Core Viewpoint - Company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for New Oriental-S (09901) for FY26-28 down by 8% to $4.42 billion, $5.14 billion, and $5.82 billion respectively, while maintaining an "Overweight" rating due to strong industry demand despite increased competition [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In FY26Q1, the company achieved net revenue of $15.23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding previous guidance [2][3] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% [2] - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $11.32 billion and $11.63 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [4] Group 2: Business Segments - The overseas examination preparation business saw a revenue increase of 1.0%, while the overseas consulting business grew by 2.0%, indicating a slowdown in growth [3] - Domestic examination preparation for adults and university students experienced a robust revenue growth of 14.4% [3] - New educational business revenue grew by 15.3%, although growth has slowed due to increased competition from low-cost/free classes during the summer [3] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, an increase of 11.3% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage point [5] - The improvement in profit margin is attributed to ongoing efforts in cost optimization and operational efficiency [5] - The company is implementing a three-year shareholder return plan, committing at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholder returns, including a $190 million cash dividend and a $300 million share buyback plan [4]

Core Insights - New Oriental Education Technology Group reported a revenue increase of 13.6% year-on-year for the fiscal year 2025, reaching $4.9 billion, while net profit grew by 20.1% to $372 million [2][3] - However, the company experienced a significant decline in net profit of 73.7% in the fourth quarter, with net revenue of $1.243 billion, a 9.4% increase year-on-year [2][4] - The company aims to enhance management of its core education business and integrate AI technology into its future strategy [1][5] Financial Performance - Fiscal Year 2025 financial highlights include: - Net revenue: $4.9 billion, up 13.6% from $4.313 billion in FY 2024 [2] - Operating profit: $428.25 million, a 22.2% increase from $350.425 million [2] - Non-GAAP operating profit: $554.23 million, up 15.8% from $478.79 million [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders: $371.72 million, a 20.1% increase from $309.59 million [2] - Basic earnings per ADS: $2.29, up 22.6% from $1.87 [2] Business Strategy and Future Outlook - The company is focusing on its core education business and plans to invest in AI-driven educational solutions, including a new generation of intelligent learning devices [5] - For Q1 FY 2026, New Oriental expects net revenue between $1.464 billion and $1.507 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 2% to 5% [5] - The full-year revenue forecast for FY 2026 is projected to be between $5.145 billion and $5.39 billion, indicating a growth of 5% to 10% [5] Operational Challenges - The decline in fourth-quarter net profit is attributed to increased costs, particularly in sales, marketing, and administrative expenses, which reached a two-year high [4][6] - The company faces pressure to manage rising operational costs while maintaining business growth, necessitating adjustments in its business layout to meet evolving market demands [6]