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【建筑建材】玻纤电子纱提价,水泥玻璃需求仍然低迷——建材、建筑及基建公募REITs周报(9月27日-10月10日)(孙伟风)
光大证券研究· 2025-10-13 23:07
特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 玻纤:电子纱电子布提价,四季度玻纤供需情况或有改善 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 报告摘要 电子纱方面,10月10日(周五),玻纤龙头企业重庆国际、林州光远等对旗下G75电子纱、7628电子布提 价,G75电子纱提价幅度150-300元/吨不等,7628电子布0.2元/米。国庆节前个别大厂库存压力不大,已有 节后提价预期。高端电子布市场仍呈现供不应求格局。 粗纱方面,近期价格保持稳定,9月月内多数池窑厂价格提涨带动下游适当补货、备货,整体月均产销维 持良好水平。9月末,玻纤行业库存下降至86万吨,环比-5%。展望25Q4,预计行业新增产能较少(25新 增产能主要集中在25H1投产,25H2相对较少),粗纱供需格局有望阶段性改善。 水泥:华东区域水泥价格回落,国庆前后 ...
玻纤电子纱提价,水泥玻璃需求仍然低迷:建材、建筑及基建公募REITs周报(9月27日-10月10日)-20251013
EBSCN· 2025-10-13 11:17
玻纤电子纱提价,水泥玻璃需求仍然低迷 ——建材、建筑及基建公募 REITs 周报(9 月 27 日-10 月 10 日) 要点 玻纤:电子纱电子布提价,四季度玻纤供需情况或有改善。 2025 年 10 月 13 日 电子纱方面,10 月 10 日(周五),玻纤龙头企业重庆国际、林州光远等对旗下 G75 电子纱、7628 电子布提价,G75 电子纱提价幅度 150-300 元/吨不等,7628 电子布 0.2 元/米。国庆节前个别大厂库存压力不大,已有节后提价预期。高端 电子布市场仍呈现供不应求格局。 粗纱方面,近期价格保持稳定,9 月月内多数池窑厂价格提涨带动下游适当补货、 备货,整体月均产销维持良好水平。9 月末,玻纤行业库存下降至 86 万吨,环 比-5%。展望 25Q4,预计行业新增产能较少(25 新增产能主要集中在 25H1 投 产,25H2 相对较少),粗纱供需格局有望阶段性改善。 行业研究 水泥:华东区域水泥价格回落,国庆前后下游需求仍然偏弱。 国庆假期后,受资金短缺以及降温、降雨天气等多重因素影响,水泥市场需求环 比有所回落。全国重点地区水泥企业的平均出货率低于 45%。价格方面,由于 需求支撑 ...
建筑材料3Q2025年季报前瞻:盈利分化,需求是核心
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-10-13 09:40
s 建筑材料 3Q2025 年季报前瞻 建筑材料 证券研究报告 行业投资策略报告 / 2025.10.13 投资评级:看好(维持) 分析师 毕春晖 SAC 证书编号:S0160522070001 bich@ctsec.com 分析师 朱健 SAC 证书编号:S0160524120002 zhujian@ctsec.com 分析师 陈琳云 SAC 证书编号:S0160524120005 chenly03@ctsec.com 相关报告 | 1. 《建材行业策略周报》 | 2025-10-07 | | --- | --- | | 2. 《建材行业策略周报》 | 2025-09-29 | 3. 《建材行业策略周报》 2025-09-21 盈利分化,需求是核心 核心观点 风险提示:宏观经济下行风险、地产市场超预期下滑、行业协同破裂。 请阅读最后一页的重要声明! | 1 | 消费建材:分化渐显,涂料防水业绩较优 3 | | --- | --- | | 2 | 周期:需求不足,供给难调 3 | | 2.1 | 水泥:量价齐降,行业盈利承压 3 | | 2.2 | 玻璃:量价承压,企业盈利走弱 4 | | 2.3 | 玻纤: ...
建材行业报告(2025.09.29-2025.10.12):中美贸易摩擦升温,关注低位内需板块
China Post Securities· 2025-10-13 05:08
分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5349.43 | | 52 周最高 | 5355.99 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 证券研究报告:建筑材料|行业周报 行业相对指数表现 发布时间:2025-10-13 研究所 近期研究报告 《建材行业发布稳增长方案,继续严控 水泥玻璃产能》 - 2025.09.29 建材行业报告 (2025.09.29-2025.10.12) 中美贸易摩擦升温,关注低位内需板块 投资要点 近期中美贸易摩擦升温,可能促使市场风险偏好发生变化,一方 面建材板块中具备内需+高股息的防御性板块关注度有望提升,另一 方面,建材板块中的水泥、玻璃、消费建材等细分板块今年涨幅相对 落后,市场风格若"高切低",建材板块多细分领域有望受益。 水泥: 7 月 1 日水泥协会发布响应反内卷政策文件,我们判断会 推动限制超产政策更好的执行。短期来看,9 月份进入旺季后,整体 需求呈现有所恢复但增长有限的特点,基建端, ...
