Key Takeaways MRK shares jumped nearly 13% as Pfizer's drug-pricing deal lifted sentiment across big pharma.Keytruda drives over half of MRK's pharma sales, but exclusivity ends in 2028.Weak Gardasil demand in China and rising competition weigh on MRK's near-term outlook.Merck’s (MRK) shares have risen almost 13% in the past week as Pfizer’s (PFE) landmark deal with the Trump administration to lower drug costs eased investor concerns over pricing and tariffs in the pharma sector, pushing up stock prices of ...

We recently published 11 Stocks Crushing Wall Street With Whopping Gains. Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK) is one of the top performers on Tuesday. Shares of Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE:MRK) rallied for a third straight day on Tuesday, as investors snapped up shares on twin catalysts, including tariffs on pharmaceutical imports and stellar results from its clinical trial for a treatment candidate for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). During the session, Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK) finished the day up by 6.8 ...

Core Insights - Merck & Co., Inc. is recognized as one of the 10 cash-rich dividend stocks to consider for investment [1] - The company faces potential risks as its leading cancer drug, Keytruda, is set to lose patent protection in 2028, which accounts for approximately 50% of its revenue [2] Group 1: Financial Performance and Strategy - Merck is developing an injectable version of Keytruda to mitigate risks associated with patent expiration and is expanding its drug pipeline through internal development and acquisitions [3] - The company has recently received approval for Winrevair, a therapy for pulmonary arterial hypertension, which has the potential to become a blockbuster drug [3] - Merck is acquiring Verona Pharma for $10 billion to enhance its portfolio, including Ohtuvayre, a promising drug for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) [3] Group 2: Dividend Policy - Merck has a strong dividend policy, having raised its dividends for 16 consecutive years, currently offering a quarterly dividend of $0.81 per share [4] - As of September 27, the stock has a dividend yield of 4.12%, making it attractive to investors [4]

Group 1: Merck - Merck is considered a cheap stock with a market cap exceeding $200 billion, despite concerns over the loss of patent protection for its top-selling cancer drug, Keytruda, which will begin in 2028 and accounts for about 50% of its revenue [3][4]. - The company is launching a new injectable form of Keytruda and expanding its pipeline through in-house development and acquisitions, including the recent acquisition of Verona Pharma for $10 billion, which adds a potential blockbuster treatment for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [4][5]. - Merck's stock has declined over 15% this year, trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of less than 9, compared to the S&P 500 average of over 21, indicating it may be a strong buy for long-term investors [7]. Group 2: Novo Nordisk - Novo Nordisk has faced significant challenges over the past 18 months, with financial results falling short of market expectations and clinical setbacks impacting its stock price [10]. - Despite the justified sell-off, it is argued that the decline has been excessive, with Novo Nordisk currently trading at 13.6 times forward earnings, below the healthcare sector average of 16.4 [10]. Group 3: Pfizer - Pfizer's current situation is perceived to be more favorable than it appears, suggesting potential undervaluation in the market [9].

Core Viewpoint - The healthcare sector, particularly dividend-paying stocks like Amgen and Merck, presents solid investment opportunities due to their non-cyclical nature and consistent revenue generation even in challenging economic conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Amgen - Amgen is a leading biotech company with a diverse portfolio of over two dozen products, many of which are blockbuster drugs generating over $1 billion in annual sales [4]. - The company reported a 9% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2, reaching $9.2 billion, with non-GAAP earnings per share at $6.02, a 21% increase from the previous year [6]. - Amgen faces patent cliffs and biosimilar competition but has strong growth drivers, including Tezspire for asthma, which saw a 46% year-over-year sales increase to $342 million [7][8]. - The company has a robust dividend profile with a forward yield of 3.4%, having increased its payouts annually since 2011 [9]. Group 2: Merck - Merck is experiencing increased competition for its cancer drug Keytruda, with patent exclusivity expiring in 2028, and has faced declining sales in its vaccine franchise due to paused shipments in China [10][11]. - In Q2, Merck's revenue declined by 2% year-over-year to $15.8 billion [11]. - The company is developing a subcutaneous version of Keytruda to extend its patent life and has received approval for new products like Winrevair for pulmonary arterial hypertension [12][13]. - Merck's forward yield is currently at 3.9%, with an 88.8% increase in dividends over the past decade, making it an attractive option for dividend investors despite current challenges [15].

