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9月2日公布的数据显示，美国8月ISM制造业PMI从前值48微升至48.7，不及预期值49，仍然处于荣枯线以 下。 美国最新的8月ISM制造业PMI表明美国制造业仍然处于收缩状态。这是美国经济处于下行趋势的又一个佐 证。 与此同时，特朗普总统的关税政策给美国经济进一步增加了不确定性。这在一定程度上进一步加大了美国经 济的下行压力。 笔者认为，当前美国经济并非某些经济数据所显示的那样健康，如果再叠加"黑天鹅事件"的负面冲击，那么 美国经济的前景堪忧。 JerryZang 免责声明：本文内容及观点仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。一切有关市场的 准确信息，请以相关官方公告为准。市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 在如此的经济形势下，近期公布的美国就业市场数据也出现了恶化的趋势。这在一定程度上支撑美联储在9 月重启降息。 然而，即便美联储未来小幅降息，又能够在多大程度上支撑美国经济的增长，市场对此充满了怀疑。 ...

Economic Performance - Canada's economy experienced a 1.6% annualized decline in Q2 [1] - This represents the most significant drop since the Covid pandemic [1]

Botswana President Duma Boko has declared a public health emergency and set up a 5 billion pula ($348 million) response plan as a prolonged downturn in diamond sales has caused funds for medical supplies to dry up https://t.co/l7IwNKVuHz ...

Economic Indicators - San Francisco Fed researchers introduced a new recession warning gauge [1] - The gauge is intended to help economists assess the likelihood of a US economic downturn [1]

Economic Cycles & Debt - Excessive debt coupled with economic downturns can lead to financial bubbles bursting, forcing countries to choose between defaulting or printing money, which devalues currency and raises inflation [1] - History shows cycles of debt-financed booms and busts, with central banks intervening [2] Internal Conflicts & Political Extremism - Economic hardship, declining living standards, and wealth inequality exacerbate internal conflicts among different groups, leading to political extremism [3] - Left-wing populism seeks wealth redistribution, while right-wing populism aims to maintain wealth concentration [3] Wealth Flight & Government Response - Rising taxes on the wealthy during turbulent times can trigger capital flight to safer assets and locations, reducing tax revenue and leading to economic decline [4] - Governments may eventually outlaw wealth flight as conditions worsen [4] Societal Impact & Leadership - Turbulent conditions undermine productivity, shrinking the economic pie and intensifying conflicts over resource allocation [5] - Democracy faces challenges as populist leaders emerge, promising order and control, potentially leading to a shift towards strong, centralized leadership [5]

Changing norms about which companies have access to equity finance means more companies are going public without cash flows that cover their expenses. If tariffs lead to a downturn, that's a big threat to equities and the economy https://t.co/C0trRYpBeX ...

Market Trends - European and American luxury brands are experiencing declining sales in China due to economic challenges stemming from real estate price collapse [1] - Laopu Gold, a domestic jewelry brand, is thriving by targeting the aspirations of the middle class affected by the economic downturn [1] Competitive Landscape - Laopu Gold is expanding its product range with gold rings, necklaces, and bracelets [1] - Laopu Gold's success contrasts with the struggles of European and American luxury brands in the Chinese market [1]