Next Tuesday and Wednesday are poised to be major market-moving days, with a heavy concentration of financials earnings. Next Tuesday pre-market, major banks including JPMorgan Chase & Co., Wells Fargo & Company, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (The), and Citigroup Inc. are set to report, alongside healthcare giant Johnson & Johnson. The earnings density continues into Next Wednesday pre-market with Bank of America Corporation and Morgan Stanley, joined by semiconductor leader ASML Holding N.V. and real estate maj ...

Market Overview - The stock market opened higher on Friday, with Wall Street remaining unfazed by the ongoing U.S. government shutdown [2] - The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 reached new intraday record highs despite the shutdown entering its second day [2] - The prediction market Kalshi indicates a 69% chance that the shutdown will last more than 10 days [2] Economic Reports - Investors are closely monitoring upcoming economic reports, although the reliability of government data is in question due to the shutdown [3] - Key reports expected next week include the CB Employment Trends Index, Exports, Imports, Trade Balance, Atlanta Fed GDP, and Consumer Credit [3] - Additional reports on FOMC Minutes, MBA Mortgage Applications, Construction Spending, Gasoline Production, Jobless Claims, and Wholesale Inventories are also anticipated [3] Earnings Reports - Several companies are scheduled to report earnings next week, including Constellation Brands, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Levi Strauss, Tilray, and Unity Bancorp [4] - Specific earnings spotlight dates include Constellation Brands and Aehr Test Systems on October 6, and McCormick & Co on October 7 [5]

Group 1 - The third quarter is concluding with stocks reaching new highs despite weaker economic data and anticipation surrounding the Federal Reserve [2][3] - A significant day for earnings is expected, with major companies like Costco, Accenture, and Jabil reporting [3][4] - Economic data releases today include Durable Goods Orders, Q2 GDP Data, Initial Jobless Claims, and Existing Home Sales, marking a busy day for economic indicators [4]

What do you make of this proposal. Would it increase volatility. And how important is the transparency of quarterly reports as opposed to reports every six months.>> Yeah, I you know, we dealt with this in the 80s and 90s where there were proposals to mirror the Japanese companies. It reported on a semiannual basis and the idea was to get rid of short- termism and focus on the long term. If you look at American companies, they are these days focused on the long term.And investors, I think, need the transpar ...

Policy Change Proposal - The proposal suggests shifting from quarterly to semi-annual earnings reports for companies [1] - The rationale includes cutting costs for companies and allowing managers to focus on long-term business strategy [1] - China is cited as a point of comparison for semi-annual reporting [1] Arguments For and Against - Supporters believe it would allow CEOs to focus on the big picture and give smaller companies more breathing room [2] - Supporters also suggest it would boost the role of financial analysts [2] - Opponents argue it would leave investors in the dark, fuel insider trading, and worsen earning swings [2] Regulatory Considerations - Any change in reporting requirements would require regulatory approval [2] - The SEC Chair, a Trump appointee, would lead the regulatory approval process [2]

Earnings Reports - FedEx Corporation is set to report earnings next Thursday after market close, marking the most significant earnings event of the week [1] - Ferguson Enterprises Inc. will report earnings on the following Tuesday, while General Mills Inc. is scheduled for Wednesday [1] - The earnings calendar for the week is relatively light, with no major sector themes or high-density reporting days [1]

Core Insights - Retailers are experiencing mixed earnings reports, reflecting the impact of tariffs, consumer demand, and operational resilience [1] Group 1: Macy's Inc - Macy's reported adjusted first-quarter earnings of 16 cents per share on revenue of $4.60 billion, exceeding Wall Street expectations [2] - The company has cut its full-year profit forecast due to tariff hikes and increased promotions [2] - Macy's is undergoing a significant turnaround, closing approximately 150 stores and focusing on stronger brands like Bloomingdale's and Bluemercury [2] - Despite a 4% increase before the market opened, Macy's stock is down over 28% year to date [2] Group 2: Abercrombie & Fitch Co - Abercrombie & Fitch's stock surged over 28% in premarket trading following a strong first quarter [3] - The retailer posted earnings of $1.59 per share on $1.1 billion in revenue, significantly surpassing estimates [3] - Although Abercrombie issued positive guidance for the current quarter, it reduced its full-year profit forecast due to an anticipated $50 million impact from tariffs [3] - Prior to this report, Abercrombie's stock was down 48.4% in 2025 [3] Group 3: Dick's Sporting Goods Inc - Dick's Sporting Goods saw its stock rise 5% in electronic trading after reporting earnings of $3.37 per share on $3.17 billion in net sales, both exceeding analyst forecasts [4] - The company reaffirmed its full-year outlook and is managing tariff challenges effectively [4] - Dick's announced plans to acquire rival Foot Locker, indicating confidence in its long-term strategy [4] - Dick's Sporting Goods has a year-to-date deficit of 23.9% [4]

