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光大证券晨会速递-20250710
EBSCN· 2025-07-10 01:11
Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The report discusses the potential acceleration of the Section 232 investigation by the Trump administration, particularly focusing on tariffs on copper and pharmaceuticals, with a higher likelihood of copper tariffs being implemented [1] - Core inflation is showing signs of recovery, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) returning to positive year-on-year growth, driven by rising gold prices and policies promoting trade-in programs [2] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) has unexpectedly declined, indicating weakening prices in domestic energy, raw materials, and certain export sectors, necessitating policy measures to stimulate recovery [2] Group 2: Market Data - The A-share market indices showed slight declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3493.05, down 0.13%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10581.8, down 0.06% [3] - In the commodity market, gold prices fell by 1.21% to 766.82, while copper prices decreased by 1.53% to 78400 [3] - The foreign exchange market saw the USD/CNY exchange rate at 7.1541, reflecting a slight increase of 0.01% [3] Group 3: Company Research - The report highlights that Q Technology (1478.HK) has upgraded its profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 20%, 31%, and 40% respectively, due to higher-than-expected shipments of IoT modules [4] - Changchun High-tech (000661.SZ) received approval for its injection drug, marking a significant step in its innovation transformation, although profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards due to increased R&D and marketing expenses [5]