建筑材料行业跟踪周报:TACO交易或再来,短期推荐国内循环的科技方向-20251013
Soochow Securities· 2025-10-13 01:30
证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 TACO 交易或再来,短期推荐国内循环的科 技方向 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 大宗建材方面: ◼ 1、玻纤:(1)我们认为中期粗纱盈利有望重回改善趋势。当前行业盈利 仍处低位,一季度以来行业之中前期推迟点火的生产线陆续投产,叠加 关税战下出口需求阶段性受冲击,行业库存逐步积累,粗纱低端产品价 格松动,而中高端产品价格基本稳定。我们认为粗纱中期供给冲击最大 的阶段已经过去,此次行业联合骨干企业的反内卷倡议说明行业稳价共 识的进一步强化,有望推动当前竞争较激烈的品类价格企稳回升。中期 来看,粗纱产品的资本开支已经大幅收缩,下游需求有韧性,随着前期 2025 年 10 月 13 日 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书:S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书:S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -9% -6% -3% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 21% 2024/10/14 202 ...
出海+低估值高股息梳理 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-10-13 01:08
国金证券近日发布非金属建材周观点:本周全国高标均价349元/t,同比-53元/t,环比-2 元/t,全国平均出货率44.5%,环比-1.9pct,库容比为66.7%,环比+1.1pct,同比+2.7pct。玻 璃:本周浮法均价1289.81元/吨,环比上涨65.07元/吨,涨幅5.31%,截至9月30日重点监测 省份生产企业库存天数约24.8天,较上周四减少1.38天。截至本周四,2.0mm镀膜面板主流 订单价格13元/平左右,环比持平。 ①9月29日,中材科技公告称,拟定增募资不超过44.8亿元,用于年产3,500万米低介电 纤维布项目、年产2,400万米超低损耗低介电纤维布项目、偿还国拨资金专项应付款、补充 流动资金。②10月8日,华新水泥发布公告:拟向激励对象11人授予限制性股票257.8万股; 拟斥3225.0万-6450.0万元回购公司股份,回购股份价格不超25元/股;公司终止筹划境外子 公司分拆上市;公司拟更名为"华新建材",证券代码未变。③10月10日,中材国际发布2025 年第三季度主要经营数据。 风险提示: 【周期联动】 ①水泥:本周全国高标均价349元/t,同比-53元/t,环比-2元/t ...
出海+低估值高股息梳理-20251012
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-10-12 12:24
Investment Rating - The report highlights several companies with dividend yields exceeding 5%, including Sichuan Road and Bridge, Rabbit Baby, and others, indicating a positive investment outlook for these firms [2][12] Core Insights - The report recommends focusing on overseas markets, particularly in Africa, for building materials, fiberglass, and electrolytic aluminum sectors, suggesting that companies like Keda Manufacturing and Huaxin Cement are well-positioned for international competition [13] - Continued tracking of AI copper foil and AI electronic cloth is advised, as demand remains strong, benefiting from capital expenditure expansion in semiconductor clean rooms and PCB equipment [3] Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - Companies with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio below 15x include Sichuan Road and Bridge (8.8x), China Construction (4.8x), and others, indicating potential undervaluation [2][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of cash dividend ratios for 2024 and 2025, with several companies projected to maintain high dividend yields [2][12] Cycle Linkage - The national average price for cement is reported at 349 RMB/t, down 53 RMB/t year-on-year, with an average shipment rate of 44.5% [4][14] - The average price for float glass increased to 1289.81 RMB/t, reflecting a 5.31% rise, while inventory levels decreased [4][14] Market Performance - The building materials index increased by 2.66%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [17] - Cement manufacturing showed a price adjustment of -0.4%, with regional variations in pricing due to demand fluctuations [21][25] Price Changes in Building Materials - The report notes that the price of 2400tex fiberglass remains stable at 3524.75 RMB/t, with no significant changes expected in the short term [56] - The electronic cloth market shows stable pricing, with current rates between 4.3-4.5 RMB/m [57]
申万宏源证券晨会报告-20251010
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-10-10 00:43
| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | (点) | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 3934 | 1.32 | 3.33 | 1.32 | | 深证综指 | 2550 | 1.21 | 6.22 | 1.21 | | 风格指数 | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (%) | | | | | 大盘指数 | 1.31 | 6.12 | 28.17 | | 中盘指数 | 2.07 | 10.12 | 41.2 | | 小盘指数 | 1.21 | 6.19 | 34.91 | | 涨幅居前 | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | 行业(%) | | | | | 贵金属 | 8.63 | 11.52 | 59.45 | | 工业金属 | 7.89 | 22.44 | 82.94 | | 小金属Ⅱ | 7.51 | 8.09 | 77.84 | | 能源金属 | 6.83 | 23.01 | 101.49 | | 金属新材料 | 5 ...
