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第一上海:维持新东方-S(09901)“买入”评级 目标价57.9港元
智通财经网· 2025-11-05 06:05
Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a gradual stabilization in its core business, leading to a significant improvement in shareholder returns, with a target price adjustment to $74.5 or HKD 57.9, maintaining a buy rating [1] Performance Overview - For FY26Q1, the company reported a net revenue of $1.52 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, slightly exceeding previous guidance [1] - Operating profit reached $310 million, up 6% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP operating profit was $336 million, reflecting an 11.3% increase [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was $240 million, down 1.9% year-on-year, primarily due to dividend withholding tax and fluctuations in other income [1] - The Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was $258 million, a decrease of 1.6% year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [1] Education Business Performance - In FY26Q1, the overseas exam preparation and study abroad consulting businesses grew by 1.0% and 2.0% year-on-year, respectively, with rapid growth in overseas youth exam training partially offsetting declines in adult exams [2] - The university and adult exam business saw a year-on-year growth of 14.4% [2] - New business revenue increased by 15.3% year-on-year, with non-academic tutoring registrations reaching 530,000, a 9.5% increase [2] - The number of active paying users for smart learning systems and devices reached 452,000 in Q4, a year-on-year increase of 39.9% [2] FY26Q2 and FY26 Outlook - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9% to 12% [3] - The net revenue forecast for FY26 remains unchanged, with expected total revenue between $5.145 billion and $5.39 billion, indicating a year-on-year growth of 5% to 10% [3] Shareholder Return Plan - In July 2025, the company approved a three-year shareholder return plan, committing to return no less than 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders starting from FY26 [4] - The announced shareholder return plan for FY26 includes a cash dividend of $190 million (to be paid in two installments) and a $300 million share buyback within the next 12 months, resulting in a total return of approximately $490 million [4]
第一上海:维持新东方-S“买入”评级 目标价57.9港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 06:03
Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai has given New Oriental-S (09901, EDU.US) a target price of $74.5 / HKD 57.9 based on a 25x PE for FY26E net profit, maintaining a buy rating due to the stabilization of core business and significant shareholder returns [1] Group 1: Performance Overview - For FY26Q1, the company reported a net revenue of $1.52 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, slightly exceeding previous guidance [2] - Operating profit reached $310 million, up 6% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP operating profit was $336 million, reflecting an 11.3% increase [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was $240 million, down 1.9% year-on-year, primarily due to dividend withholding tax and fluctuations in other income [2] Group 2: Education Business Performance - In FY26Q1, the overseas exam preparation and study abroad consulting businesses grew by 1.0% and 2.0% year-on-year, respectively, with youth exam training showing faster growth [3] - The university and adult exam business saw a year-on-year growth of 14.4% [3] - New business revenue increased by 15.3% year-on-year, with non-academic tutoring registrations reaching 530,000, a 9.5% increase [3] - The active paying users for the smart learning system and devices reached 452,000, up 39.9% year-on-year [3] Group 3: FY26Q2 and FY26 Outlook - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9% to 12% [4] - For FY26, the total net revenue is projected to be between $5.145 billion and $5.39 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 5% to 10% [4] Group 4: Shareholder Return Plan - In July 2025, the company approved a three-year shareholder return plan, committing to return no less than 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders starting from FY26 [5] - The shareholder return plan includes a cash dividend of $190 million (to be paid in two installments) and a $300 million buyback within the next 12 months, resulting in a total return rate of approximately 5% [5] - The total planned return through dividends and buybacks amounts to $490 million [5]
新东方-S(09901.HK)FY26Q1业绩点评:FY26Q2收入利润预计环比改善 分红回购彰显发展信心
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-30 11:29
