新教育业务增长环比提速，出国留学相关业务展现韧性 智通财经APP获悉，国信证券发布研报称，维持新东方-S(09901)"优于大市"评级，该行上调公司2026- 2028财年归母净利润至4.8/5.6/6.2亿美元，最新市值对应PE为19.5/17.0/15.2x。面对中高考改革、地缘政 治带来的经营环境不确定性，公司作为K12及出国留学业务龙头，在已有的教研、品牌、用户基础核心 优势上，进一步聚焦高质量发展并持续提能提质，成效已逐步体现于续班率与经营利润率提升上。考虑 到核心教育业务在低预期上企稳向好，同时东方甄选(01797)FY2026H1扭亏为盈，有望持续修复。 国信证券主要观点如下： 收入增长提速，经营效率显著提升 FY2026Q2，公司实现净营收11.91亿美元/+14.7%，超出市场预期(12%)。实现NG经营利润8913万美 元/+206.9%。盈利能力持续改善。截至报告期末，递延收入21.62亿美元，同比增长10.2%。 报告期内，新教育业务依旧是增长核心，受益于续班率提升，同比增长21.6%，环比提速(FY26Q1为 15.3%)其中，非学科类辅导业务覆盖学生约105.8万人次/+6.4%， ...

国信证券发布研报称，维持新东方-S(09901)"优于大市"评级，该行上调公司2026-2028财年归母净利润 至4.8/5.6/6.2亿美元，最新市值对应PE为19.5/17.0/15.2x。面对中高考改革、地缘政治带来的经营环境不 确定性，公司作为K12及出国留学业务龙头，在已有的教研、品牌、用户基础核心优势上，进一步聚焦 高质量发展并持续提能提质，成效已逐步体现于续班率与经营利润率提升上。考虑到核心教育业务在低 预期上企稳向好，同时东方甄选(01797)FY2026H1扭亏为盈，有望持续修复。 高质量发展主线明确，谨慎扩张网点、关注续班率及盈利能力指标，报告期内经营利润率继续修复 国信证券主要观点如下： 截至FY26Q2期末，公司教学网点共有1379个，环比+2%，延续高质量发展主线，谨慎扩张网点。报告 期内公司Non-GAAP经营利润率同比增长4.7pct至7.5%。其中毛利率53.3%/+1.3pct;管理费用率31.4%， 同比基本持平;销售费率16.3%/-2.6pct，主要受益于谨慎的门店扩张战略及教育业务续班率提升。后续将 继续从组织优化(如2026年1月留学语培的国际教育板块与留学中介的前 ...

新东方-S（09901.HK） 优于大市 聚焦高质量发展，全年收入增速指引上调 证券研究报告 | 2026年02月27日 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、政策趋严、业务渗透率提升缓慢、股东减持等。 投资建议：我们上调公司 2026-2028 财年归母净利润至 4.8/5.6/6.2 亿美元 （原值：4.3/4.8/5.3 亿美元），最新市值对应 PE 为 19.5/17.0/15.2x。面 对中高考改革、地缘政治带来的经营环境不确定性，公司作为 K12 及出国 留学业务龙头，在已有的教研、品牌、用户基础核心优势上，进一步聚焦高 质量发展并持续提能提质，成效已逐步体现于续班率与经营利润率提升上。 考虑到核心教育业务在低预期上企稳向好，同时东方甄选 FY2026H1 扭亏为 盈，有望持续修复，我们维持新东方-S"优于大市"评级。 | 盈利预测和财务指标 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万美元) | 4,314 | 4,900 | 5,470 | 6,071 | 6,691 | | ( ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4]. Core Insights - The company has adjusted its revenue growth guidance for the fiscal year 2026, now expecting a growth rate of 8-12%, up from the previous estimate of 5-10% [4][20]. - The company reported a significant increase in net revenue for FY2026Q2, achieving $1.191 billion, which represents a year-on-year growth of 14.7%, exceeding market expectations [2][9]. - The Non-GAAP operating profit reached $89.13 million, marking a substantial increase of 206.9% year-on-year, indicating continuous improvement in profitability [2][9]. - Deferred revenue stood at $2.162 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.2%, which lays a solid foundation for future revenue recognition [2][9]. Revenue and Business Performance - The new education business remains the core growth driver, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 21.6%, benefiting from improved renewal rates [2][13]. - The number of active paid users for the smart learning system reached 352,000, showing a year-on-year growth of 34.9% [2][13]. - The company has 1,379 teaching centers, reflecting a cautious expansion strategy with a 2% quarter-on-quarter increase [3][18]. - The adult and university student-related business saw a year-on-year revenue growth of 12.8%, although the growth rate slightly declined compared to the previous quarter [2][13]. Financial Projections - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for the fiscal years 2026-2028 to $480 million, $560 million, and $620 million, respectively, up from previous estimates [4][21]. - The latest market capitalization corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.5 for 2026, 17.0 for 2027, and 15.2 for 2028 [4][21]. - The expected revenue for FY2026 is projected to be $5.47 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 11.6% [5][23].