建材行业2025年三季报业绩前瞻:淡季修复放缓,优质个股延续改善
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-10-09 14:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the building materials industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's performance relative to the overall market [2][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the cement industry is experiencing a traditional seasonal downturn in Q3 2025, with prices expected to decline after peaking earlier in the year. The average cement price in Q3 2025 is projected at 353.1 CNY/ton, down 27.6 CNY/ton from the previous quarter and down 33.5% year-on-year [2][3]. - The report notes that while the cement industry's profitability is under pressure, there are ongoing developments in overseas markets, particularly in Africa, where profitability is expected to improve [2]. - In the fiberglass sector, the report indicates that mid-to-high-end product prices are more resilient, with special fabrics contributing positively to profitability. The report anticipates continued differentiation in the fiberglass market, with low-end products facing weaker profitability [2][3]. - The consumer building materials segment is expected to see strong performance from quality companies, particularly in categories like coatings and tiles, as demand in the residential real estate market remains relatively weak [2]. - The glass industry is facing challenges, with photovoltaic glass prices slightly declining and flat glass prices under pressure. The report suggests that the industry may see a shift towards cleaner production methods, which could improve profitability in the coming years [2]. Summary by Sections Cement - Q3 2025 is a traditional off-season for the cement industry, with prices expected to decline after a peak earlier in the year. The average price is projected at 353.1 CNY/ton, down 27.6 CNY/ton from the previous quarter and down 33.5% year-on-year [2][3]. - The industry is expected to face overall profitability pressure, but overseas expansion, particularly in Africa, shows promise for improved earnings [2]. Fiberglass - Mid-to-high-end fiberglass products are showing stronger price resilience, while low-end products are struggling. The report anticipates continued growth in special fabric sales [2][3]. Consumer Building Materials - Quality companies in the consumer building materials sector are expected to stand out, particularly in categories with strong brand value and retail attributes. Price increases in various segments are anticipated to stabilize in Q3 2025 [2]. Glass - The glass industry is experiencing price declines, particularly in photovoltaic and flat glass. The report suggests a potential shift towards cleaner production methods, which may enhance profitability in the future [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with improving Q3 performance expectations and strong fundamentals, including major players in the cement, fiberglass, consumer building materials, and glass sectors [2][3].
中国巨石20251008
2025-10-09 02:00
中国巨石 20251008 中国巨石具备显著成本优势,包括原材料采购、地理位置、规模化生产 和技术配方,如液蜡石采购成本低于同行,天然气单耗低 20 立方米每 吨,高端产品盈利能力强,海外基地盈利显著优于国内。 预计中国巨石 2025 年归母净利润约 36.6 亿元,2026 年约 43.5 亿元, 业绩增速分别为 50%和 19%,对应最新 PE 估值分别为 19 倍和 16 倍, 估值仍有提升空间,且未考虑特种电子布领域期权。 摘要 品占比持续提升。今年(2025 年),公司全面布局特种电子布,包括一代、 二代低介电石英布及 Low-CT 等全品类产品,并提出到 2025 年底占据市场 15%份额的目标。这一大胆且明确的战略目标为公司价值重估提供了想象空间。 中国巨石竞争策略转变:从价格竞争转向协同提价,保现金流,并积极 进行高端化转型,尤其是在风电砂和热塑砂领域,目标到 2025 年底在 特种电子布市场占据 15%份额,为公司价值重估提供想象空间。 市场对中国巨石的执行能力存在分歧,但公司在持药技术突破和风电砂 领域快速突围的案例验证了其卓越的执行力,能够将高端化蓝图转化为 业绩增长。 中国巨石在特种电 ...