Core Insights - New Oriental achieved net revenue of $1.523 billion in FY26Q1, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding previous guidance [1] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% [1] - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [2] Business Performance - The overseas business segment saw revenue growth of 1.0% for exam preparation and 2.0% for consulting, with slower growth rates [1] - Domestic exam preparation for adults and college students grew by 14.4%, indicating strong performance [1] - New educational business revenue increased by 15.3%, although growth was impacted by intensified competition during the summer [1] Financial Guidance and Shareholder Returns - The company maintains its full-year net revenue guidance for FY26 at $5.145 billion to $5.390 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5%-10% [2] - A three-year shareholder return plan has been initiated, committing at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholder returns, including a $190 million cash dividend and a $300 million share buyback [2] Operational Efficiency - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, up 11.3% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, an increase of 1.0 percentage points [2] - The improvement in profit margins is attributed to ongoing cost optimization and enhanced operational efficiency [2] - The company is focusing on prudent capacity expansion, advancing the OMO teaching system, and increasing the application of AI technology to improve overall operational efficiency [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for FY26-28 to $442 million, $514 million, and $582 million, respectively, each down by 8% [3] - Corresponding EPS for FY26-28 is projected at $0.28, $0.33, and $0.37, with current stock prices reflecting PE ratios of 22x, 19x, and 16x [3] - The company remains a leader in the education and training industry, with strong demand persisting [3]
【新东方-S(9901.HK)】FY26Q2收入利润预计环比改善,分红回购彰显发展信心——FY26Q1业绩点评(陈彦彤/汪航宇)
光大证券研究· 2025-10-29 23:07
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady growth in its core business for FY26Q1, with a revenue guidance for Q2 indicating an acceleration in growth compared to Q1 [4][5][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For FY26Q1, the company achieved a net revenue of $1.523 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [4][5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while the Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% year-on-year [4][5]. - The Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, reflecting an 11.3% increase year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage point [7]. Group 2: Business Segments - The overseas business segment saw a revenue increase of 1.0% for exam preparation and 2.0% for consulting, with growth rates slowing down [5]. - Domestic exam preparation for adults and university students experienced a robust growth of 14.4% year-on-year [5]. - New educational business revenue grew by 15.3% year-on-year, although the growth rate was impacted by intensified competition during the summer [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company expects overall net revenue for FY26Q2 to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, indicating a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [6]. - The full-year net revenue guidance for FY26 is maintained at $5.145 billion to $5.390 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 5%-10% [6]. - A three-year shareholder return plan has been initiated, with at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit allocated for shareholder returns, including a cash dividend of $190 million and a $300 million share buyback plan [6]. Group 4: Operational Efficiency - The company has made significant strides in cost optimization and operational efficiency, which contributed to the improvement in profit margins despite challenges in overseas business [7][8]. - The implementation of an OMO teaching system and increased use of AI technology in the educational ecosystem and internal operations have effectively enhanced overall operational efficiency [7][8].
光大证券:维持新东方-S“增持”评级 FY26Q1经营利润持续提升
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 09:24
Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities indicates a downward revision of New Oriental-S (09901) net profit forecasts for FY26-28 due to intensified industry competition and increased business base, with projected profits of $442 million, $514 million, and $582 million respectively, each down by 8% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In FY26Q1, New Oriental achieved net revenue of $1.523 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding previous guidance [1] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% [1] - The company expects FY26Q2 overall net revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [2] Group 2: Business Segments - In the overseas business segment, exam preparation revenue grew by 1.0% and consulting revenue by 2.0%, with slower growth rates observed [1] - Domestic exam preparation for adults and university students saw a robust revenue increase of 14.4% year-on-year [1] - New educational business revenue grew by 15.3% year-on-year, although growth was impacted by increased competition from low-cost/free classes during the summer [1] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, reflecting an 11.3% year-on-year increase, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage points [3] - The improvement in profit margin is attributed to ongoing efforts in cost optimization and operational efficiency [3] - The company is implementing a cautious capacity expansion strategy and enhancing the use of AI technology in its educational ecosystem and internal operations [3] Group 4: Shareholder Returns - The company announced a three-year shareholder return plan, committing to return at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders, including a cash dividend of $190 million and a $300 million share buyback plan [2]
光大证券:维持新东方-S(09901)“增持”评级 FY26Q1经营利润持续提升
智通财经网· 2025-10-29 09:20