机构：光大证券 研究员：陈彦彤/汪航宇/聂博雅 事件：FY26Q2 新东方实现净营收11.91 亿美元，同比+14.7%；实现归母净利润4545万美元，同比 +42.3%；实现Non–GAAP 归母净利润7290 万美元，同比+68.6%。 FY26Q2 核心业务多点开花，全年收入指引上调。 FY26Q2 经营利润大幅提升，经营效率优化成果显著。 FY26Q2 公司Non-GAAP 经营利润为8913 万美元，同比+206.9%。Non-GAAP 经营利润率为7.5%，同比 +4.7pcts，盈利能力大幅改善。利润率的提升主要得益于： 一是聚焦核心经营，未盲目扩张教学点，重点强化教学质量管控、优化市场费用投放；二是降本增效工 作稳步推进。公司降本增效分两阶段推进，第一阶段聚焦精简冗余成本，通过削减非必要市场开支、压 降房租、人员末位淘汰等举措实现；第二阶段主要通过组织架构调整实现规模效应，并依托AI 技术推 进人机替代，进一步降本提效。展望未来，随着后续收入持续增长，以及公司持续推进降本增效措施、 优化成本结构，预计经营利润将继续保持良好改善态势。 盈利预测、估值与评级：考虑到公司各业务发展势头向好，降本增效 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 FY26Q2 公司 Non-GAAP 经营利润为 8913 万美元，同比+206.9%。Non-GAAP经营利润率为 7.5%，同比 +4.7pcts，盈利能力大幅改善。利润率的提升主要得益于：一是聚焦核心经营，未盲目扩张教学点，重点 强化教学质量管控、优化市场费用投放；二是降本增效工作稳步推进。公司降本增效分两阶段推进，第一 阶段聚焦精简 FY26Q2 新东方实现净营收 11.91 亿美元，同比+14.7%；实现归母净利润 4545万美元，同比+42.3%；实 现 Non–GAAP 归母净利润 7290 万美元，同比+68.6%。 FY26Q2 核心业务多点开花，全年收入指引上调 FY26Q2 公司净营收同比增长 14.7% ...

公司研究 FY26Q2 业绩超预期增长，全年收入指引上调彰显信心 ——新东方-S（9901.HK）FY26Q2 业绩点评 买入（上调） 当前价：44.70 港元 2026 年 1 月 29 日 作者 分析师：陈彦彤 执业证书编号：S0930518070002 021-52523689 chenyt@ebscn.com 分析师：汪航宇 执业证书编号：S0930523070002 021-52523174 wanghangyu@ebscn.com 分析师：聂博雅 执业证书编号：S0930522030003 021-52523808 nieboya@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 15.80 | | 总市值(亿港元)： | 706.39 | | 一年最低/最高(港元)： | 30.85/47.31 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 14.06% | 股价相对走势 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 25/1 25/2 25/3 25/4 25/5 25/6 25/7 25/8 25/9 25/10 25/11 25/12 26 ...

