PCE inflation

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Stocks buck September effect, plus how August's inflation data could impact rate cuts
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 15:13
I'm Ale Canal in for Brian Sazzy and you're taking a live shot of the opening bells on Wall Street this Friday morning. Pearson ringing the bell at the NY celebrating the 25th anniversary of its listing and Global Citizen getting things popping over at the NASDAQ. this as traders digest PCE data, the final full trading week of the month and the third quarter, plus a new tariffs on everything from pharmaceuticals to furniture.Now, Opening Bid is all about serving up the investing analysis you need to to know ...
Smith: Consumers have been extraordinarily resilient this year
CNBC Television· 2025-09-26 14:45
Let's talk about the PCE inflation data and just how much it is a significant player in the market path going forward. >> Well, the Fed is looking at that obviously and so, you know, all my clients have to look at what the Fed's thinking because that's how they're making decisions how they invest. Um, you know, what's really interesting is that consumers have been extraordinarily resil resilient this year.um you're seeing that 50% of US um consumers are actually in the top 10% of income earners. So that's w ...
高盛:美国第一季度 GDP 修正值上调,但修正细节较弱;初请失业金人数上升
Goldman Sachs· 2025-05-30 16:09
Investment Rating - The report indicates a revised Q1 GDP growth of -0.2% (quarter-over-quarter annualized), which is an upward revision of 0.1 percentage points from previous estimates [1][6] Core Insights - The revision details show softer underlying growth, particularly in real domestic final sales, which were revised down by 0.3 percentage points, primarily due to a 0.6 percentage point downward revision in consumer spending growth [1][6] - The contribution of inventory accumulation to GDP growth was revised up by 0.3 percentage points to 2.6 percentage points, while net exports' contribution was revised down by 0.1 percentage points to -4.9 percentage points [6][7] - Real gross domestic income (GDI) fell by 0.2% in Q1, influenced by a significant drag from net dividends, which saw a $125 billion increase from the rest of the world, the largest since 2018 [7][8] - Core PCE inflation for April is forecasted at 0.10%, leading to a year-over-year rate of 2.49%, while headline PCE inflation is expected at 0.09%, corresponding to a year-over-year rate of 2.12% [8][9] - Initial jobless claims rose to 240,000 for the week ending May 24, exceeding expectations, with continuing claims also showing an increase [9][10] Summary by Sections GDP and Economic Activity - Q1 GDP growth was revised to -0.2%, with consumer spending growth revised down to +1.2% [2][6] - Equipment investment growth saw a significant upward revision to +24.8% [6][7] Inflation Metrics - Core PCE inflation was revised down to +3.41% annualized, with the year-on-year rate at +2.76% [8] - The GDP deflator was also revised down to +3.70% annualized [8] Employment Data - Initial jobless claims increased by 14,000 to 240,000, with a four-week moving average remaining at 231,000 [9][10]