鹰派加息
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日本央行内部鹰派崛起 日元命运将改写?
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-21 03:03
美元/日元技术分析 每日相对强弱指数(RSI)出现轻微超买状况,阻碍交易者对美元/日元货币对进行新的看涨押注。这使得 谨慎的做法是等待一些近期盘整或小幅回调,然后再为任何进一步的升值走势做准备。 若植田最终投票支持加息,他将与央行内部日益壮大的鹰派力量形成合力。在10月的政策会议上,已有 两位委员(高田创和田村直树)因呼吁加息而投下反对票。 此外,审议委员小枝淳子近日也发表了偏鹰言论,显示政策层面对通胀风险的担忧正在升温。尽管副行 长冰见野良三在上次会议中支持维持利率不变,但其本身也被视为倾向鹰派。 目前,央行政策委员会中仅有委员野口旭仍坚定持鸽派立场。新任委员增一行则被视为中间派,预计将 追随以植田和男为首的主流意见。 周五(11月21日)亚洲时段,美元/日元在157.40附近走低,最新美元兑日元汇率报157.3700,跌幅 0.06%,受干预担忧影响,日元兑美元走强。日本央行内部鹰声四起,12月加息或提上议程。 日本央行行长植田和男在国会听证会上发出关键信号,称日元持续疲软可能进一步推高通胀。他指出, 因日元走弱而上升的进口价格,正促使企业更愿意提高工资和产品价格。 植田强调,汇率波动对物价的影响正变得比 ...
"从暴赚到血亏:金价跳水致投资者一夜损失47万实录"
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-03 04:35
Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in gold prices has led to significant losses for investors, particularly those using leverage, highlighting the risks associated with gold investments and the importance of prudent investment strategies [3][4][5]. Group 1: Market Impact - On June 12, international spot gold prices experienced the largest single-day drop since 2020, plummeting from $2280 to $2165 per ounce, with domestic gold prices also falling [3]. - Over 137 accounts reported losses exceeding 200,000 yuan on that day, with one investor, Lin Wei, recording a loss of 472,000 yuan, making him the largest loser in his trading department [3][4]. - The decline was triggered by a hawkish signal from the Federal Reserve, which caused the dollar index to surge by 2.3%, leading to a corresponding drop in gold prices [3]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - Many new investors entered the gold market during a seven-month price increase, with gold ETF holdings rising by 42% in the first five months of 2023, leading to a perception of gold as a guaranteed investment [5]. - High-leverage investors suffered the most, with reports of clients using 50x leverage losing their entire margin within 15 minutes due to forced liquidation [4]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Current data shows hedge funds are significantly reducing long positions in gold, while central banks continue to purchase gold, indicating potential volatility in the market [7]. - Experts recommend that investors avoid blindly chasing high prices, use leverage cautiously, and limit gold investments to 15% of their financial assets [8]. - Investors are advised to reassess their holdings, with suggestions to observe key support levels and manage margin accounts carefully [10].