新东方执行总裁兼首席财务官杨志辉则指出："在营收增长加速之际，我们仍实现了Non GAAP经营利 润率显著的同比提升，这得益于我们教育业务中运营效率的优化与资源使用率的提高。本季度的Non- GAAP经营利润率达7.5%，较去年同期增加470个基点。展望未来，我们将持续以审慎态度深化各业务 的成本与效率管控措施，旨在为更可持续、更具盈利性的增长奠定坚实基础。" 新东方董事会执行主席俞敏洪表示："我们很高兴看到公司营收在2026财年第二季度同比增长加速至 14.7%。出国考试准备业务的收入同比增长约4.1%;同时，针对成人及大学生的国内考试准备业务取得同 比约12.8%的增长，而新教育业务更实现21.6%的同比增长。非学科类辅导业务课程已在约60个城市开 设，本季度吸引约105.8万名学生参与。同时，我们的智慧学习系统及设备已在约60个城市投入使用， 活跃付费用户数量达到约35.2万名。未来我们将进一步聚焦核心教育业务，持续提升教学质量与产品品 质，同时不断优化成本结构与运营效率，实现高质量、高效率、可持续的发展。我们已启动全方位的跨 部门客户服务体系，在当前宏观经济环境下，此举措不仅能提升客户忠诚度与留存率， ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a gradual stabilization in its core business, leading to a significant improvement in shareholder returns, with a target price adjustment to $74.5 or HKD 57.9, maintaining a buy rating [1] Performance Overview - For FY26Q1, the company reported a net revenue of $1.52 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, slightly exceeding previous guidance [1] - Operating profit reached $310 million, up 6% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP operating profit was $336 million, reflecting an 11.3% increase [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was $240 million, down 1.9% year-on-year, primarily due to dividend withholding tax and fluctuations in other income [1] - The Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was $258 million, a decrease of 1.6% year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [1] Education Business Performance - In FY26Q1, the overseas exam preparation and study abroad consulting businesses grew by 1.0% and 2.0% year-on-year, respectively, with rapid growth in overseas youth exam training partially offsetting declines in adult exams [2] - The university and adult exam business saw a year-on-year growth of 14.4% [2] - New business revenue increased by 15.3% year-on-year, with non-academic tutoring registrations reaching 530,000, a 9.5% increase [2] - The number of active paying users for smart learning systems and devices reached 452,000 in Q4, a year-on-year increase of 39.9% [2] FY26Q2 and FY26 Outlook - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9% to 12% [3] - The net revenue forecast for FY26 remains unchanged, with expected total revenue between $5.145 billion and $5.39 billion, indicating a year-on-year growth of 5% to 10% [3] Shareholder Return Plan - In July 2025, the company approved a three-year shareholder return plan, committing to return no less than 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders starting from FY26 [4] - The announced shareholder return plan for FY26 includes a cash dividend of $190 million (to be paid in two installments) and a $300 million share buyback within the next 12 months, resulting in a total return of approximately $490 million [4]

Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai has given New Oriental-S (09901, EDU.US) a target price of $74.5 / HKD 57.9 based on a 25x PE for FY26E net profit, maintaining a buy rating due to the stabilization of core business and significant shareholder returns [1] Group 1: Performance Overview - For FY26Q1, the company reported a net revenue of $1.52 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, slightly exceeding previous guidance [2] - Operating profit reached $310 million, up 6% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP operating profit was $336 million, reflecting an 11.3% increase [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was $240 million, down 1.9% year-on-year, primarily due to dividend withholding tax and fluctuations in other income [2] Group 2: Education Business Performance - In FY26Q1, the overseas exam preparation and study abroad consulting businesses grew by 1.0% and 2.0% year-on-year, respectively, with youth exam training showing faster growth [3] - The university and adult exam business saw a year-on-year growth of 14.4% [3] - New business revenue increased by 15.3% year-on-year, with non-academic tutoring registrations reaching 530,000, a 9.5% increase [3] - The active paying users for the smart learning system and devices reached 452,000, up 39.9% year-on-year [3] Group 3: FY26Q2 and FY26 Outlook - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9% to 12% [4] - For FY26, the total net revenue is projected to be between $5.145 billion and $5.39 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 5% to 10% [4] Group 4: Shareholder Return Plan - In July 2025, the company approved a three-year shareholder return plan, committing to return no less than 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders starting from FY26 [5] - The shareholder return plan includes a cash dividend of $190 million (to be paid in two installments) and a $300 million buyback within the next 12 months, resulting in a total return rate of approximately 5% [5] - The total planned return through dividends and buybacks amounts to $490 million [5]