Downturn resilience

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Buy Or Sell SOFI Stock At $24?
Forbes· 2025-07-29 14:05
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies reported strong Q2 earnings with earnings per share of $0.08 and revenue of $855 million, exceeding Wall Street expectations [2] - The company has raised its full-year 2025 revenue forecast to approximately $3.375 billion, indicating a 30% annual growth rate [2] - SoFi's stock surged 14% following the earnings announcement, reflecting positive market sentiment [2] Financial Performance - SoFi's revenue increased by 43% year-over-year, from $599 million to $855 million, while the S&P 500 saw a 4.5% increase [7] - The company has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 8.7 and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 46.8, significantly higher than the S&P 500's ratios of 3.0 and 22.7, respectively [7] - SoFi's net income for the last four quarters was $562 million, resulting in a net income margin of 18.4%, compared to 11.9% for the S&P 500 [8] Valuation and Risk Assessment - The current valuation of SoFi stock is considered high, trading at over 9 times its trailing revenues, compared to a three-year average of 4.5 times [10] - Historical performance shows that SoFi stock has experienced significant declines during market downturns, indicating weak resilience [9][12] - Overall, the company's performance is assessed as moderate, with strong growth but high valuation risk, making it a less appealing investment at current price levels [10]
Should You Buy Abbott Stock At $135?
Forbes· 2025-07-09 10:35
Core Viewpoint - Abbott Laboratories has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 index this year, with an 18% increase in stock price compared to the S&P 500's 6% rise, driven by solid quarterly results and positive future forecasts [2] Growth - Abbott Laboratories' revenues have shown slight growth over recent years, with a 4.6% increase from $40 billion to $42 billion in the last 12 months, while the S&P 500 experienced a growth of 5.5% [6] - Quarterly revenues grew by 7.2% to $11 billion in the most recent quarter from $10 billion a year ago, compared to a 4.8% improvement for the S&P 500 [6] Profitability - Abbott Laboratories' operating income over the last four quarters reached $6.8 billion, reflecting a moderate operating margin of 16.3% [5] - The company's net income stood at $13 billion, indicating a high net income margin of 31.9%, compared to 11.6% for the S&P 500 [12] Financial Stability - Abbott Laboratories has a robust balance sheet, with total debt of $15 billion and a market capitalization of $233 billion, resulting in a low debt-to-equity ratio of 6.3% compared to 19.4% for the S&P 500 [12] - The company's operating cash flow was $8.6 billion, yielding a cash flow margin of 20.4%, higher than the S&P 500's 14.9% [12] Downturn Resilience - Abbott Laboratories has demonstrated more resilience than the S&P 500 during recent downturns, with a peak-to-trough decline of 36.2% from a peak of $141.46 on December 27, 2021, compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 [13] - The stock has shown strong recovery patterns in past crises, fully recovering to pre-crisis peaks in several instances [13] Valuation - Abbott Laboratories' price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 5.6, compared to 3.1 for the S&P 500, and its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 17.7 against the benchmark's 26.9 [6] - The current valuation appears slightly high compared to the broader market but aligns with the stock's historical average [3][9]
Costco Is One of the Largest Consumer Goods Companies by Market Cap. But Is It a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-08 10:17
Costco Wholesale (COST 0.47%) is one of the top consumer goods stocks on the stock market.Since its IPO, the stock is up more than 4,000%, and Costco has been about as consistent a performer as they come in the sector as it benefits from a number of competitive advantages.First, Costco is more resilient to economic downturns than the typical big-box chain. Most of Costco's revenue comes from groceries, a recession-proof category as consumers need to eat regardless of the state of the economy. Additionally, ...
Why AAL Stock Is A Risky Bet
Forbes· 2025-06-12 15:05
American Airlines Boeing 787 Dreamliner aircraft seen parked in Athens International Airport ATH ... More after arrival preparing for a turn around departure to Chicago ORD airport in the USA as flight no AA161. The Boeing 787-8 modern and advanced wide-body airplane has the tail number registration N812AA and is powered by 2x GE General Electric jet engines. (Photo by Nicolas Economou/NurPhoto via Getty Images)NurPhoto via Getty Images American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) shares are currently priced around $11.1 ...
