Downturn resilience
Search documents
Tesla Down 5%, Buy Or Wait
Forbes· 2025-11-05 13:35
Tesla (TSLA) stock has decreased by 5.1% in a single day, amid concerns around CEO Elon Musk’s proposed $1 trillion compensation plan. The drop followed news that Norway’s $2 trillion sovereign wealth fund — one of Tesla’s largest shareholders — would vote against the package at the upcoming annual meeting. The fund’s opposition, coupled with Musk’s threat to step down if the deal is rejected, likely deepens worries about governance and leadership stability at the company.IN SPACE - FEBRUARY 8: In this hand ...
Buy Or Sell AMD Stock?
Forbes· 2025-10-28 12:50
Group 1: Company Overview - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a $421 billion company with $30 billion in revenue, currently trading at $259.67 [7] - AMD develops x86 microprocessors, accelerated processing units, chipsets, discrete and integrated GPUs, and data center GPUs across various sectors [5] Group 2: Stock Performance - AMD's stock has risen by 62.8% over 21 trading days, driven by a major deal with OpenAI to supply GPU chips for 6 gigawatts of computing capacity over the next five years [1] - The stock experienced a decline of 65.4% from a peak of $161.91 on November 29, 2021, to $55.94 on October 14, 2022, compared to a 25.4% drop for the S&P 500 [8] - AMD's stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by January 18, 2024, and reached a high of $259.67 on October 27, 2025 [8] Group 3: Financial Metrics - Revenue growth over the last 12 months has been 27.2%, with an operating margin of 8.3% [7] - AMD's stock is currently trading at a P/E multiple of 148.7 and a P/EBIT multiple of 170.1 [7] - The company has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.01 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.08 [7] Group 4: Market Context - The stock has historically returned a median of 17.4% within a year following significant declines since 2010 [7] - AMD's stock performance has been worse than the S&P 500 during various economic downturns, raising concerns about its downturn resilience [3][9]
3M Stock To Fall To $120?
Forbes· 2025-10-24 14:30
Core Viewpoint - 3M (NYSE: MMM) shares have increased by 13% recently, currently trading at $171.60, but the overall outlook remains pessimistic with a potential price target of $120 due to various concerns regarding operational performance and financial status [1][3]. Financial Performance - 3M has a market capitalization of $92 billion and has experienced a decline in top-line revenue at an average rate of -10.3% over the past three years, with a slight increase of 1.1% in the last 12 months [5][9]. - Quarterly revenues increased by 3.5% to $6.5 billion in the latest quarter compared to $6.3 billion a year ago [9]. - The operating income over the last 12 months was $5.1 billion, yielding an operating margin of 20.5% [9]. - The company generated nearly $2.5 billion in operating cash flow during the same period, with a cash flow margin of 10.2% [9]. - 3M produced approximately $3.4 billion in net income, indicating a net margin of about 13.7% [9]. Valuation and Market Position - The stock is considered unattractive due to high valuation and moderate operational performance [3][4]. - 3M's debt stands at $13 billion, resulting in a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 14.3% [9]. - The company's cash (including cash equivalents) constitutes $5.2 billion of $38 billion in total assets, leading to a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 13.8% [9]. Growth and Profitability - Organic sales growth has remained weak, contributing to the overall negative outlook on the stock [3]. - Profitability appears moderate when compared to the broader market [7]. Economic Resilience - 3M has performed worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, indicating weak downturn resilience [8].
Buy AMZN Stock At $215?
Forbes· 2025-10-20 12:15
Core Insights - Amazon stock (NASDAQ: AMZN) has seen a significant increase of 27% over the past six months, driven by strong Q2 earnings, growth in AWS, expansion in advertising, and positive analyst sentiment [2][4][6] - Despite the strong performance, the stock faced a temporary pullback due to cautious Q3 guidance and ongoing competition in the cloud sector [3][4] - The current stock price of $215 raises the question of whether it remains a buy, with the conclusion that it is fairly priced given its strong operating performance and financial condition [4] Financial Performance - Amazon's revenue has grown at an average rate of 11.3% over the last three years, with a 11% increase from $604 billion to $670 billion in the last 12 months [10] - Quarterly revenues increased by 13.3%, reaching $168 billion compared to $148 billion a year ago [10] - The last twelve-month operating income was $76 billion, resulting in an operating margin of 11.4% [10] - Amazon generated nearly $121 billion in operating cash flow, with a cash flow margin of 18.1% [10] - The net income for the same period was approximately $71 billion, indicating a net margin of about 10.5% [10] Debt and Financial Stability - Amazon's debt stood at $134 billion at the end of the most recent quarter, with a market cap of $2.3 trillion, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.9% [10] - Cash and cash equivalents accounted for $93 billion of total assets of $682 billion, resulting in a cash-to-assets ratio of 13.7% [10] Stock Recovery and Volatility - The stock experienced a decline of 56.1% from a high of $186.57 on July 8, 2021, to $81.82 on December 28, 2022, compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 [11] - Amazon fully recovered to its pre-crisis peak by April 11, 2024, and reached a high of $242.06 on February 4, 2025, currently trading at $213.04 [11] - Historical performance shows that Amazon has recovered from significant declines during various economic downturns, including a 65.3% drop during the 2008 financial crisis [11]
What’s Happening With Datadog Stock?