Core Insights - Merck (MRK) is a leading pharmaceutical company with a strong oncology portfolio, primarily driven by its blockbuster drug Keytruda, which accounts for over 50% of pharmaceutical sales [6][9][25] - The company is actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions to enhance its pipeline and diversify its product offerings, particularly in light of the impending loss of exclusivity for Keytruda in 2028 [11][19][30] - Despite strong sales growth from Keytruda, Merck faces challenges including a significant decline in Gardasil sales due to weak demand in China and competitive pressures on its drug portfolio [16][19][30] Group 1: Keytruda and Sales Performance - Keytruda's sales rose approximately 7% in the first half of 2025, benefiting from increased uptake in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer [7][9] - Merck is developing new strategies to sustain Keytruda's growth, including innovative combinations with other therapies and a subcutaneous formulation under FDA review [8][10] - The company's shares have declined nearly 14% in 2025, underperforming the industry and the S&P 500 [2][9] Group 2: Pipeline and M&A Activity - Merck's pipeline has nearly tripled since 2021, with plans to launch around 20 new vaccines and drugs, including Capvaxive and Winrevair, which have strong revenue potential [12][15] - The acquisition of Verona Pharma for approximately $10 billion is expected to bolster Merck's cardio-pulmonary pipeline [15][29] - Regulatory progress includes the approval of the RSV antibody Enflonsia in the U.S. and ongoing reviews for other products [13][14] Group 3: Challenges and Market Dynamics - Gardasil sales fell 48% in the first half of 2025, primarily due to sluggish demand in China, leading to a temporary halt in shipments [16][17] - Competitive pressures are increasing for Keytruda, particularly from new dual PD-1/VEGF inhibitors that may challenge its market position [20][21] - Merck's reliance on Keytruda raises concerns about its ability to diversify its product lineup and grow its non-oncology business ahead of the LOE period [19][30] Group 4: Financial Outlook and Valuation - Merck's shares are currently trading at a price/earnings ratio of 8.95, which is lower than the industry average of 14.78 [21] - Earnings estimates for 2025 have slightly increased, while those for 2026 have decreased, indicating mixed market sentiment [23] - A new multi-year optimization initiative aims to save $3 billion in annual costs by the end of 2027, which may help mitigate revenue gaps from Keytruda's LOE [29][30]

Core Insights - Merck (MRK) is experiencing growth driven by new products and a robust pipeline, particularly in oncology, vaccines, and infectious diseases [1][2] - The company's phase III pipeline has nearly tripled since 2021, positioning it to launch around 20 new vaccines and drugs in the coming years, many of which have blockbuster potential [2][10] Pipeline and Product Development - Promising late-stage candidates include enlicitide decanoate/MK-0616 for hypercholesterolemia, tulisokibart for ulcerative colitis, and bomedemstat for blood disorders [3][6] - The CORALreef Lipids study demonstrated that enlicitide decanoate significantly reduced LDL cholesterol levels compared to placebo, meeting all primary and key secondary endpoints [4][5][10] - If approved, enlicitide decanoate could be the first oral PCSK9 inhibitor, potentially transforming LDL management [6][10] Competitive Landscape - The cholesterol management market is competitive, with existing PCSK9 inhibitors like Amgen's Repatha and Regeneron's Praluent, as well as AstraZeneca's developing oral PCSK9 inhibitor, AZD0780 [7][8] Long-Term Growth Strategy - Merck is focusing on new drug approvals to sustain growth, especially as its blockbuster Keytruda faces loss of exclusivity in 2028 [11] - New products like the 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine Capvaxive and pulmonary arterial hypertension drug Winrevair are expected to generate significant revenues [11][12] Financial Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Merck's shares have decreased by 14.1%, contrasting with a 0.5% decline in the industry [13] - Merck's price/earnings ratio is currently at 9.12, lower than the industry average of 14.78, indicating attractive valuation [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has slightly increased, while the estimate for 2026 has decreased [15]

