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营增利跌业绩平平 新东方暂乏值博率
BambooWorks· 2025-11-03 10:03
Core Viewpoint - The company is facing challenges due to a slowdown in overseas business but has managed to improve its Non-GAAP operating profit margin through cost optimization and operational efficiency efforts [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a first-quarter revenue of $1.52 billion and estimates that total revenue for the fiscal year could reach up to $5.4 billion [4]. - For the second quarter, the company expects revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 9% to 12% [2]. - The full-year revenue forecast is between $5.145 billion and $5.39 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5% to 10% [2]. Business Segments - The growth in the company's new education business has slowed, dropping from 32% in the previous fiscal year's fourth quarter to 15.3% in the current fiscal year [3]. - The company anticipates a 5% to 10% growth in its overseas exam preparation business for the fiscal year, while revenue from study abroad consulting is expected to remain flat, a significant slowdown from previous double-digit growth [3]. Market Position and Outlook - The company has established an efficient structure and system, with a strong operational record and brand effect, led by a capable management team [3]. - Despite current challenges and a stock price around HKD 50 with a price-to-earnings ratio of 25, the company remains a significant player in the industry and is worth monitoring for long-term potential [3].
新东方-S(09901.HK)FY26Q1业绩点评:FY26Q2收入利润预计环比改善 分红回购彰显发展信心
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-30 11:29
Core Insights - New Oriental achieved net revenue of $1.523 billion in FY26Q1, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding previous guidance [1] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% [1] - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [2] Business Performance - The overseas business segment saw revenue growth of 1.0% for exam preparation and 2.0% for consulting, with slower growth rates [1] - Domestic exam preparation for adults and college students grew by 14.4%, indicating strong performance [1] - New educational business revenue increased by 15.3%, although growth was impacted by intensified competition during the summer [1] Financial Guidance and Shareholder Returns - The company maintains its full-year net revenue guidance for FY26 at $5.145 billion to $5.390 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5%-10% [2] - A three-year shareholder return plan has been initiated, committing at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholder returns, including a $190 million cash dividend and a $300 million share buyback [2] Operational Efficiency - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, up 11.3% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, an increase of 1.0 percentage points [2] - The improvement in profit margins is attributed to ongoing cost optimization and enhanced operational efficiency [2] - The company is focusing on prudent capacity expansion, advancing the OMO teaching system, and increasing the application of AI technology to improve overall operational efficiency [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for FY26-28 to $442 million, $514 million, and $582 million, respectively, each down by 8% [3] - Corresponding EPS for FY26-28 is projected at $0.28, $0.33, and $0.37, with current stock prices reflecting PE ratios of 22x, 19x, and 16x [3] - The company remains a leader in the education and training industry, with strong demand persisting [3]
【新东方-S(9901.HK)】FY26Q2收入利润预计环比改善,分红回购彰显发展信心——FY26Q1业绩点评(陈彦彤/汪航宇)
光大证券研究· 2025-10-29 23:07
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady growth in its core business for FY26Q1, with a revenue guidance for Q2 indicating an acceleration in growth compared to Q1 [4][5][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For FY26Q1, the company achieved a net revenue of $1.523 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [4][5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while the Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% year-on-year [4][5]. - The Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, reflecting an 11.3% increase year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage point [7]. Group 2: Business Segments - The overseas business segment saw a revenue increase of 1.0% for exam preparation and 2.0% for consulting, with growth rates slowing down [5]. - Domestic exam preparation for adults and university students experienced a robust growth of 14.4% year-on-year [5]. - New educational business revenue grew by 15.3% year-on-year, although the growth rate was impacted by intensified competition during the summer [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company expects overall net revenue for FY26Q2 to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, indicating a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [6]. - The full-year net revenue guidance for FY26 is maintained at $5.145 billion to $5.390 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 5%-10% [6]. - A three-year shareholder return plan has been initiated, with at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit allocated for shareholder returns, including a cash dividend of $190 million and a $300 million share buyback plan [6]. Group 4: Operational Efficiency - The company has made significant strides in cost optimization and operational efficiency, which contributed to the improvement in profit margins despite challenges in overseas business [7][8]. - The implementation of an OMO teaching system and increased use of AI technology in the educational ecosystem and internal operations have effectively enhanced overall operational efficiency [7][8].