Forbes· 2025-10-17 13:21
Core Insights - Datadog stock (NASDAQ: DDOG) has declined by 7.9% over the past five trading days due to insider selling by key executives, raising investor concerns about short-term prospects [2] - The company is reportedly considering a takeover bid for GitLab at $60 per share, significantly above GitLab's previous trading price of $44 [3] - Datadog is currently viewed as relatively expensive, with a high P/E ratio of 420.1 and P/EBIT ratio of 334.7, despite a revenue growth of 26.0% over the last 12 months [6] Company Overview - Datadog is a $52 billion company with $3.0 billion in revenue, offering a SaaS platform for infrastructure, application performance, log, and security monitoring [5][6] - The company has a low debt to equity ratio of 0.02 and a cash to assets ratio of 0.67, indicating strong liquidity [6] Stock Performance - The stock has experienced a significant decline of 68.1% from its peak of $196.56 on November 9, 2021, to $62.69 on April 25, 2023, compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 during the same period [8] - Despite the recent downturn, historically, the stock has returned a median of 56.8% within a year after sharp declines since 2010 [6] - The stock has not yet returned to its pre-Crisis high, with the highest level achieved since then being $168.65 on December 8, 2024, and currently trading at $151.17 [8]
Axon Enterprise Stock Dropped 13% – Have You Assessed The Risk
Forbes· 2025-10-17 10:25
Core Insights - Axon Enterprise (AXON) stock has decreased by 13.3% over the past 21 trading days and is currently viewed as relatively expensive, raising concerns about its valuation [1][2] - The company has a market capitalization of $51 billion and reported $2.4 billion in revenue, with a revenue growth of 32.4% over the last 12 months [3] - AXON stock has historically underperformed the S&P 500 during economic downturns, with significant declines observed in various crises [4][6] Financial Performance - The current trading price of AXON is $652.17, with a P/E multiple of 155.9 and a P/EBIT multiple of 185.9, indicating a high valuation [3] - The company has an operating margin of -0.06% and a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.04, suggesting low leverage [3] - The Cash to Assets ratio stands at 0.36, reflecting the company's liquidity position [3] Historical Stock Performance - AXON stock experienced a peak-to-trough decline of 58.5% from $203.51 on February 11, 2021, to $84.37 on May 11, 2022, compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 [4] - The stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by March 1, 2023, and reached a high of $870.97 on August 7, 2025, before trading at its current price [4] - Historical data shows that AXON stock has had significant recoveries after downturns, with a median return of 68.9% within a year following sharp declines since 2010 [3] Investment Strategy - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which includes 30 stocks that have consistently outperformed benchmarks, is recommended as a more diversified investment approach compared to relying solely on AXON stock [2][5] - The portfolio aims to deliver improved returns with reduced risk, as evidenced by its performance metrics during past financial crises [2][5]
What's Next After Dell's 5% Drop Yesterday?
Forbes· 2025-10-10 12:10
Core Insights - Dell Technologies (DELL) stock has recently experienced a significant decline of 5.2% in one day, and while it is currently viewed as fairly priced, historical trends suggest that buying during dips may be beneficial [2][3] - The company has a market capitalization of $106 billion and reported revenue of $101 billion, with a revenue growth of 10.5% over the last 12 months and an operating margin of 6.8% [5] - The stock has shown a median return of 109% within a year after significant dips since 2010, indicating potential for recovery after downturns [5] Financial Performance - DELL's stock declined by 44.4% from a peak of $60.77 on February 9, 2022, to $33.77 on October 12, 2022, while the S&P 500 experienced a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% during the same period [6] - The stock fully rebounded to its pre-crisis peak by September 1, 2023, and reached a high of $179.21 on May 29, 2024, currently trading at $155.95 [6] - The company maintains a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.09, indicating a relatively low level of debt [5] Market Position and Strategy - DELL operates in multiple business segments, providing infrastructure solutions, client devices, and software, which support hybrid cloud, modern applications, networking, security, and digital workspaces [4] - A diversified investment approach is recommended, as focusing on a single stock carries notable risks; integrating commodities, gold, and crypto with equities could enhance long-term portfolio performance [3]
FICO Stock Lost 9.8% In A Day. Do You Buy Or Wait?