Core Viewpoint - Company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for New Oriental-S (09901) for FY26-28 down by 8% to $4.42 billion, $5.14 billion, and $5.82 billion respectively, while maintaining an "Overweight" rating due to strong industry demand despite increased competition [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In FY26Q1, the company achieved net revenue of $15.23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding previous guidance [2][3] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% [2] - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $11.32 billion and $11.63 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [4] Group 2: Business Segments - The overseas examination preparation business saw a revenue increase of 1.0%, while the overseas consulting business grew by 2.0%, indicating a slowdown in growth [3] - Domestic examination preparation for adults and university students experienced a robust revenue growth of 14.4% [3] - New educational business revenue grew by 15.3%, although growth has slowed due to increased competition from low-cost/free classes during the summer [3] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, an increase of 11.3% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage point [5] - The improvement in profit margin is attributed to ongoing efforts in cost optimization and operational efficiency [5] - The company is implementing a three-year shareholder return plan, committing at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholder returns, including a $190 million cash dividend and a $300 million share buyback plan [4]
新东方-S(09901.HK)2026财年第一季度经营利润同比上升6%至3.1亿美元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-28 10:33
Core Insights - New Oriental Education & Technology Group reported a 6.1% year-on-year increase in net revenue for Q1 of FY2026, reaching $1,523.0 million [1] - Operating profit for the same period rose by 6.0% to $310.8 million, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 1.9% to $240.7 million [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from overseas exam preparation and consulting services grew approximately 1.0% and 2.0% year-on-year, respectively [1] - Domestic exam preparation services for adults and university students saw a significant increase of about 14.4% year-on-year [1] - The new education business recorded a revenue growth of 15.3% year-on-year [1] - Non-subject tutoring services have been launched in around 60 cities, attracting approximately 530,000 students [1] User Engagement and Strategic Direction - The smart learning system and devices have been implemented in about 60 cities, with active paying users reaching approximately 452,000 [2] - The company aims to maintain its strategic direction and long-term development plans, focusing on continuous optimization of core educational services [2] - There is a commitment to enhancing product capabilities and quality, systematically building educational resources, and improving operational efficiency [2] - The company is dedicated to providing excellent customer service, enhancing brand influence, and creating sustainable long-term value for shareholders [2] - The belief in achieving continuous growth through ongoing strategic initiatives and a relentless pursuit of excellence is emphasized [2]
新东方四季度净利润降七成,此业务增6000万美元商誉减值
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-08-04 12:14
Core Viewpoint - New Oriental's financial report for the fourth quarter and full year of fiscal year 2025 shows a revenue increase but a significant decline in net profit due to goodwill impairment, indicating challenges in certain business segments and a strategic shift towards AI investments and new educational solutions [1][3][6]. Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, revenue reached $1.243 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, while net profit was $7.1 million, down 73.7% due to a $60.3 million goodwill impairment [1][2]. - Excluding the Oriental Selection business, the fourth quarter revenue was $1.089 billion, reflecting an 18.7% year-on-year growth [1]. - For the entire fiscal year 2025, total revenue was $4.9 billion, up 13.6%, and net profit was $371.7 million, a 20.1% increase [2]. Business Segment Performance - The overseas study preparation and consulting businesses saw revenue growth of approximately 14.6% and 8.2%, respectively, although growth rates have slowed compared to previous quarters [3]. - The new education business experienced a 32.5% revenue increase, with significant engagement in non-subject tutoring across 60 cities [3][4]. - The cultural tourism business reported a 71% revenue growth, driven by domestic and international study tours [4][5]. Cost and Impairment Issues - The significant drop in net profit was primarily attributed to a $60.3 million goodwill impairment related to past acquisitions of kindergartens, reflecting changes in policy and market conditions [6]. - Operating costs and expenses for the fourth quarter were $1.252 billion, up 11.2%, with stock-based compensation expenses increasing by 11% to $28.6 million [6]. Future Guidance - The company anticipates a revenue growth rate of 2%-5% for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 and 5%-10% for the entire fiscal year, indicating a more stable and sustainable growth phase [6][7]. - The guidance now includes the Oriental Selection business, reflecting its operational stabilization after restructuring [7].