光大证券:维持新东方-S“增持”评级 FY26Q1经营利润持续提升
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 09:24
Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities indicates a downward revision of New Oriental-S (09901) net profit forecasts for FY26-28 due to intensified industry competition and increased business base, with projected profits of $442 million, $514 million, and $582 million respectively, each down by 8% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In FY26Q1, New Oriental achieved net revenue of $1.523 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding previous guidance [1] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% [1] - The company expects FY26Q2 overall net revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [2] Group 2: Business Segments - In the overseas business segment, exam preparation revenue grew by 1.0% and consulting revenue by 2.0%, with slower growth rates observed [1] - Domestic exam preparation for adults and university students saw a robust revenue increase of 14.4% year-on-year [1] - New educational business revenue grew by 15.3% year-on-year, although growth was impacted by increased competition from low-cost/free classes during the summer [1] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, reflecting an 11.3% year-on-year increase, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage points [3] - The improvement in profit margin is attributed to ongoing efforts in cost optimization and operational efficiency [3] - The company is implementing a cautious capacity expansion strategy and enhancing the use of AI technology in its educational ecosystem and internal operations [3] Group 4: Shareholder Returns - The company announced a three-year shareholder return plan, committing to return at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders, including a cash dividend of $190 million and a $300 million share buyback plan [2]
光大证券:维持新东方-S(09901)“增持”评级 FY26Q1经营利润持续提升
智通财经网· 2025-10-29 09:20
Core Viewpoint - Company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for New Oriental-S (09901) for FY26-28 down by 8% to $4.42 billion, $5.14 billion, and $5.82 billion respectively, while maintaining an "Overweight" rating due to strong industry demand despite increased competition [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In FY26Q1, the company achieved net revenue of $15.23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding previous guidance [2][3] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% [2] - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $11.32 billion and $11.63 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [4] Group 2: Business Segments - The overseas examination preparation business saw a revenue increase of 1.0%, while the overseas consulting business grew by 2.0%, indicating a slowdown in growth [3] - Domestic examination preparation for adults and university students experienced a robust revenue growth of 14.4% [3] - New educational business revenue grew by 15.3%, although growth has slowed due to increased competition from low-cost/free classes during the summer [3] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, an increase of 11.3% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage point [5] - The improvement in profit margin is attributed to ongoing efforts in cost optimization and operational efficiency [5] - The company is implementing a three-year shareholder return plan, committing at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholder returns, including a $190 million cash dividend and a $300 million share buyback plan [4]
新东方-S(09901):FY26Q2收入利润预计环比改善,分红回购彰显发展信心:新东方-S(9901.HK)FY26Q1业绩点评
EBSCN· 2025-10-29 07:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a net revenue of $1.523 billion for FY26Q1, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding previous guidance [2][3]. - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [3]. - A three-year shareholder return plan has been initiated, with at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit allocated for shareholder returns, including a cash dividend of $190 million and a $300 million share buyback plan [3]. Revenue and Profitability - The core business showed steady growth, with the overseas examination preparation business growing by 1.0% and domestic examination preparation for adults and college students increasing by 14.4% [2]. - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, up 11.3% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, an increase of 1.0 percentage points [3]. Financial Forecasts - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for FY26 to FY28 downwards by 8%, now projecting $442 million, $514 million, and $582 million respectively [4]. - Corresponding EPS for FY26 to FY28 is expected to be $0.28, $0.33, and $0.37, with current P/E ratios of 22x, 19x, and 16x respectively [4].
