A股行业配置
Search documents
中信建投:岁末年初 A股行业配置关注三条线索
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-21 10:59
中信建投研报称,短期A股波动主要受外部环境影响,如美股AI泡沫疑虑和日本央行加息,目前美股AI 核心公司股价已经企稳,日本央行加息落地后续影响有限,A股有望和全球股市一起共振上行。岁末年 初,A股行业配置关注三条线索:红利价值、布局景气、主题热点。行业重点关注:有色(银、铜、 锡、钨)、港股高股息、非银、AI(液冷、光通信)、新能源(储能、固态电池)、创新药、银行 等。主题重点关注:海南(免税)、核电、冰雪旅游。 ...
国泰海通|策略:节后外资和融资资金回流市场
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-10-14 14:08
Core Viewpoint - After the holiday, foreign and financing funds have returned to the Chinese market, with a notable increase in trading activity and a preference for technology and cyclical sectors, particularly electronics and non-ferrous metals [3][4][5]. Group 1: Market Activity - Market sentiment has significantly improved, with average daily trading volume rising to 2.6 billion and the average number of stocks hitting the daily limit up to 71.6 [3]. - The proportion of stocks that increased in value has risen to 54.1%, with the median weekly return for all A-shares increasing to 0.4% [3]. - Industry trading concentration has continued to rise, with 11 industries having turnover rates in the historical top 10% [3]. Group 2: Fund Flows - After the holiday, foreign capital inflow reached 3.0 billion USD, with northbound trading accounting for 30.5% of total trading volume [4]. - Public funds saw a decrease in new issuance to 870 million, while private fund confidence slightly declined, nearing the highest levels of the year [4]. - The net inflow of ETF funds totaled 37.7 billion over the past four trading days, maintaining a high level of passive trading [4]. Group 3: Sector Preferences - Foreign capital has shown a strong preference for electronics (+3.47 billion) and non-ferrous metals (+2.04 billion), while sectors like household appliances and banks experienced outflows [5]. - Financing activities also favored electronics (+10.85 billion) and non-ferrous metals (+6.58 billion), with a slight outflow in the comprehensive sector [5]. - The top sectors for ETF inflows included non-bank financials (+3.74 billion) and power equipment (+2.89 billion), while communication and computing sectors saw outflows [5]. Group 4: Hong Kong and Global Fund Flows - Southbound capital inflow decreased to 2.65 billion, marking a significant drop since 2022 [6]. - Global capital flows indicate a marginal inflow into developed markets, with the US and China receiving the most inflows [6]. - The overall trend shows a preference for North American funds, particularly in pharmaceuticals and financial sectors, while technology funds experienced outflows [6].