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【国金电新 周观点】光伏量价基本面右侧启动、下半年需求不会“断崖”,电车港股全面受益新车周期
新兴产业观察者· 2025-03-02 12:41
Key Points Summary New Energy - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association predicts that China will add 215-255 GW of new photovoltaic installations by 2025, with a focus on distributed generation and large-scale projects [1][7]. - Major companies like China National Petroleum Corporation have initiated significant component procurement for 2025, indicating strong market demand [1][9]. - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a price increase driven by leading companies' profit-seeking behavior, with distributed market prices rising by 1-2 cents/W [5][6]. Wind Power - The China Wind Energy Association (CWEA) reports a projected wind power installation capacity of 87 GW for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [10][11]. - The market concentration in the wind turbine sector is increasing, with the top five companies holding a 75% market share [10][11]. - The trend towards larger wind turbines continues, with a significant increase in the share of 7 MW and above turbine installations [10][11]. Electric Vehicles & Lithium Batteries - Li Auto announced the launch of its new electric SUV, the i8, which has generated positive market sentiment [19][22]. - Xiaomi's SU7 Ultra was launched at a price significantly lower than expected, indicating strong market positioning and potential for high sales volume [25][26]. - The overall electric vehicle market is recovering, with a notable increase in sales of new energy vehicles, reflecting a positive outlook for 2025 [20][27]. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - The European Union has reinforced its hydrogen strategy, emphasizing the importance of hydrogen in achieving energy sovereignty and supporting domestic manufacturing [35][36]. - Yihua Technology's acquisition of Xuyang Hydrogen Energy aims to create a complete hydrogen supply chain, enhancing market expectations for the hydrogen sector [37][38]. - The focus on green hydrogen projects is expected to create opportunities in hydrogen production equipment and related technologies [38].