美元/日元货币对

Search documents
君諾金融:美元兑日元延续先前反弹势头,逼近148.00
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 10:35
Core Viewpoint - The USD/JPY currency pair is experiencing upward momentum, approaching the 148.00 level, supported by a slight increase in the US dollar and US Treasury yields, but concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve and Trump's latest tariff threats are dampening market sentiment, providing support for the safe-haven yen [1]. Technical Overview - A breakout above the 148.00 level is seen as a key trigger for bullish sentiment in USD/JPY, with potential upward movement towards the significant 200-day simple moving average (SMA) just above 149.00, and further buying could lead to attempts to reclaim the psychological level of 150.00 [4]. - Support is identified at the 147.80 level, with a potential decline below this support leading to further drops towards the 147.30 area and ultimately the 147.00 level, which would negate the positive outlook and shift the short-term trend to bearish [5]. Fundamental Overview - Recent economic data includes a 3.0% increase in AUD construction work done, a GfK consumer confidence survey in the Eurozone showing -23.6, and a notable decline in the US MBA mortgage applications by 1.4% [6]. - President Trump's unprecedented order to dismiss Cook shocked investors, leading to initial declines in the dollar, which later rebounded after Cook's commitment to remain in position [6]. - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish remarks indicated a higher likelihood of rate cuts in the coming months, contributing to a decline in USD/JPY by over 1%, while the Bank of Japan's governor raised concerns about inflation from wage increases, hinting at conditions for further rate hikes [7].
市场重点仍放在日央行美日稳涨144
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-16 03:58
Group 1 - The Bank of Japan is planning to reduce its monthly purchases of Japanese government bonds by approximately 400 billion yen each quarter, with a proposal to cut this to about 200 billion yen per month starting from April 2026 [1] - The USD/JPY currency pair is experiencing buying interest, attributed to a positive risk sentiment that is weakening the safe-haven yen ahead of the Bank of Japan's decision [2] - Geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran are supporting the US dollar, contributing to the rise of the USD/JPY pair [2] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that the USD/JPY pair failed to maintain levels above the psychological barrier of 145.00, leading to a potential decline towards support levels at 142.65 and 142.35 [1] - A recovery in the Asian session peaked around the 143.50-143.55 area, which may face resistance near the 144.00 level [1] - If the USD/JPY pair surpasses the 144.00 level, it could trigger short covering, pushing the currency pair towards the 144.50 area and potentially reaching 145.00 [1]
日本央行将再次加息 美元/日元下行旅程开启
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-15 02:52
Group 1 - The Japanese yen has maintained strength against the weak US dollar for the third consecutive day, with the latest USD/JPY exchange rate at 146.2680, down 0.25% [1] - Market expectations indicate that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again, supported by weakened risk sentiment and new dollar sell-offs, increasing downward pressure on the USD/JPY currency pair [1] - The BoJ's recent monetary policy meeting summary expressed concerns about US trade policies potentially harming Japan's economic growth, with expectations of a slowdown to near potential growth levels before a gradual recovery [1] Group 2 - Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.2% month-on-month in April, with a year-on-year increase of 4%, which is lower than the previous month's 4.2%, but this had limited impact on the yen [2] - The US dollar is struggling to attract buyers due to lower-than-expected US consumer inflation data, reinforcing market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut rates at least twice in 2025 [2] - The overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the US decreased slightly from 2.4% to 2.3% year-on-year in April, while the core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose by 2.8%, in line with expectations [2] Group 3 - The cloud chart indicators for the USD/JPY exchange rate limit upward movement, with declines stalling near the May 1 high [3] - Resistance levels are identified at 147.60 (cloud bottom), 147.77 (Bollinger band upper limit), and 148.65 to 148.70 (December 3 and March 31 lows) [3] - Support levels are noted at 145.73 (May 1 high), 145.50 (conversion line), and 145 (psychological level) [3]