Group 1 - The U.S. government shutdown has entered its sixth week, becoming the longest in U.S. history, raising concerns about its potential impact on Q4 economic growth [1] - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the shutdown could lead to a GDP decline of 1% to 2%, exacerbating worries about short-term economic slowdown [1] - Despite the shutdown, U.S. economic data remains robust, with October ADP employment increasing by 42,000, surpassing the expected 25,000, and ISM services PMI rising to 52.4, the highest in eight months [1] Group 2 - Gold prices (XAU/USD) continued to rebound, breaking the $4,000 mark, driven by safe-haven inflows due to the U.S. government shutdown, geopolitical tensions, and escalating Ukraine situation [1] - The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance remains a significant resistance for gold bulls, as market expectations for another rate cut in December diminish, potentially limiting gold's upside [1] - Technical analysis indicates short-term resistance for gold at $4,025 to $4,030, with potential extension targets of $4,075 to $4,100, while support is around $3,970, with a drop below that possibly leading to a retreat to the $3,910 to $3,900 range [1] Group 3 - In the forex market, investors are focused on the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision, with expectations that the BoE will maintain the policy rate at 4% during the November meeting [2] - The British pound stabilized around 1.3050 after a brief rebound, while the euro/dollar pair ended a five-day decline, consolidating above 1.1500 [2] - Overall risk sentiment is showing a mild recovery, providing some support for non-U.S. currencies, while the market awaits new guidance amid the interplay of risk aversion and hawkish policy expectations [2]