证券研究报告|港股公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 29 日 [Table_Title] Q2 业绩超预期，教育业务稳健增长 [Table_Title2] 新东方-S(9901.HK) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级： | 买入 | 股票代码： | 9901 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上次评级： | 买入 | 52 周最高价/最低价(港元)： | 47.24/33.9 | | 目标价格(港元)： | | 总市值(亿港元) | 706.39 | | 最新收盘价(港元)： | 44.7 | 自由流通市值(亿港元) | 706.39 | | | | 自由流通股数(百万) | 1,580.29 | [Table_Summary] 事件概述 出国教育业务增速分化，核心板块展现增长韧性。1）FY26Q2 海外考试准备和出国咨询业务同比变化分别为 +4.1%/-3.0%（FY26Q1 为 1.0%及 2.0%）。2）大学生及成人考试业务同比增长 12.8%（FY26Q1 为 14.4%）。 FY2026Q2 归母净利率提升幅度低于毛利率，主要由于其 ...

证券研究报告|港股公司点评报告 出国教育业务增速分化，核心板块展现增长韧性。1）FY26Q2 海外考试准备和出国咨询业务同比变化分别为 +4.1%/-3.0%（FY26Q1 为 1.0%及 2.0%）。2）大学生及成人考试业务同比增长 12.8%（FY26Q1 为 14.4%）。 FY2026Q2 归母净利率提升幅度低于毛利率，主要由于其他收入占比下降、公允价值变动收益转负，部分抵 消 了 费 用率优化的正向影响。（1）FY2026Q2 公司毛利率/归母净利率分别为 53.3%/3.8%，同比提升 1.2/0.7PCT。（2）从费用率来看，FY2026Q2 销售/管理费用率分别为 16.3%/31.4%，同比下降 2.6/0.1PCT；公允 价值变动收益占比下降 0.4PCT（由正转负）；其他收入占比下降 1.1PCT；所得税拨备占比增加 0.6PCT。 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 29 日 [Table_Title] Q2 业绩超预期，教育业务稳健增长 [Table_Title2] 新东方-S(9901.HK) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级： | 买入 | 股票代码： | ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the emergence of the "AI Smart Learning Glasses" by NanoBox, a brand under the Chinese education technology company Jinxin Technology Holdings Group, as a standout product at CES 2026, marking a significant innovation in the education technology sector [1][7]. Company Overview - NanoBox's smart learning glasses integrate an education-specific AI model with lightweight AR technology, creating a comprehensive learning ecosystem that spans from classrooms to outdoor environments [1][3]. - The glasses are designed to enhance learning efficiency and focus, addressing core pain points in education [3]. Product Features - The glasses feature a self-trained AI model that facilitates a complete learning loop, including data perception, real-time processing, and personalized feedback [3]. - Key functionalities include real-time lecture note-taking, multi-language translation, and an intelligent vocabulary review system based on forgetting algorithms, which optimizes study time [3]. - The product employs a bone conduction hearing mode tailored for learning, ensuring safety while providing an immersive auditory experience [3]. Market Analysis - The global education technology market is transitioning from software services to the integration of smart hardware, with a projected compound annual growth rate of over 30% for AI-driven personalized learning hardware by 2028, according to Goldman Sachs [5]. - NanoBox's business model focuses on hardware sales and subsequent content and data value-added services, indicating diverse revenue potential [5]. Strategic Positioning - The successful debut at CES represents a strategic move for NanoBox to combine China's digital education experience with AI hardware innovation, aiming to serve global learners and establish a leading position in the emerging smart learning wearable market [7].

