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黄金逼近3600美元,还能买吗?
吴晓波频道· 2025-09-06 00:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment landscape, comparing the long-term potential of A-shares with the recent surge in gold prices, highlighting the choices investors face between these two asset classes [3][5]. Group 1: A-shares Market - The Shanghai Composite Index has recovered above 3800 points, marking a significant rise over the past four months, reaching a nearly ten-year high [3]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has proposed to lower the subscription fee rates for various types of funds, signaling an effort to stabilize investor confidence in the A-share market [5][6]. - Analysts believe that the A-share market can sustain its slow bull trend, viewing recent adjustments as opportunities for investors [5]. Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices have recently surpassed $3500 per ounce, reaching historical highs, with predictions suggesting potential increases to $3730 by the end of the year and even $4000 by mid-2026 under baseline scenarios [6][9]. - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is seen as a key factor driving gold prices higher, with market sentiment shifting towards gold as a safe haven amid economic uncertainties [7][24]. - Central banks globally are increasing their gold reserves, with gold now surpassing the euro as the second-largest reserve asset, indicating strong long-term support for gold prices [9][11]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investment experts suggest that gold and A-shares can coexist in a diversified portfolio, with historical data showing periods where both asset classes have risen simultaneously [27][29]. - Recommendations for individual investors include allocating 5%-10% of their portfolios to gold to optimize performance and reduce volatility [27][36]. - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring gold ETF holdings and futures market positions to gauge market sentiment and potential price movements [14][24].