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每日钉一下(A股牛市已经进入中后期了吗,出现了哪些信号?)
银行螺丝钉· 2026-01-23 14:04
Group 1 - The article discusses the current state of the A-share bull market, indicating that it may have entered the mid-to-late stage, supported by several signals observed in January 2026 [5][6]. - On January 12, a stock fund experienced over 10 billion yuan in subscriptions in a single day, a clear sign of a bull market's later stages, as similar occurrences were noted in previous bull markets in 2021, 2015, 2009, and 2007 [5]. - The announcement on January 14 to adjust the financing margin ratio from 80% to 100% is aimed at curbing leveraged investments in A-shares, a tactic previously used during the 2015 bull market [5][6]. Group 2 - On January 15, significant net outflows were observed in major ETFs, with the largest, the CSI 300 ETF, experiencing approximately 20 billion yuan in outflows, marking the highest single-day net outflow since 2012 [7]. - The primary investors in index funds are institutional investors, such as state-owned entities and pension funds, who typically buy during market dips and reduce their holdings as the market peaks [7][8]. - The current market conditions suggest that it may not be an opportune time for large investments in stock funds, as the market appears to be overvalued, and investors are advised to be cautious with their buying strategies [8][9].