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大储电芯价格持续上涨,海风高景气度延续 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-10-20 06:55
Group 1: Energy Storage - The price of large storage battery cells continues to rise, indicating strong downstream demand for energy storage [1][4] - Global large storage bidding data remains robust, with urgent energy storage needs in the US PJM grid [4] - Domestic policies are emerging to support the growth of the independent energy storage market, while European gas price increases are boosting household storage demand [1][4] Group 2: Photovoltaics - The prices of silicon wafers and battery cells have continued to rise, while module prices remain stable [2] - Strong overseas market demand is providing significant support for battery cell prices, which in turn drives the upstream price trends [2] - Overseas orders and policy environments are the main drivers supporting the photovoltaic industry chain [2] Group 3: Wind Power - The domestic offshore wind power sector continues to show high activity, with new projects being initiated [3] - Recent developments include the construction of a 500MW offshore wind project in Hainan and the approval of another 500MW project in Yangjiang [3] Group 4: Electric Vehicles - Multiple ministries have issued a "three-year doubling" plan for charging facilities, indicating strong government support for the electric vehicle sector [6] - The sales of heavy-duty trucks in September saw a year-on-year increase of nearly 80%, exceeding expectations [6] - Recommendations include focusing on stable profit segments within the battery and structural components sectors, as well as long-term attention to materials benefiting from solid-state battery advancements [6] Group 5: Robotics and Hydrogen Energy - A strategic partnership has been established between Zhaofeng and German company Neura, with significant orders being delivered [7] - The hydrogen energy sector is experiencing positive development, with national support for new technology research and a focus on green methanol projects [7] - The overall hydrogen industry is accelerating, with a focus on hydrogen production, storage, and applications [7]
大储电芯价格持续上涨,海风高景气度延续
Huaan Securities· 2025-10-20 05:42
Investment Rating - Industry Investment Rating: Overweight [1] Core Views - The price of large storage battery cells continues to rise, indicating strong demand in the energy storage sector. The domestic independent energy storage market is expected to grow due to supportive policies [5][30]. - The domestic offshore wind power sector remains in a high-growth phase, with significant projects such as the 500MW offshore wind project in Hainan officially starting construction [4][21]. - The photovoltaic industry shows stable pricing across the supply chain, with strong overseas demand supporting battery prices [3][14]. Summary by Sections Photovoltaics - The price of silicon wafers and battery cells continues to rise, while module prices remain stable. Strong overseas market demand is a key driver for the price trends [3][14]. - The Qinghai 136 document has initiated bidding for renewable energy projects, with a total mechanism electricity scale of 22.41 billion kWh [14][15]. - GCL-Poly's third-quarter profit reached 960 million yuan, showcasing resilience in a competitive environment [16]. Wind Power - The domestic offshore wind power sector is experiencing high growth, with significant projects like the 500MW offshore wind project in Yangjiang receiving preliminary approval [4][20]. - The Zhejiang offshore wind project has awarded contracts for ±500kV DC submarine and land cables, indicating ongoing investment in infrastructure [20]. Energy Storage - The average price of large storage battery cells has risen to 0.308 yuan/Wh, reflecting strong demand and supply dynamics [25][30]. - In September, the domestic energy storage market saw a significant increase in new installations, with a total of 3.08GW/9.17GWh added, marking a year-on-year growth of 205% in power and 171% in capacity [26]. - The PJM region in the U.S. faces urgent energy storage needs, requiring the deployment of 16-23GW of storage systems over the next 7 to 15 years to meet increasing load demands [27][29]. Hydrogen Energy - The green methanol project is set to receive national subsidies, with companies like Fuan Energy investing in significant production capacity [31][39]. - The hydrogen energy sector is experiencing favorable development trends, with national support for new technologies and financing becoming more accessible [39]. Electric Grid Equipment - NVIDIA's release of the 800V DC white paper highlights the need for high-voltage direct current solutions in data centers, driven by increased power density and load variability [40]. - Investment opportunities in the electric grid sector include companies involved in high-voltage direct current technology and related equipment [41]. Electric Vehicles - The government has launched a three-year plan to double charging facilities, aiming for 28 million nationwide by the end of 2027 [42][45]. - The heavy-duty truck market has seen a nearly 80% year-on-year increase in sales, indicating strong demand and market recovery [45]. Humanoid Robots - A strategic partnership between Zhaofeng and German company Neura has been established, focusing on humanoid robot technology and significant order potential [47][49]. - The humanoid robot sector is entering a phase of small-batch production, with investment opportunities in companies with new technologies and strong order visibility [50].