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PFE New & Acquired Drugs Back 1H Top-Line Growth: Will the Trend Last?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 17:56
Core Insights - Pfizer's COVID product sales have declined post-pandemic, but non-COVID operational revenues are improving due to key products and acquisitions [1][4] - 2023 was a record year for new drug approvals, with nine new medicines/vaccines contributing to revenue growth [2] - The acquisition of Seagen is expected to significantly enhance Pfizer's oncology portfolio and revenue potential [5] Group 1: Revenue and Product Performance - Pfizer's recently launched and acquired products generated $4.7 billion in revenues in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 15% operational increase year-over-year [3][9] - The company anticipates continued positive momentum in revenue for the second half of 2025 [3] - Pfizer expects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6% in revenues from 2025 to 2030, despite challenges such as loss of exclusivity [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Pfizer is a major player in the oncology market, competing with companies like AstraZeneca, Merck, and Bristol-Myers [6] - AstraZeneca's oncology sales rose 16% in the first half of 2025, driven by key products [6] - Merck's Keytruda, a leading oncology drug, saw sales increase by 6.6% to $15.1 billion in the first half of 2025 [7] Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - Pfizer's stock has declined 2.1% year-to-date, compared to a 6.4% decrease in the industry [8] - The company's shares are trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 7.95, lower than the industry average of 13.73 and its own 5-year mean of 10.79 [11] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have seen upward revisions, indicating positive market sentiment [12]
Merck & Co (MRK) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-05-14 18:40
Summary of Merck & Co (MRK) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Merck & Co (MRK) - **Date of Conference**: May 14, 2025 - **Key Speakers**: - Jani Oyslisen, President US Human Health - Dr. Marjorie Green, Senior Vice President, Head of Oncology Clinical Development - Peter Dannenbaum, Investor Relations Key Industry Insights Policy and Regulatory Environment - The company is actively monitoring the implications of the Most Favored Nation (MFN) policy and its potential impact on pricing and negotiations within the pharmaceutical industry [6][7][8] - There are ongoing concerns regarding the FDA's stability and relationships, with some senior officials having left, but continuity remains in other divisions [4][5] - The company is preparing for potential changes in drug pricing negotiations under the IRA (Inflation Reduction Act) and how it may affect their products, particularly Keytruda [21][22][24] Financial Performance and Product Insights - Keytruda, Merck's leading oncology product, is projected to generate $32 billion in revenue for the year, accounting for nearly 50% of total company revenues, with a historical growth rate of 20% per year [16][17] - Despite a soft Q1, underlying growth for Keytruda is estimated at 11%, with expectations for continued growth as new indications and geographies are explored [18][19] - The company has seen a threefold increase in its phase three pipeline assets since 2021, with potential revenues of $50 billion from these assets by the mid-2030s [27][28] Competitive Landscape - The company is aware of emerging competition in the oncology space, particularly from bispecific therapies and antibody-drug conjugates, which may pose a threat to Keytruda [37][48] - Merck is developing its own bispecific molecule, indicating a proactive approach to maintaining its competitive edge in oncology [39][43] Challenges and Strategic Responses - The anticipated loss of exclusivity (LOE) for Keytruda starting December 2028 is a significant concern, with potential revenue erosion estimated at 30-40% per year for similar drugs [25][26][30] - The company is focusing on pipeline development and strategic launches to mitigate the impact of LOE, emphasizing the importance of new product introductions [27][29][30] Vaccine Segment - Gardasil's performance has been impacted by a slowdown in China, but outside of China, it has shown a 16% growth rate, indicating ongoing opportunities in other markets [51][52] - The company is monitoring potential changes in vaccination guidelines that could affect Gardasil's market strategy, particularly regarding the number of doses required [53][55] Additional Considerations - The company is committed to ensuring broad access to its products, including subcutaneous formulations of Keytruda, which may enhance patient compliance [20][23] - Merck's strategic focus includes leveraging its extensive pipeline and scientific understanding to navigate competitive threats and regulatory changes effectively [42][49] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and strategic directions discussed during the conference call, highlighting Merck's proactive approach to navigating industry challenges and opportunities.