新东方-S(09901.HK)2026财年第一季度经营利润同比上升6%至3.1亿美元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-28 10:33
Core Insights - New Oriental Education & Technology Group reported a 6.1% year-on-year increase in net revenue for Q1 of FY2026, reaching $1,523.0 million [1] - Operating profit for the same period rose by 6.0% to $310.8 million, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 1.9% to $240.7 million [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from overseas exam preparation and consulting services grew approximately 1.0% and 2.0% year-on-year, respectively [1] - Domestic exam preparation services for adults and university students saw a significant increase of about 14.4% year-on-year [1] - The new education business recorded a revenue growth of 15.3% year-on-year [1] - Non-subject tutoring services have been launched in around 60 cities, attracting approximately 530,000 students [1] User Engagement and Strategic Direction - The smart learning system and devices have been implemented in about 60 cities, with active paying users reaching approximately 452,000 [2] - The company aims to maintain its strategic direction and long-term development plans, focusing on continuous optimization of core educational services [2] - There is a commitment to enhancing product capabilities and quality, systematically building educational resources, and improving operational efficiency [2] - The company is dedicated to providing excellent customer service, enhancing brand influence, and creating sustainable long-term value for shareholders [2] - The belief in achieving continuous growth through ongoing strategic initiatives and a relentless pursuit of excellence is emphasized [2]
美股异动|新东方盘前涨约6% H股今日大涨近8% 大和上调其盈测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-29 08:47
Group 1 - New Oriental's Hong Kong stock surged nearly 8%, leading to a nearly 6% pre-market increase in its US stock [1] - Daiwa's research report indicates that New Oriental's overall business development is stabilizing, with improved K-9 fall student retention rates and no further deterioration in overseas exam preparation services [1] - Daiwa raised New Oriental's revenue forecasts for the fiscal years 2026 to 2028 by 1% to 2%, and adjusted earnings per share forecasts upward by 0.2% to 5% [1] Group 2 - As of September 26, New Oriental's closing price was $51.350, with a market capitalization of $8.172 billion [1] - The stock's trading volume was 569,900 shares, with a price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) of 22.33 [1] - The stock has a 52-week high of $82.675 and a low of $40.660, indicating significant price volatility [1]
新东方-S涨超5% 集团整体业务发展趋向稳定 股东回报比例提升或对其形成正面催化
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 03:21
Group 1 - New Oriental-S (09901) shares increased by over 5%, reaching a price of HKD 41.62 with a trading volume of HKD 114 million [1] - Guosheng Securities reported that as of FY25Q4, the company's deferred revenue (customer prepayments) was USD 1.955 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.8%, indicating growth in the collection side which supports future revenue [1] - The company projects FY2026Q1 net revenue (including Dongfang Zhenxuan) to grow by 2% to 5% year-over-year, reaching USD 1.464 to 1.507 billion, with conservative guidance due to a high base in FY25Q1 and rescheduling of K12 business due to the early Spring Festival in 2025 [1] Group 2 - Daiwa noted that after reviewing New Oriental-S's operational status for the summer semester of 2025 and the performance of Dongfang Zhenxuan for FY2025, the overall business development of the group appears stable, with improved K-9 fall student retention rates and no further deterioration in overseas exam preparation services [2] - New Oriental announced plans to distribute no less than 50% of its net profit attributable to shareholders from the previous fiscal year in the form of dividends or share buybacks starting from FY2026 [2] - Daiwa believes that the anticipated shareholder return ratio could significantly exceed the group's commitment of 50%, potentially reaching high double-digit percentages or even over 100%, which is seen as a key positive catalyst for the shares [2]
大行评级|大和:上调新东方目标价至49港元 憧憬股东回报增加
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-26 04:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that New Oriental's overall business development is stabilizing, with improved K-9 fall student retention rates and no further deterioration in overseas exam preparation services [1] - New Oriental plans to distribute no less than 50% of its net profit attributable to shareholders from the previous fiscal year in the form of dividends or share buybacks starting from the fiscal year 2026 [1] - The report anticipates that the shareholder return ratio could significantly exceed the committed 50%, potentially reaching high double-digit percentages or even over 100%, which is seen as a key positive catalyst for the stock [1] Group 2 - Daiwa has raised its revenue forecasts for New Oriental for the fiscal years 2026 to 2028 by 1% to 2%, and its earnings per share forecasts by 0.2% to 5% [1] - The rating for New Oriental has been reaffirmed as "Buy," with the target price increased from HKD 43 to HKD 49 [1]