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中金 | 潮玩系列#4:全球IP生命周期复盘启示录
中金点睛· 2025-06-20 00:10
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the growth and lifecycle of IPs (Intellectual Properties) in the global market, particularly focusing on the success of domestic潮玩 (trendy toys) leaders like Labubu, and analyzes the operational strategies of world-class IPs such as Hello Kitty, Pokémon, and Mickey Mouse to identify potential investment opportunities and risks in the IP industry [1][4]. Global IP Market Overview - The global IP toy market is projected to reach 525.1 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 8% from 2024 to 2029, while the Chinese IP toy market is expected to grow to 75.6 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 17.2% during the same period [2][13]. - The concentration of the global IP licensing market has increased, with the top five companies holding a market share of 41% and the top ten at 54% as of 2024, indicating a trend towards market consolidation [2][21]. IP Lifecycle Model - The IP lifecycle is divided into four stages: birth, breakthrough, sedimentation, and stabilization, with each stage requiring different operational strategies to ensure longevity and profitability [3][30]. - Successful IPs often exhibit a high degree of adaptability and resource allocation, which are crucial for navigating through different lifecycle stages [3][30]. Case Studies of World-Class IPs - Hello Kitty, Mickey Mouse, and Pokémon have each experienced distinct lifecycle phases, with their peak GMV values reaching approximately 3.8 billion, 10 billion, and 12 billion USD respectively, showcasing their commercial viability and cultural significance [4][52]. - The commercial success of these IPs is influenced by factors such as brand inclusivity, geographic reach, and diverse monetization strategies, which can provide valuable insights for the domestic潮玩 industry [4][52]. Operational Strategies - Hello Kitty's operational strategy has evolved through various phases, including initial expansion, global breakout, adjustment periods, and digital transformation, highlighting the importance of adaptability in maintaining relevance [53][56]. - Mickey Mouse has maintained a stable brand presence through consistent content updates and a strong licensing model, benefiting from its deep-rooted cultural significance in the U.S. [57][59]. - Pokémon has leveraged continuous content innovation and a broad commercial ecosystem, including games, merchandise, and media, to sustain its popularity and revenue growth [60][62]. Conclusion - The analysis of these IPs illustrates that a well-structured operational strategy, combined with an understanding of market dynamics and consumer preferences, is essential for the longevity and profitability of IPs in the competitive landscape [3][4][30].