第七轮提涨来了!山东地区多个市场焦炭价格计划提涨，其中包括潍坊、滨州、德州、济宁、枣庄、菏 泽、日照、泰安、临沂等市场焦炭价格计划提涨，捣固湿熄焦上调50元/吨，捣固干熄焦上调55元/吨， 顶装焦上调75元/吨，自8月19日0时起执行。此次提涨由山东本地焦企主导，旨在响应市场供需变化。 山西证券指出，7月煤炭市场定价"超预期"，年内低点或已出现。反内卷政策带来的弹性空间拉升通胀 水平，动力煤上涨相对温和，炼焦煤走势更强。预计煤炭价格年内低点已现，下半年价格大概率不会回 踩。反内卷持续发酵，煤炭股或成小幅向上或震荡趋势，动力煤加速上涨后弹性修复。 具体而言，从供给来看，1-7月原煤供给边际递减。 25年1-7月固定资产投资同比增1.6%，其中制造业投资增6.2%、基建投资增3.2%、房地产投资降 12.0%。25年1-7月火电累计增速实现-1.3%;焦炭累计增速实现2.8%;生铁累计增速实现-1.3%;水泥累计增 速实现-4.5%;7月火电增速实现4.3%;焦炭增速实现0.5%;生铁增速实现-1.4%;水泥增速实现-5.6%。进 口：7月煤炭进口环比增长，1-7月进口量维持收缩趋势。2025年1-7月进口量累计 ...

Group 1: Market Dynamics - The seventh round of price increases for coke in Shandong has been announced, with prices for different types of coke rising by 50 to 75 yuan per ton, effective from August 19 [1] - The coal market pricing has exceeded expectations, with the low point for coal prices likely already reached this year, and prices are expected to remain stable in the second half of the year [1][3] - The supply of raw coal has shown a marginal decrease, with cumulative production from January to July 2025 reaching 2.779 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.8%, but the growth rate is declining [2] Group 2: Demand and Investment Trends - Demand for coal is supported by manufacturing and infrastructure investments, with fixed asset investment increasing by 1.6% year-on-year in the first seven months of 2025 [2] - The coal sector is experiencing a shift towards high dividend assets, with the average dividend yield for the industry expected to exceed 5% in 2024, making coal stocks attractive for investors seeking stable returns [5][6] Group 3: Company Insights - China Shenhua has significant coal reserves, with a total of 3.44 billion tons and a production capacity of 327 million tons in 2024, positioning it as a leader in the industry [7] - China Coal Energy holds the third-largest coal resource among listed companies, with a production capacity of 165 million tons and ongoing projects expected to add further capacity [7] - Yanzhou Coal Mining plans to produce 155-160 million tons of commercial coal in 2025, with a capital expenditure plan of 19.545 billion yuan, indicating strong growth prospects [8]