Core Insights - Merck's oncology segment is significantly driven by Keytruda, which accounted for over 50% of the company's pharmaceutical sales in the first half of 2025 [1][11] - Keytruda generated $15.16 billion in sales during the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of nearly 7% [2][11] - The company anticipates continued growth from Keytruda, particularly in early-stage lung cancer, despite some offset from weaker Gardasil sales in China and Japan [4][3] Sales and Growth - Full-year 2025 sales for Keytruda are estimated to reach $32.2 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 9.2% [2] - The drug's sales are bolstered by its rapid adoption in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer and sustained momentum in metastatic indications [3] Strategic Initiatives - Merck is exploring various strategies for long-term growth, including innovative immuno-oncology combinations and a personalized mRNA therapeutic cancer vaccine in collaboration with Moderna [5][6] - A subcutaneous formulation of Keytruda is under review in the U.S., which could extend its patent life [7] Competitive Landscape - Competitive pressure for Keytruda may increase, particularly with Summit Therapeutics' ivonescimab showing promising results in a phase III study, potentially positioning it as a new standard of care [8] Financial Performance - Year-to-date, Merck's shares have decreased by 15.3%, underperforming both the industry and the S&P 500 [10] - The company's shares are currently trading at a price/earnings ratio of 9.01, which is lower than the industry average of 14.45 [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has increased slightly from $8.85 to $8.92 per share, while the estimate for 2026 has decreased from $9.65 to $9.59 [13]

Group 1: Pfizer - Pfizer has faced declining financial results and competition, with key products like Eliquis and Xtandi losing patent protection in the coming years [4] - Despite recent stock performance challenges, Pfizer's shares are considered attractive due to a strong pipeline, particularly in oncology, with plans to increase blockbuster cancer medicines from five to eight by 2030 [5][6] - The company has launched a new RSV vaccine, Abrysvo, generating $143 million in sales in Q2 2023, and has plans for further label expansions [7] - Pfizer aims for $4.5 billion in net cost savings this year, which contributed to an earnings beat in Q2, enhancing profitability [8] - The company offers a solid dividend yield over 7%, with a 19.5% increase in payouts over the past five years, making it a good long-term investment for income-seeking investors [9] Group 2: Merck - Merck is experiencing challenges, particularly with increased competition for its leading drug Keytruda and an impending patent cliff in 2028 [10] - The company's Q2 revenue declined by 2% year over year to $15.8 billion, with adjusted earnings per share down 7% to $2.13 [10] - However, Merck's new product Winrevair reported sales of $336 million, and its animal health segment saw an 11% sales increase to $1.6 billion [11] - Merck has promising pipeline candidates, including a subcutaneous version of Keytruda, which could extend patent protection and mitigate revenue losses [12] - The company offers a forward dividend yield of 4.1%, with a 39% increase in dividends over the past five years, making it an attractive option for dividend investors [13]

Core Viewpoint - Merck (MRK) reported mixed second-quarter results, beating earnings estimates while meeting sales expectations, and narrowed its sales guidance for 2025 despite a less negative impact from currency fluctuations [1][2]. Financial Guidance - Merck now expects revenues to be between $64.3 billion and $65.3 billion, down from the previous range of $64.1 billion to $65.6 billion, reflecting a revised negative impact from foreign exchange of approximately 0.5% [2][10]. - Adjusted EPS is projected to be between $8.87 and $8.97, an increase from the prior range of $8.82 to $8.97, with a revised negative impact of foreign exchange estimated at around 15 cents per share [2][10]. Acquisition Plans - The guidance does not account for the upcoming acquisition of Verona Pharma for approximately $10 billion, expected to close in Q4 2025, which will add Ohtuvayre for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease treatment [3]. Growth Expectations - After a weak sales performance in the first half of 2025, Merck anticipates a return to growth in the second half, driven by oncology drugs like Keytruda, the Animal Health segment, and new products, although lower sales of Gardasil in China and Japan may offset some growth [4][6]. Key Product Performance - Keytruda generated $7.96 billion in sales in Q2 2025, a 9% year-over-year increase, accounting for about 50% of Merck's pharmaceutical sales [5][10]. - The Animal Health segment reported revenues of $1.65 billion, up 11% year-over-year, driven by increased demand for livestock products [5]. New Product Contributions - Winrevair, a new pulmonary arterial hypertension drug, achieved $336 million in sales, a 20% sequential increase, while Capvaxive, a new pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, posted sales of $129 million, up 20.1% [7]. - Both products are viewed as key revenue drivers for long-term growth, especially as Keytruda's exclusivity ends in 2028 [7]. Competitive Landscape - Winrevair is expected to face significant competition in the pulmonary arterial hypertension market from United Therapeutics and Johnson & Johnson, which have established products in this space [8][9][11]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Merck's shares have declined by 18.8%, compared to an 8.2% decrease in the industry [12]. - Merck's shares trade at a forward price/earnings ratio of 8.64, lower than the industry average of 13.71 and its 5-year mean of 12.79, indicating attractive valuation [13]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has increased from $8.88 to $8.92 per share, while the estimate for 2026 has decreased from $9.70 to $9.61 over the past 30 days [14].