The Zacks Analyst Blog Merck and AbbVie
ZACKS· 2025-04-15 11:55
For Immediate ReleasesChicago, IL – April 15, 2025 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include Merck (MRK) and AbbVie (ABBV) .Here are highlights from Tuesday’s Analyst Blog:Merck and AbbVie are leading pharmaceutical companies with strong portfolios in oncology and immunology. While AbbVie also markets products fo ...
ABBV vs. MRK: Which Drug Giant is a Better Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-14 15:40
Company Overview - Merck (MRK) and AbbVie (ABBV) are leading pharmaceutical companies with strong portfolios in oncology and immunology, with Merck also involved in vaccines, diabetes, virology, and animal health, while AbbVie has a presence in aesthetics, neuroscience, and eye care [1][2] - Oncology accounts for around 50% of Merck's total revenues, with Keytruda, a PD-L1 inhibitor, alone accounting for approximately 50% of its pharmaceutical sales [1][2] AbbVie Analysis - AbbVie's largest segment is immunology, contributing around 50% of its total revenues, with key drugs including Humira, Skyrizi, and Rinvoq [2][3] - The company has successfully managed the loss of exclusivity for Humira by launching new immunology medicines, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which are performing well and expected to support growth [3][4] - AbbVie has a robust pipeline with several early/mid-stage candidates and anticipates multiple regulatory submissions and approvals in the next 12 months [4] - The company has been active in acquisitions to strengthen its pipeline, particularly in immunology, while also exploring early-stage deals in oncology and neuroscience [4] AbbVie Challenges - AbbVie faces near-term challenges, including biosimilar erosion of Humira, competitive pressure on Imbruvica, and slow market growth for Juvederm fillers in the U.S. and China [5] AbbVie Financials - As of December 31, 2024, AbbVie had $60.3 billion in long-term debt and $6.8 billion in short-term obligations, with cash and cash equivalents of approximately $5.6 billion, resulting in a debt-to-capital ratio of 0.95, significantly higher than the industry average of 0.41 [6] Merck Analysis - Merck has over six blockbuster drugs, with Keytruda being the primary revenue driver, particularly in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer [7] - The company has made significant regulatory and clinical progress in 2024, particularly in oncology and vaccines, and has executed strategic acquisitions [8] Merck Challenges - Merck's sales of Gardasil declined in 2024 due to weak performance in China, and the company is experiencing weakness in its diabetes franchise and generic erosion of some drugs [9] - Concerns are rising about Merck's ability to grow its non-oncology business ahead of Keytruda's loss of exclusivity in 2028 [10] Merck Financials - As of the end of 2024, Merck had cash and cash equivalents of $13.7 billion against long-term debt of $34.5 billion, resulting in a debt-to-capital ratio of 0.42, slightly above the industry average [10] Sales and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AbbVie's 2025 sales and EPS implies year-over-year increases of 5.7% and 21.4%, respectively [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Merck's 2025 sales and EPS implies year-over-year increases of 1.3% and 17.1%, respectively [14] Stock Performance - Year-to-date, AbbVie's stock has declined by 0.6%, while Merck's stock has dropped by 19.7%, compared to the industry's decrease of 6.0% [17] Valuation Comparison - Both companies are priced lower than the industry average, with AbbVie trading at a price/earnings ratio of 13.71, higher than Merck's 8.60 [19] - AbbVie's dividend yield is 3.75%, lower than Merck's 4.09% [20] Return on Equity - AbbVie's return on equity stands at 296.3%, significantly higher than Merck's 44.4% [23] Investment Outlook - AbbVie is positioned for continued strong growth, having navigated the challenges of Humira's patent cliff effectively, while Merck faces uncertainties related to Keytruda's upcoming loss of exclusivity [25][26] - AbbVie expects robust mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2025, while Merck's future growth is uncertain due to its reliance on Keytruda [26]