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国泰海通|建材:AI转产驱动下的传统布超预期提价
国泰海通证券研究· 2026-02-11 14:02
Core Viewpoint - The article maintains a "buy" rating, highlighting accelerated price increases for traditional fiberglass electronic fabrics since February, confirming previous reports that machine capacity shifts to AI electronic fabrics have led to supply shortages in traditional fabrics, thereby enhancing profitability for leading fiberglass companies [1]. Group 1: Price Increases and Supply Shortages - Traditional electronic fabric prices have surged in February, with the first week of February seeing prices for 7628 electronic fabric ranging from 4.9 to 5.45 yuan per meter, an increase of 0.5 to 0.6 yuan per meter compared to the previous month [1]. - The announcement by Taiyao Technology on February 10 indicated a reduction in E-glass supply due to high demand for low-dielectric fabrics, further exacerbating the supply shortage of traditional fabrics [1][2]. Group 2: Inventory Levels and Production Capacity - Current inventory levels for leading traditional electronic fabric companies are only two weeks, significantly lower than the normal inventory level of 1 to 1.5 months, primarily due to the shift in weaving machine production to AI specialty fabrics [2]. - Planned expansions for traditional electronic fabric production include 85,000 tons from International Composite Materials and 100,000 tons from China Jushi in Huai'an, with the latter expected to contribute 1 to 1.5 billion meters of electronic fabric capacity [2]. Group 3: AI Electronic Fabric Demand - The shortage of traditional fabrics and the strong demand for AI electronic fabrics are interconnected, with 2026 expected to be a year of realization for AI electronic fabric demand [3]. - The demand for CTE fabrics has been driven by the packaging board needs of AI chips and consumer electronics, with limited suppliers contributing to a high degree of scarcity [3]. - The overall increase in demand for low-dielectric fabrics is expected to remain strong, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 as AI electronic fabrics enter a phase of realization [3].
玻纤电子布行业更新:AI转产驱动下的传统布超预期提价
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-11 11:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the fiberglass electronic cloth industry, indicating a projected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index within the next 12 months [4][10]. Core Insights - The acceleration in price increases for traditional fiberglass electronic cloth since February, combined with reduced supply of E-glass products announced by Taiyao Technology, has led to a continued expectation of tight supply for traditional cloth, enhancing profitability for leading fiberglass companies [2][4]. - The report highlights that the tight supply of traditional electronic cloth is primarily driven by two factors: unexpected price increases in February and a significant reduction in E-glass supply due to production shifts towards low-dielectric cloth [4]. - The report anticipates that 2026 will be a year of realization for AI electronic cloth, with strong demand expected to translate into financial performance for companies with comprehensive product structures and leading customer certifications [4]. Summary by Sections Price Trends and Supply Dynamics - Traditional electronic cloth prices have risen significantly, with the first week of February seeing prices between 4.9-5.45 RMB/m, an increase of 0.5-0.6 RMB/m compared to previous rounds of price hikes [4]. - The inventory levels for traditional electronic cloth are currently low, estimated at only two weeks, compared to a normal level of 1-1.5 months, indicating a supply shortage exacerbated by production shifts [4]. Company Recommendations - Recommended stocks include China Jushi, Kingboard Laminates, and China National Building Material, with expectations of increased profitability driven by price hikes in traditional electronic cloth [4]. - The report notes that the production capacity expansions planned for 2026 include significant increases from companies like International Composites and China Jushi, which are expected to alleviate some supply pressures [4]. Market Outlook - The report suggests that the demand for AI electronic cloth will remain strong, with specific segments like CTE cloth and low-dielectric cloth experiencing high demand due to their applications in AI chips and consumer electronics [4]. - Overall, the report indicates that companies with strong cost management and innovative product offerings are likely to outperform the industry as the market evolves in 2026 [4].