二是资源类板块的走强，反映百年变局下全球各国对于资源安全的强烈诉求。以31个申万一级行业划 分，有色金属行业是本轮13连阳期间表现最好的板块，整体涨幅接近20%。其中，铜、铝及各类能源金 属板块个股涨幅靠前。 当下，全球地缘博弈和资源保护主义为本就脆弱的资源供应端带来更多挑战，并加速重构大宗商品贸易 秩序，这一趋势在过去20年间极少出现，且在将来仍存在巨大的不确定性。事实上，上述新科技赛道背 后的"AI竞速"，也在一定程度上反映了该时代特征。 （上接1版） 而资本市场不断提高对前沿领域的适配度，成为推动新科技赛道风起云涌的主要背景。2025年底，上交 所发布业务指引，推进科创板第五套上市标准在商业航天等领域扩围，加快推进商业航天创新发展，主 动服务航天强国战略。 回到市场制度方面，在新的全球经济格局下，资本市场被赋予前所未有的战略使命，已超越若干年前的 融资渠道定位，跃升为驱动国家竞争力重构的重要引擎。在"稳住楼市股市"的定调下，资本市场各项改 革加速推进同样是新的时代注脚。 近两年来，资本市场有关中长期资金入市、投资者回报优化、科创企业支持体系升级等方面的改革渐次 落地，深刻改变了A股的资金结构与交易逻辑。 ...

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, the Chinese banking industry is characterized by resilience amidst economic challenges, focusing on serving the real economy, embracing transformation, and maintaining a balance between national strategy and sustainable development [1] Group 1: Regulatory Indicators - Total assets of commercial banks are projected to grow from 380.52 trillion yuan at the end of 2024 to 409.63 trillion yuan by September 2025 [2] - The non-performing loan ratio is expected to fluctuate slightly, starting at 1.50% in December 2024 and reaching 1.52% by September 2025 [2] - The core tier one capital adequacy ratio is anticipated to decrease from 11% in 2024 to around 10.87% by September 2025 [2] Group 2: Industry Trends - The banking sector is shifting from aggressive expansion to a more cautious approach, emphasizing the need to avoid "involution" or excessive competition [3] - Regulatory bodies are actively working to curb harmful competition, leading to a collective industry effort to reduce risks and improve operational efficiency [3] Group 3: Interest Margin Protection - The banking industry is facing significant pressure on net interest margins, prompting banks to optimize asset allocation and diversify revenue sources [7][9] - Banks are focusing on cost control by reducing deposit rates and managing high-cost long-term deposits [8] Group 4: Deposit Migration - A trend of "deposit migration" is emerging as residents seek better investment channels due to low deposit rates, with bank wealth management products seeing significant growth [10] - The shift in deposit behavior is driven by a "price comparison effect," leading to a decline in demand for traditional long-term deposits [10] Group 5: Mergers and Restructuring - Over 400 banking institutions are expected to exit the market through mergers, dissolutions, or consolidations, marking a significant increase compared to previous years [11] - The restructuring efforts are focused on improving the quality of financial services rather than merely reducing the number of institutions [13] Group 6: Technological Finance - The banking sector is prioritizing technological finance, with a focus on supporting innovation and providing tailored financial products for tech companies [14][15] - The proportion of technology loans in total new loans has reached 28.8%, indicating a strong push towards financing technology-driven enterprises [15] Group 7: Capital Increases - A notable "capital increase wave" is occurring, with major state-owned banks raising 520 billion yuan through stock issuance to bolster capital adequacy [17] - Smaller banks are also responding by exploring various capital-raising methods, including targeted issuance and local state-owned capital participation [17] Group 8: Shareholder Engagement - The banking sector has seen a surge in insurance capital participation, with several banks experiencing significant shareholding increases from insurance companies [18] - Asset management companies are also actively increasing their stakes in various banks, indicating strong investor interest in the banking sector [18] Group 9: Corporate Governance Changes - A significant shift in corporate governance is underway, with many banks abolishing or not establishing supervisory boards, transitioning to a single board system [21][22] - This change aims to enhance efficiency and reduce governance costs while maintaining oversight through audit committees [22][24] Group 10: AI Integration - The banking industry is undergoing a transformation driven by artificial intelligence, with major banks adopting an "AI-first" strategy to enhance their operations [25][26] - AI applications are expanding from customer service to core business processes, indicating a shift towards value creation through technology [26]