新东方-S(9901.HK):出国业务降速拖累FY26Q1收入预期 3年期分红计划提升股东回报
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-03 02:30
Core Insights - New Oriental achieved net revenue of $1.243 billion in FY25Q4, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was $7.1 million, down 73.7% year-on-year [1] - The core education business remained stable, but revenue growth guidance for FY26Q1 has decreased [1][2] - The company expects FY26Q1 net revenue to be between $1.464 billion and $1.507 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 2%-5% [2] Revenue Breakdown - Excluding revenue from self-operated products and live e-commerce, FY25Q4 net revenue was $1.0885 billion, up 18.7% year-on-year, surpassing previous guidance [1] - Revenue from overseas exam preparation increased by 14.6%, while overseas consulting revenue rose by 8.2% in FY25Q4 [1] - Domestic exam preparation for adults and college students saw a year-on-year revenue increase of 17.0% in FY25Q4 [1] New Business Developments - Revenue from new educational services grew by 32.5% year-on-year in FY25Q4, with approximately 918,000 registrations and 255,000 active paying users for smart learning systems [2] - The number of operational outlets exceeded 1,300 by the end of FY25Q4, with expansion plans on track [2] Profitability and Margin Analysis - FY25Q4 operating profit margin was -0.7%, down from 0.9% in the same period last year, primarily due to a one-time goodwill impairment of $60.3 million in the kindergarten business [3] - Non-GAAP operating profit margin for FY25Q4 was 6.6%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company anticipates that despite challenges in FY26Q1, profitability may still see year-on-year growth due to the turnaround of the live e-commerce segment and ongoing cost reduction efforts [3] Future Outlook - The company has announced a three-year shareholder return plan, intending to return 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders through dividends or buybacks [2] - Profit forecasts for FY26 and FY27 have been adjusted downwards to $481 million and $559 million, respectively, reflecting a conservative outlook due to macroeconomic pressures [3]
【新东方-S(9901.HK)】出国业务降速拖累FY26Q1收入预期,3年期分红计划提升股东回报—FY25Q4业绩点评(陈彦彤)
光大证券研究· 2025-08-02 00:03
Core Viewpoint - New Oriental's FY25Q4 net revenue reached $1.243 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was $7.1 million, a decrease of 73.7% [4] Group 1: Financial Performance - FY25Q4 core education business maintained stability with net revenue (excluding self-operated products and live e-commerce) at $1.0885 billion, up 18.7% year-on-year, exceeding previous guidance [5] - The company expects FY26Q1 overall net revenue to be between $1.464 billion and $1.507 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 2%-5% [6] - FY25Q4 operating profit margin was -0.7%, down from 0.9% in the same period last year, primarily due to a one-time goodwill impairment of $60.3 million in the kindergarten business [7] Group 2: Business Segments - In FY25Q4, the overseas examination preparation business revenue grew by 14.6%, and the overseas consulting business revenue increased by 8.2% [5] - The new education business saw a revenue increase of 32.5% year-on-year, with approximately 918,000 registrations and 255,000 active paying users for smart learning systems [5] - The company announced a three-year shareholder return plan, intending to return 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders through dividends or buybacks [6] Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite a significant slowdown in revenue growth for the overseas business and increased competition, the profitability from the Oriental Selection is expected to positively contribute to overall earnings [8] - The company aims to improve overall profit margins in FY26Q1 through cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures [8]