Group 1 - The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has continued to decline after the auction, currently down by 6.5 basis points, reported at 4.844% [1]

Group 1 - The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield decreased by 6.5 basis points, reaching 4.844% [1]

Group 1 - The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield surpassed 5% before retreating nearly 10 basis points, indicating a temporary impact from Moody's downgrade of the U.S. rating [1] - U.S. Treasury Secretary will attend the G7 finance ministers meeting, raising hopes for increased market certainty [1] - Current market sentiment shows a high proportion of long positions in gold, silver, and oil [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a long position ratio of 52% compared to 48% short positions [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a long position ratio of 31% against 69% short positions [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a long position ratio of 19% versus 81% short positions [3] - The Dow Jones Index has a long position ratio of 51% compared to 49% short positions [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a long position ratio of 28% against 72% short positions [3] - The German DAX 40 Index has a long position ratio of 17% versus 83% short positions [3] Group 3 - The Euro/USD pair has a long position ratio of 36% against 64% short positions [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a long position ratio of 20% compared to 80% short positions [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a long position ratio of 43% against 57% short positions [3] - The Euro/AUD pair reflects a long position ratio of 31% versus 69% short positions [3] - The GBP/USD pair has a long position ratio of 75% compared to 25% short positions [3] - The GBP/JPY pair shows a long position ratio of 43% against 57% short positions [3] - The USD/JPY pair has a long position ratio of 49% compared to 51% short positions [3] - The USD/CAD pair reflects a long position ratio of 54% against 46% short positions [3] - The USD/CHF pair shows a long position ratio of 88% compared to 12% short positions [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair has a long position ratio of 62% against 38% short positions [4] - The AUD/JPY pair shows a long position ratio of 32% compared to 68% short positions [4] - The CAD/JPY pair has a long position ratio of 33% against 67% short positions [4] - The NZD/USD pair reflects a long position ratio of 61% compared to 39% short positions [4] - The NZD/JPY pair shows a long position ratio of 69% against 31% short positions [4] - The USD/CNH pair has a long position ratio of 81% compared to 19% short positions [4]

5月19日，美国30年期国债收益率震荡升至5%，为今年4月以来的首次。此前，在2025年1月，美国30年 期国债收益率也曾升至5%，为2023年11月以来的最高水平。 卖空美债 当地时间周五(5月16日)，国际三大信用评级机构之一的穆迪(Moody's)在官网宣布，由于美国政府债务 和利率支付比例增加，决定将美国主权信用评级从Aaa下调至Aa1。穆迪是三家评级巨头中最后一家剥 夺美国AAA评级的机构。标普早于2011年时就将美国长期主权信用评级由"AAA"降至"AA+"，惠誉则 在2023年8月时取消了美国的AAA评级。惠誉当时判断，美国财政状况将趋于恶化，联邦政府债务高居 不下且不断攀升。 近几年来，美国每年的财政赤字接近2万亿美元，占GDP的比例超过6%。在当下全球关税战可能导致经 济减速的背景下，美国增长走软可能会进一步推高联邦政府赤字，因为政府支出通常会在经济放缓时上 升。 其次，30年期美债收益率美国财政的"压力测试"。美国政府债务规模与国债收益率呈正向联动。此外， 国债发行量激增(如疫情期间财政刺激)会加剧供需失衡，推高收益率。 美国财政的"压力测试" 作为政策调控与市场博弈的枢纽，30年期美债收 ...