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美联储或重启降息 黄金饰品一天一个价?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 10:24
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points with a probability of 97.7% during the September meeting, which has led to a surge in gold prices [1][3] - On September 16, spot gold prices reached a historical high of $3702.8 per ounce, while silver prices also increased, with COMEX silver hitting $43.435 per ounce, the highest since September 2011 [1][4] - The rise in gold prices this year has been nearly 40%, driven by both long-term structural support and short-term expectations related to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [4][11] Group 2 - The silver price increase is attributed to both the influence of gold and its own supply-demand dynamics, with a projected increase in demand from the solar photovoltaic sector [6][7] - The global silver demand is expected to reach 36,700 tons in 2024, while supply is only 31,700 tons, resulting in a significant supply gap [7] - Institutions have raised their gold price forecasts, with Deutsche Bank predicting $3800 per ounce by the end of 2026, and Goldman Sachs maintaining a target of $3700 per ounce by the end of 2025 [10][11] Group 3 - Despite high gold prices, it is suggested that gold still holds long-term investment value, with recommendations for investors to consider gold as a stabilizing asset in their portfolios [11] - The ongoing trends of central bank gold purchases and the potential for a rate cut cycle indicate that gold may still be a viable investment option, especially during market corrections [11]