您是否经常在新闻里听到 "CPI同比上涨X%" 是否好奇这个神秘的数字 究竟是如何计算出来的 就带大家独家揭秘 这个牵动亿万人心的"CPI"指数 到底是如何诞生的。 油到机票、手机费、网 网络会员服务等。 其他用品及服务:美 容美发、旅馆住宿。 医疗保健:药品、医疗 金融服务等。 器具、门诊及任院服务。 在这个大家族下面,还细分了 268个基本分类! 这种细化使得统计能够精准捕捉不同商品类别的价格变动特 征。基本分类是计算和发布指数的最小单元,意味着每一项基 本分类都有其独立的权数和价格指数。 小薇划重点:这个篮子不是一成不变的! 我们每五年会进行一次大的"基期轮换" 平时也会根据市场变化(比如最近火起来 的"国货潮品")进行微调,确保它紧跟 您的消费潮流! ● CPI指数诞生记 抽样与网点布局 2 4 CPI数据的来源必须具有广泛的 代表性。统计部门通过多阶段 分层随机抽样,构建起覆盖全 国的调查网络。 电脑、智能穿戴皮 1. 调查市县的抽选(科学抽选) 中城市 ,1 其他地级市 县级市和具 o © O 分层 PPS抽样 系统抽样 23 将全国城镇划分 按人口比例分配 以人均收入排队, 0 为三个层级。 采 ...

新华财经北京1月27日电澳大利亚统计局将不再在其季度报告中发布同比CPI指数，该机构正转向月度 通胀框架，以使其报告更符合国际惯例。 澳大利亚首席统计官David Gruen周二表示，新的整体通胀指标将基于完整的月度CPI数据得出。他补充 称，用户仍可根据季度数据计算同比通胀率。 Gruen解释道："我们决定不再基于季度数据发布年度变动数据，因为现已改用完整的月度CPI数据推算 澳大利亚通胀率的总体指标，若同时发布两种官方年度整体通胀指标，恐将引发混淆。" （文章来源：新华财经） ...

Group 1 - The U.S. government shutdown has led to the postponement of the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, originally scheduled for release on the 15th [1] - The Labor Department also delayed the release of the September employment data, which was initially set for the 3rd of the month [1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the inability to obtain relevant data, particularly for October, will pose significant challenges if the shutdown continues [1] Group 2 - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned that the ongoing government shutdown is costing the U.S. economy approximately $15 billion per day [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The industry is expected to run with a slight upward trend [3] Core Viewpoints - In September, the apple futures generally showed a strong performance, while the jujube prices first declined and then rebounded, but overall there was a drop [6] - The downstream consumption is slowly recovering, and the consumer spending ability is steadily increasing, but the price level is under relatively large pressure [11][13][14] - The apple market is in the game stage of the new season's listing, and the futures price is expected to remain within a certain range [43] - The jujube price is expected to fluctuate at a high level due to the continuous reduction of spot inventory [59] Summary by Directory 1. 9 - Month Fresh Fruit Price Trend - In September, apple futures generally ran strongly, attempting to break through the pressure level of 8,500 yuan/ton; jujube prices first declined and then rebounded, but overall there was a drop [6] 2. Macro - Analysis: Slow Improvement in Consumption - **Downstream Consumption**: In August 2025, China's total retail sales of consumer goods were 3,966.8 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.4%. The real growth after deducting price factors was 4.1%. From January to August, the cumulative total was 32,390.6 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.6%. The retail sales of goods were 3,517.2 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.6%, and the catering revenue was 449.6 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.1% [13] - **Price Level**: In August 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) was flat month - on - month and decreased by 0.4% year - on - year. The core CPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 0.9% year - on - year. Food prices decreased by 4.3% year - on - year, and the price of fresh fruits changed from a 2.8% increase in July to a 3.7% decrease [16] - **Fruit Prices**: As of the 38th week of 2025, the average wholesale price of six kinds of fruits monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs was 6.81 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.13 yuan/kg compared with the 37th week. Among them, the prices of watermelon and pineapple increased, while those of banana, Kyoho grape, Ya pear, and Fuji apple decreased [18] 3. Apple Price Outlook: Game of Listing Unfolds - **Wholesale Market Price**: As of September 19, 2025, the wholesale price of all varieties of apples was 9.78 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.04 yuan/kg from the previous month; the wholesale price of Fuji apples was 9.35 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.15 yuan/kg from the previous month. Recently, the spot price of Fuji apples has been fluctuating [24] - **Main Apple - Producing Areas**: In Shandong, the prices of different grades of apples vary, and the early - maturing varieties are being traded. In Shaanxi, the early - maturing Fuji trading is in the later stage, and some new varieties are on the market [30] - **Cold Storage Situation**: As of September 17, 2025, the inventory of apple cold storage in the main producing areas was 163,200 tons, a decrease of 45,900 tons compared with the previous week. The inventory turnover in Shandong has slowed down [32] - **Sales Area Market**: In the South China market, the number of trucks arriving at the market has slightly increased. The market is mainly stocked with Fuji apples, and the overall sales are average [36] - **Apple Storage Profit**: In the 2024 - 2025 production season, the profit of storage merchants for 80 first - and second - grade apples in Qixia was 0.3 yuan/jin, the same as the previous week [39] - **Market Outlook**: The supply of early - maturing apples has increased recently, and the price has declined, weakening the support for futures prices. The main logic of the apple market is the expected difference in the new season's realization. The futures price is expected to remain within a certain range [43] 4. Jujube Outlook: High - Level Price Fluctuation - **Spot Price**: The prices of different grades of jujubes in Hebei, Henan, and Guangzhou markets vary according to origin and quality [49] - **Inventory Data**: The physical inventory of 36 sample points this week was 9,203 tons, a decrease of 44 tons compared with the previous week, a month - on - month decrease of 0.48% and a year - on - year increase of 84.80%. The inventory has slightly decreased [51] - **Sales Area Market Profit**: The average purchase price of grey jujubes in Xinjiang's main producing area was 5.33 yuan/kg (2024 production season), and the gross profit in the Hebei sales area was 2.36 yuan/kg, the same as the previous week [55] - **Market Outlook**: Driven by the continuous reduction of spot inventory, the spot price has seasonally rebounded. The jujube price is expected to fluctuate at a high level [59]

波兰央行行长：未来几个季度CPI指数可能会略有上升。 ...