CXO行业景气度复苏
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港股异动 | 医药股连日走低 短期外部环境变化扰动 机构仍看好长期产业发展趋势
智通财经网· 2025-10-14 06:30
Group 1 - The pharmaceutical stocks have been experiencing a continuous decline, with notable drops in companies such as Viatris (down 7.53% to HKD 2.58), Genscript Biotech (down 7.09% to HKD 9.17), and CanSino Biologics (down 5.74% to HKD 64) [1] - Huaxin Securities indicates that the trend of going global will continue into Q3 2025, but there are fewer significant business developments (BD) from listed companies, and the NewCo format of BD has not met market expectations [1] - The escalation of Sino-US trade conflicts may raise concerns about future decoupling risks, but the shift of global innovative research and development towards more efficient Chinese solutions is an unstoppable trend [1] Group 2 - Cinda Securities believes that Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies are gaining a foothold on the global stage, possessing global competitiveness in various niche areas, despite potential short-term policy impacts [2] - The innovative drug sector is expected to remain a key focus for the next 2-3 years, with the CXO industry playing a crucial role in the global innovative drug supply chain [2] - The revised version of the Biodefense Act has undergone multiple iterations, with minimal impact on leading companies, and the CXO sector is currently experiencing a recovery phase, with continuous growth in performance likely to restore market confidence [2]
短期政策扰动不改长期产业趋势,阶段性建议关注三季报行情
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-12 14:34
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry is "Positive" [2]. Core Views - Short-term policy disruptions do not alter long-term industry trends, and there is a recommendation to focus on the Q3 earnings report [2][3]. - The recent performance of the pharmaceutical sector has been relatively weak, with a weekly return of -1.20% and a monthly return of -3.62% compared to the CSI 300 index [3][11]. - Key factors affecting the market include recent agreements in the U.S. regarding drug pricing, significant mergers and acquisitions by multinational corporations, and legislative actions impacting Chinese biotech companies [3][11]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector's weekly return was -1.20%, ranking 25th among 31 sub-industry indices [3][11]. - The Chinese pharmaceutical index has shown a monthly return of -3.62%, ranking 23rd among the same indices [11][21]. Policy Dynamics - On October 9, the National Medical Products Administration announced measures to expedite post-marketing research for traditional Chinese medicine injections [3][11]. - On October 11, the National Healthcare Security Administration issued a notice to strengthen monitoring of drug pricing issues in retail pharmacies [3][11]. Industry Outlook - Despite short-term policy impacts, the long-term trend for innovative drug companies remains positive, with a focus on the next 2-3 years as a critical period for growth [3][11]. - The CXO sector is recovering, and there is an expectation of sustained growth in performance, which may restore market confidence [3][11]. Q3 Earnings Expectations - Anticipated strong Q3 performance in various segments, including medical devices, traditional Chinese medicine, and raw material pharmaceutical companies [3][4]. - Specific companies to watch include United Imaging Healthcare, Kaili Medical, and others in the high-end medical device sector [4][12]. Sub-industry Performance - Among sub-industries, traditional Chinese medicine showed the highest weekly return of 1.51%, while medical services had a weekly return of -3.37% [11][28]. - The medical device sector is expected to stabilize or reverse in Q3, with several companies recommended for attention [4][12]. Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector is 30.88, which is above the historical average of 29.23 [15][18]. - The sector's valuation is at a historically low level, indicating potential investment opportunities [15][18].