Forbes· 2025-10-09 14:30
Core Insights - Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) stock has experienced a significant decline of 9.8% in a single day, raising concerns about its valuation and potential overpricing [2] - The company has shown resilience during economic downturns, with a better performance compared to the S&P 500 index in terms of both decline magnitude and recovery speed [2][6] Company Overview - Fair Isaac is a data analytics company valued at $41 billion, generating $1.8 billion in revenue, and currently trading at $1,695.01 [5] - The company has reported a revenue growth of 14.7% over the past 12 months and maintains an operating margin of 44.2% [5] - FICO has a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 and a cash-to-assets ratio of 0.08, indicating strong liquidity [5] Valuation Metrics - FICO shares are trading at a P/E ratio of 71.6 and a P/EBIT ratio of 50.5, suggesting a high valuation relative to earnings [5] - Historical performance shows that FICO shares have experienced significant declines in the past but have also demonstrated strong recovery, such as a 66.3% rebound within a year after a 30% drop [5] Historical Performance During Crises - During the 2020 Covid pandemic, FICO shares fell by 50.9% from a peak of $431.78 to $212.00, but fully recovered by July 2020 [8] - In the 2018 correction, shares decreased by 28.6% but recovered to pre-crisis levels by February 2019 [8] - The stock saw a dramatic decline of 76.2% during the 2008 financial crisis but managed to recover by March 2012 [8] - FICO's stock experienced a 38.2% decline from a peak of $552.88 in July 2021 to $341.44 in May 2022, yet it fully recovered to its pre-crisis peak by November 2022 [6]
What Should You Do With WBD Stock At $19?
Forbes· 2025-09-24 14:10
Group 1 - Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) stock has increased by 62.3% over 21 trading days, driven by speculation of a cash acquisition bid from Paramount and Skydance, supported by the Ellison family [1] - Positive analyst sentiment has contributed to the stock's upward momentum, with some analysts setting price targets significantly above WBD's current trading price [1] - WBD is a $48 billion company with $38 billion in revenue, currently trading at $19.56, with a revenue growth of -3.7% over the last 12 months and an operating margin of 2.5% [8] Group 2 - WBD's stock has historically performed worse than the S&P 500 during economic downturns, evaluated based on the extent of decline and recovery speed [5] - The stock experienced an 88.5% drop from a peak of $77.27 on March 19, 2021, to $8.87 on December 28, 2022, compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 [10] - The highest price WBD stock reached since its low was $19.61 on September 22, 2025, and it currently trades at $19.56 [10]
Rocket Lab: How Low Can RKLB Stock Really Go?
Forbes· 2025-09-17 14:20
Company Overview - Rocket Lab (RKLB) is a $24 billion company that provides launch services, small orbital vehicles, and satellite platforms for commercial, aerospace, and government sectors [6] - The company reported $504 million in revenue, with a revenue growth of 54.4% over the last 12 months and an operating margin of -44.1% [6] Stock Performance - RKLB's stock has experienced significant volatility, declining by 82.8% from a peak of $20.72 on September 9, 2021, to $3.56 on December 27, 2022, while the S&P 500 saw a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% during the same period [7] - The stock fully regained its pre-crisis peak by November 21, 2024, and reached a high of $54.04 on September 15, 2025, currently trading at $47.24 [7] Financial Metrics - The stock is currently trading at a P/E multiple of -105.2 and a P/EBIT multiple of -110.4, indicating overvaluation [6] - The company's liquidity is strong, with a debt to equity ratio of 0.02 and a cash to assets ratio of 0.44 [6] Market Resilience - Rocket Lab's stock has shown slightly better performance than the S&P 500 during previous economic downturns, both in terms of the extent of decline and recovery speed [4] - The stock has historically provided a median return of 1.7% within a year after significant dips since 2010 [6] Recent Developments - The company announced plans to raise $750 million through equity dilution, which has led to concerns among investors regarding potential negative impacts on earnings per share [2]