Core Viewpoint - New Oriental has experienced a challenging fiscal year 2025 and is expected to face an even tougher fiscal year 2026, with significant concerns regarding slowing revenue growth and declining net profit [1][2]. Revenue Performance - In Q4 of fiscal year 2025, New Oriental reported revenue of $1.24 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%. For the entire fiscal year, revenue reached $4.9 billion, up 13.6% year-on-year [1][2]. - The revenue growth rate has significantly slowed compared to fiscal year 2024, which saw a growth rate of 43.9% [1]. - The company forecasts Q1 of fiscal year 2026 revenue growth to be only 2% to 5%, with an annual growth expectation of 5% to 10% [1][10]. Net Profit Analysis - New Oriental's net profit for Q4 of fiscal year 2025 was $7.1 million, a dramatic decline of 73.7% year-on-year [2][4]. - The sharp decline in net profit is primarily attributed to increased costs and expenses, which rose by 11.2% to $1.25 billion, outpacing revenue growth [4]. - A significant factor in the profit drop was a goodwill impairment of $60.3 million, related to previous acquisitions of kindergartens, which was a one-time charge [4][5]. Business Segment Performance - The growth of New Oriental's educational new business, primarily K9, has been slowing, with revenue growth rates of 49.8%, 42.6%, 34.5%, and 32.5% over the past four quarters [7]. - Traditional overseas exam preparation and consulting services have stabilized, with revenue growth of 14.6% and 8.2% respectively in Q4 [8][9]. - Domestic exam preparation services have also shown a decline in growth, influenced by reduced enrollment and participation [9]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a revenue range of $1.46 billion to $1.51 billion for Q1 of fiscal year 2026, indicating continued slow growth [10]. - For the entire fiscal year 2026, revenue is projected to be between $5.15 billion and $5.39 billion, with specific growth expectations of approximately 20% for K9 business and 10% for domestic exam preparation [10].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement reveals a significant change in the ownership structure of Kede Education, with the controlling shareholder transferring a substantial number of shares to a new entity, which will lead to a shift in control and management focus towards the education sector while divesting from the ink business [1][2]. Group 1: Share Transfer and Ownership Change - Kede Education's controlling shareholder, Wu Xianliang, plans to transfer 77.5843 million shares at a price of 14.72 yuan per share, totaling 1.142 billion yuan to Zhongjing Heda [1]. - Following the transfer, Zhongjing Heda will become the controlling shareholder, and the Shiyan State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission will become the actual controller of the company [1]. - Prior to the transfer, Wu Xianliang held 90.75 million shares, representing 27.57% of the total share capital, which will decrease to 13.166 million shares, or 4% post-transfer [1]. Group 2: Business Transition and Management - The company will undergo a three-year transition period (2025-2027) during which the ink business will be integrated into Color Technology for independent accounting [2]. - Wu Xianliang will continue to manage the ink business and serve as the general manager of Color Technology, while the financial head will be appointed by Kede Education [2]. - Wu Xianliang has committed to completing the divestiture of the ink business during the transition period, with a cash purchase of all related assets and liabilities to be negotiated later [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Future Outlook - Kede Education's projected revenue for 2024 is 795 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.1%, with a net profit of 145 million yuan, up 4.73% [3]. - In Q1 of the current year, the company reported a revenue of 183 million yuan, a decline of 2.27% year-on-year, and a net profit of 37.9724 million yuan, down 6.8% [3]. - The decline in Q1 revenue is attributed to seasonal fluctuations in the ink business and a loss from an investment in Zhonghao Xinying, with a focus on adapting to educational policy changes and enhancing technological innovation [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - Xueersi has launched three series of learning machines (P, S, T) aimed at reshaping the learning experience through "good AI + good content" [1] Group 1: AI and Content Features - The "good AI" aspect relies on the self-developed Jiuzhang model and DeepSeek, achieving a comprehensive upgrade of the intelligent learning system [3] - The learning machines have added 4 million minutes of premium courses and 850,000 sets of real questions since their launch, promoting the idea that "asking questions is a better way to learn" [3] - The "Xiao Si AI 1-on-1" interactive feature breaks the traditional passive response model, actively guiding learning and engaging in continuous dialogue with students [3][4] Group 2: Learning Machine Series - The P series offers a complete and foundational learning solution covering all educational stages from enlightenment to senior high school, integrating classic practice modules and 50 AI learning tools [4] - The S series incorporates a twelve-level mathematics ability training system tailored to different cognitive characteristics of students, with 55 AI tools and a "Gold Medal Learning" feature for personalized learning planning [4] - The T series, as the flagship product, includes the Xiao Si Smart Island Pro, providing comprehensive upgrades and one-stop intelligent homework tutoring services [4][5] Group 3: Learning Efficiency and Engagement - The "Filtering Learning" and "Filtering Practice" functions in the Precision Learning 3.0 system help students focus on key topics and avoid blind practice, enhancing learning efficiency and reducing burden [3] - The homework mode in the T series supports detailed homework reports and allows parents to monitor their children's learning progress [5] - The exploration mode uses engaging tasks to stimulate children's interest in learning and develop their autonomous learning abilities [5] Group 4: Industry Challenges - The intelligent learning head, Zhao Puzheng, analyzed the "impossible triangle" dilemma in education, highlighting the difficulty of balancing high quality, large scale, and personalization [5]