黄金价格周期
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当黄金进入长牛周期,招金矿业(1818.HK)把资源变成印钞机
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-25 00:50
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a "slow bull" market, with the Hang Seng Index up 26.32% year-to-date as of August 22, 2025, entering a technical bull market [1] - New consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and hard technology sectors are leading the market, showcasing a revival of vitality and prosperity [1] - Zhaojin Mining has seen its stock price nearly double this year, with a year-to-date increase of close to 100%, making it a notable highlight in the resource sector [1] Group 2 - Zhaojin Mining reported a revenue of 6.973 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a significant increase of 50.69% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.44 billion yuan, soaring 160.44% year-on-year [1] - The core driver of Zhaojin Mining's strong performance is linked to the price of gold, which influences industry prosperity and the company's competitive edge [1][4] Group 3 - The supply of gold is facing challenges due to the scarcity of new gold mines and limitations in recycling, while demand is bolstered by its use in jewelry, technology, and as a safe-haven asset during economic instability [2] - Geopolitical tensions and central banks increasing their gold reserves are further driving demand for gold [2] Group 4 - The expectation of rising gold prices is supported by various financial institutions, with predictions of gold reaching $3,500 per ounce in the near term and potentially $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026 [3] - Zhaojin Mining's resource reserves, calculated at 1,446.16 tons of gold, provide a solid competitive advantage, with a significant increase in production [4] Group 5 - Zhaojin Mining's production of gold reached 288,000 ounces in the first half of 2025, a 21.83% increase from the same period in 2024, with total gold production rising to 459,400 ounces [4] - The company has completed 22 high-grade project acquisitions since 2023, significantly expanding its mining rights [4] Group 6 - The Haiyu gold mine, with a resource of 562.37 tons, is expected to be a key growth driver, potentially contributing 6.3 billion yuan in net profit if gold prices rise to 850 yuan per gram [5] - Zhaojin Mining has initiated a "gold resource doubling plan" with a dedicated fund to enhance resource expansion and production growth [5] Group 7 - The true value in the gold mining sector lies in the control of scarce resources rather than short-term price fluctuations, with Zhaojin Mining focusing on strategic expansion to redefine long-term value [6]