daxin Financial forecasts Hong Kong's economy to grow by 2.4% this year, despite ongoing uncertainties from the US-China trade war [1] - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is expected to challenge the 25,000-point mark in the second half of the year, with a support level around 20,800 points [1] Market Conditions - The valuation of Hong Kong stocks has returned to a more reasonable level, but volatility is anticipated due to unclear US-China trade prospects and the effectiveness of mainland economic stimulus measures [1] - High dividend yields, domestic consumption, and innovation and technology sectors are expected to have a positive outlook [1] Mainland China Economic Impact - Short-term growth in mainland China's exports is anticipated, as some companies shift exports to ASEAN and other regions, offsetting declines in exports to the US [1] - Mainland China's economy is projected to grow by 4.4% this year, supported by relaxed monetary policy and a commitment to more proactive fiscal policies [1] Real Estate Market - The significant drop in mortgage rates and gradual recovery in rental yields are expected to alleviate downward pressure on Hong Kong property prices [2] - However, potential oversupply in new residential properties and uncertainties from the trade war may lead to an estimated 5% decline in property prices for the entire year of 2025 [2]