Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing significant volatility as investors face the classic dilemma of holding stocks or cash before the National Day holiday, with historical data suggesting a higher probability of market gains post-holiday [2][4][5]. Market Performance - On September 29, the A-share market stabilized, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.9% to 3862.53 points, and the ChiNext Index increasing by 2.74% to 3238.01 points, indicating active trading with a daily turnover of 2.18 trillion yuan [3]. - Historical patterns show that the A-share market tends to perform poorly before the holiday but recovers positively afterward, with a notable "calendar effect" observed [5][9]. Investment Strategies - Analysts suggest that holding stocks during the holiday may offer better opportunities for gains, especially in the technology sector, which remains a focal point amid economic pressures [4][7]. - The recommendation includes maintaining a balanced asset allocation while being open to opportunities across different markets and asset classes [2][7]. Gold as an Investment Option - The rising international gold prices, which recently surpassed $3870 per ounce, have introduced "holding gold" as a new investment strategy, with significant returns on related financial products [8]. - Gold prices have increased over 16% since August, indicating a strong performance compared to traditional fixed-income products [8]. Bond Market Outlook - The bond market is currently experiencing weak sentiment, with a neutral outlook from institutions, as the ten-year government bond yield rose above 1.83% before retreating due to central bank interventions [6][10]. - The bond market's performance is expected to be influenced by stock market trends in the short term, but long-term movements will depend on economic fundamentals [10].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment strategies of holding stocks versus holding cash during the National Day holiday, highlighting the historical tendency of the A-share market to rise after the holiday and the emerging trend of "holding gold" as a new investment option [3][9]. Market Performance - On the last trading day before the National Day holiday, the A-share market showed significant volatility, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3862.53 points, up 0.52%, and the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.35% [6][10]. - Historical data indicates that the A-share market has a higher probability of rising after the National Day holiday, with a noted "calendar effect" where the market tends to perform poorly before the holiday but recovers positively afterward [7][8]. Investment Strategies - Analysts suggest that investors should consider a balanced approach, focusing on large-cap indices while being prepared to invest in sectors like technology, new energy, and precious metals during market adjustments [10][11]. - The article emphasizes the importance of asset quality, recommending that investors hold stocks of companies with strong fundamentals while being cautious with overvalued stocks [11]. Gold as an Investment Option - The price of international gold reached a historical high of $3871.73 per ounce, marking a more than 16% increase since August and over 45% since the beginning of 2025, making "holding gold" a viable option for investors [9][12]. - The rise in gold prices has positively impacted related financial products, with many gold "fixed income+" products offering annualized returns between 2.00% and 4.00%, outperforming traditional fixed-income products [12]. Stock and Bond Market Dynamics - The article notes a "stock-bond seesaw" effect, where the A-share market has shown a pattern of rising more than falling since late June, while bond yields have been under pressure [14][15]. - Despite short-term pressures on the bond market, analysts maintain a long-term optimistic outlook for the A-share market, driven by advancements in sectors like AI and high-end manufacturing [14][15].