Market Performance - Market indexes experienced a decline, with the Dow dropping 389 points (-0.95%), S&P 500 down 43 points (-0.77%), Nasdaq falling 154 points (-0.87%), and Russell 2000 losing 21 points (-1.05%) [1] Company Earnings Reports - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported earnings of 96 cents per share, beating estimates by 3 cents, with revenues of $7.44 billion surpassing the projected $7.12 billion. Forward revenue guidance was raised to $7.4 billion [3] - Wynn Resorts (WYNN) reported earnings of $1.07 per share, missing the estimate of $1.22, and revenues of $1.7 billion, slightly below the $1.73 billion estimate. The company announced a share buyback program, but faces challenges due to tariff concerns affecting its domestic locations [4] - Rivian Automotive (RIVN) posted a narrower loss of 41 cents per share compared to the expected 80 cents, with revenues of $1.24 billion exceeding the $1.02 billion estimate. The gross profit of $206 million positions the company favorably with Volkswagen, which has invested in Rivian [5] Upcoming Earnings Expectations - The Walt Disney Co. (DIS) is expected to report fiscal Q2 earnings with a projected decline of 2.48% in earnings growth, while top-line growth is anticipated at 4.77%. The Parks division and the film "Thunderbolts" are expected to attract significant interest [6] Federal Reserve Meeting - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is concluding, with no expected change in interest rates. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will address questions regarding the timeline for potential rate reductions and his position before the end of his term in 2026 [7]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 experienced its sixth consecutive day of gains, with no negative impact from economic data or earnings reports [1] - The Dow increased by 300 points (+0.75%), the S&P 500 rose by 32 points (+0.58%), and the Nasdaq grew by 95 points (+0.55%) [2] - Bond yields decreased, with the 10-year yield at 4.17% and the 2-year yield at 3.65% [2] Housing Market - The Case Shiller Home Price Index for February showed a headline increase of +3.9%, which is 20 basis points lower than the previous month [3] - The 10-City survey reported a +5.2% increase, down from +5.7%, while the 20-City index showed a +4.5% increase, down from +4.7% [3] - Notable cities for rising home prices included New York City (+7.7%), Chicago (+7.0%), and Cleveland (+6.6%) [3] Labor Market - The JOLTS report for March indicated job openings at 7.19 million, below the expected 7.5 million, with the previous month revised down to 7.5 million [5] - Job quits remained stable at 3.3 million, with a quits rate of +2.1% [6] - Layoffs in the retail sector decreased by 66,000, and federal government layoffs fell by 11,000 [6] Consumer Confidence - The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for April dropped to 86.0, below the expected 87.3 and down 7.9 points from the previous month [7] - The Expectations Index fell to 54.4, a decrease of -12.5 month over month, marking the lowest level since October 2011 [8] - 32.1% of consumers expect fewer jobs in the next six months, the highest rate since April 2009 [8] Company Earnings - Visa reported fiscal Q2 earnings of $2.76 per share, exceeding expectations of $2.68 and the previous year's $2.51, with revenues of $9.59 billion slightly above the anticipated $9.56 billion [10] - Starbucks missed both earnings and revenue expectations for fiscal Q2, reporting earnings of 41 cents per share and revenues of $8.76 billion, below the expected $8.79 billion [12] - Booking Holdings posted strong Q1 results with earnings of $24.81 per share and revenues of $4.76 billion, surpassing expectations [13] - Seagate Technologies exceeded estimates with fiscal Q3 earnings of $1.90 per share and revenues of $2.16 billion, raising guidance for the next quarter to $2.40 per share [14]

Economic Indicators - The Advance Trade Balance for March reached an all-time low of -$162 billion, worsening from an adjusted -$147.8 billion the previous month, indicating a significant decline since the last presidential election [2] - Advance Retail Inventories fell to -0.1% in March, contrary to expectations of +0.4%, marking a continued downward trend since July of the previous year [3] - Advance Wholesale Inventories increased by +0.5%, slightly below the +0.6% consensus estimate, matching the revised February figure [4] Company Earnings Reports - PayPal (PYPL) reported Q1 earnings of 92 cents per share, exceeding the expected 64 cents, but revenues fell short by -0.88% to $13.72 billion [5] - General Motors (GM) achieved Q1 earnings of $2.78 per share, surpassing the $2.69 estimate, with revenues of $44.02 billion exceeding expectations by +3.57% [6] - Honeywell (HON) reported earnings of $2.51 per share, beating estimates by +13.57%, with quarterly sales of $9.82 billion, a +2.59% increase [7] - Spotify (SPOT) missed Q1 earnings expectations significantly, reporting earnings of $1.13 per share compared to the expected $2.29, with revenues of $4.41 billion falling short by -4.08% [8] Market Expectations - Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) results are anticipated to show a decline from 7.57 million to approximately 7.5 million [10] - Consumer Confidence for April is expected to drop to 87.3 from 92.9 in March, reflecting concerns over the economic outlook and high prices [11] - Upcoming earnings reports from major companies like Visa, Starbucks, Seagate Technologies, and Snap are expected, with significant reports from Microsoft and Meta Platforms starting Wednesday [12]