SolarEdge Rally To Continue?
Forbes· 2025-06-12 09:01
Core Viewpoint - SolarEdge Technologies (NASDAQ: SEDG) shares surged nearly 12% following an analyst upgrade, with a year-to-date increase of 50%. The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of $219.5 million, a 7.4% year-over-year increase, while facing challenges in Europe but seeing improved prospects in the U.S. residential market due to expanded manufacturing capacity [2]. Financial Performance - SolarEdge Technologies has experienced an average annual revenue decrease of 13.2% over the last three years, contrasting with a 5.5% rise for the S&P 500. Revenues have diminished by 59.0% from $2.2 billion to $917 million in the last 12 months [5]. - The company's quarterly revenues increased by 7.4% to $219 million in the most recent quarter from $204 million a year ago, compared to a 4.8% rise for the S&P 500 [5]. Profitability Metrics - Over the last four quarters, SolarEdge Technologies reported an Operating Income of $-1.4 billion, resulting in an Operating Margin of -153.6%, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 13.2% [7]. - The Net Income for the last four quarters was $-1.7 billion, leading to a Net Income Margin of -190.7%, compared to 11.6% for the S&P 500 [7]. Financial Stability - As of the end of the most recent quarter, SolarEdge Technologies had a Debt of $758 million and a market capitalization of $1.2 billion, resulting in a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 69.7%, higher than the S&P 500's 19.9% [8]. - The company holds $652 million in cash, constituting 25.8% of its total assets of $2.5 billion, which is stronger than the S&P 500's 13.8% [8]. Market Resilience - SolarEdge Technologies' stock has underperformed compared to the S&P 500 during recent downturns, indicating weak resilience in economic downturns [9]. - The stock lost 80.9% from its peak in November 2021 to November 2023, while the S&P 500 saw a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% during the same period [10]. Overall Assessment - The overall assessment of SolarEdge Technologies indicates very weak growth, extremely weak profitability, strong financial stability, and very weak downturn resilience, leading to the conclusion that the stock is currently unappealing for investment [11][13].
Will UNH Stock Rebound?
Forbes· 2025-05-26 11:05
Core Viewpoint - UnitedHealth Group has experienced a significant stock decline, with a 5.71% drop on May 21, 2025, bringing its stock price to $302.98, marking a 42% decrease year-to-date and 43% over the last 12 months, primarily due to disappointing Q1 results and reduced full-year guidance [1][9] Peer Comparison - Compared to competitors, UnitedHealth's decline is notable; Cigna increased by 4% in 2025 and 5.8% over the previous year, while Molina Healthcare saw a 2.4% year-to-date increase. Humana, like UnitedHealth, faced a drop of over 45% due to Medicare Advantage pressures [2] Valuation - UnitedHealth is trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.7, a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.4, and a price-to-free cash flow ratio of 9.6, all significantly lower than the S&P 500 averages, indicating a potential entry opportunity for long-term investors [3] Growth - The company has shown solid revenue growth, with an average annual growth rate of 11.3% over the last three years and a recent revenue increase of 8.1% from $372 billion to $400 billion [4] Profitability - UnitedHealth's profitability is a concern, with an operating income of $33 billion and a net margin of 5.4%, indicating inefficiencies in converting revenue into profit [5] Financial Stability - The balance sheet remains robust, with $81 billion in debt against a market capitalization of $378 billion, resulting in a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 29.6% and strong liquidity with $29 billion in cash [6] Downturn Resilience - Historically, UnitedHealth has shown resilience during market downturns, with less severe declines compared to the S&P 500 during crises, indicating its capability to recover from systemic shocks [8] Conclusion - Despite legitimate concerns regarding stock decline and profitability, ongoing revenue growth, a solid balance sheet, and historical resilience suggest that the selloff may be excessive, presenting a compelling recovery narrative for long-term investors [9]