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黄金原油行情分析
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贺博生:7.26黄金原油弱势下跌下周行情走势预测及下周一开盘操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-26 01:40
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is experiencing a cautious bearish sentiment due to recent U.S. economic data, which has mitigated risk aversion despite ongoing geopolitical tensions [2][6] - Recent ETF gold holdings have shown a slight outflow, indicating a short-term recovery in market risk appetite, which is suppressing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [2] - The focus for gold prices next week will be on U.S.-EU and U.S.-China trade negotiations, with potential optimism possibly pushing prices down to the $3300 per ounce level [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - On a weekly chart, gold prices are in a high-level consolidation phase, with a critical resistance level at $3325; prices above this level indicate a bullish trend [3] - Daily analysis shows that gold is currently testing support levels, with a risk of breaking below these levels, which could lead to a test of weekly support areas [3] - Short-term trading strategy suggests a focus on selling during rebounds and buying on dips, with key resistance at $3355-$3365 and support at $3320-$3310 [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is facing a weak downward trend, with U.S. crude oil trading around $65.04 per barrel, reflecting a decline of approximately 0.3% [6] - Recent price movements were influenced by unexpected declines in U.S. crude oil inventories and geopolitical tensions, particularly in Gaza, which have affected market sentiment [6] - Brent crude futures saw a slight increase, closing at $69.18 per barrel, driven by various factors including potential restrictions on Russian gasoline exports [6] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The medium-term outlook for oil remains bullish, with prices testing the $78 level, although recent MACD indicators suggest a weakening of bullish momentum [7] - Short-term trends indicate volatility, with frequent shifts between buying and selling pressure; the strategy recommends focusing on selling during price rebounds and buying on pullbacks [7] - Key resistance levels for oil are identified at $67.0-$68.0, while support levels are noted at $63.0-$62.0 [7]