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算力狂奔的尽头是“能耗悬崖”?他们正在寻找答案 | 两说
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-01-08 06:44
Core Insights - The rapid evolution of AI is leading to an energy consumption crisis in global data centers, which is approaching its limits, posing a significant challenge for the future of AI development [1][3] - The discussion highlights the need for a balance between computational power and energy efficiency, emphasizing the importance of innovative cooling technologies to address the energy demands of AI [3][5] Energy Consumption Crisis - AI's second phase may be constrained by power limitations, as highlighted by the increasing energy demands of data centers, which are projected to grow fivefold by 2030 according to the International Energy Agency [3] - Observations from the "East Data West Computing" initiative indicate that a significant portion of energy is used for cooling rather than computation, with approximately 0.4 kWh used for cooling for every kWh used for computation [3] Liquid Cooling Solutions - The current mainstream immersion cooling liquids, such as certain perfluoroalkyl and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), pose environmental risks due to their non-degradable nature, necessitating the development of safer alternatives [5] - New non-PFAS cooling liquids have emerged in the domestic market, offering a more environmentally friendly solution for cooling data centers [5] PUE Efficiency Revolution - The Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) metric is critical, with a target of PUE ≤ 1.25 for new data centers under the "AI+" initiative, representing a significant efficiency benchmark [8] - Advanced liquid cooling technologies can potentially reduce PUE to as low as 1.1, indicating that nearly all energy is utilized for computation rather than cooling [8] Social Impact of Efficient Computing - The potential of AI to democratize access to resources is discussed, with examples such as local AI systems enabling remote hospitals to perform complex medical analyses [10] - AI can also bridge educational gaps by providing quality resources to underserved regions, promoting equity in education [10] Future Competition Landscape - The rapid advancement of AI technologies creates a competitive landscape where cognitive understanding of energy constraints and sustainable practices will define future success [12] - The ability to balance computational growth with environmental sustainability will be crucial for shaping the next era of technological development [12] Human-Centric Approach - The conversation emphasizes the importance of human-centric values in technology development, advocating for a focus on sustainability and the well-being of society [14][15] - The integration of human insights and data into AI development is essential for fostering a sustainable and equitable future [14][15]
算力狂奔的尽头是“能耗悬崖”?他们正在寻找答案 | 两说
第一财经· 2026-01-08 06:33
Core Viewpoint - The rapid evolution of AI is leading to an unprecedented energy consumption crisis in global data centers, which is becoming a significant limitation for the future of AI development [1][4]. Group 1: Energy Consumption Crisis - The competition in the first half of AI development focused on algorithms, while the second half may be constrained by computing power and energy challenges [4]. - The International Energy Agency reports that global data center electricity consumption is expected to surge fivefold by 2030 [4]. - In the "East Data West Computing" initiative, it was observed that for every kilowatt-hour of electricity used for computing, 0.4 kilowatt-hours are used for cooling [4]. Group 2: Liquid Cooling Solutions - Liquid cooling technology presents both advantages and environmental risks; current mainstream liquids, such as certain perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), are effective but pose long-term environmental hazards [6]. - New non-PFAS alternatives are emerging in the domestic market, highlighting the need for greener and safer material innovations [6]. Group 3: PUE and Energy Efficiency - The Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) is a critical metric, with new data centers required to maintain a PUE of ≤1.25, which is seen as a threshold for energy efficiency [8]. - Traditional air-cooled systems typically have a PUE above 1.3, while advanced liquid cooling can reduce it to as low as 1.1 or even approach 1 [8][9]. - A PUE of 2 indicates that half of the electricity is used for computing and half for cooling, with lower values indicating higher energy efficiency [9]. Group 4: Societal Impact of AI - AI has the potential to balance resource distribution, with edge computing enabling high-performance AI models to be accessible in remote areas, enhancing healthcare and education [11]. - AI can help bridge educational gaps caused by geographic disparities, providing equitable access to quality resources [11]. Group 5: Future Considerations - The rapid iteration of technology creates anxiety among tech workers, emphasizing the importance of understanding energy constraints and balancing power with sustainability [13]. - The dialogue underscores the need for technological advancement to align with Earth's capacity, social equity, and human welfare [15].
润滑油巨头嘉实多押宝液冷 瞄准中国数据中心能效升级需求
Core Insights - BP's subsidiary Castrol is betting on the Chinese liquid cooling server market by launching an end-to-end liquid cooling solution tailored for data centers in China [1][6] - The data center industry faces significant energy consumption challenges, exacerbated by the rise of AI applications, with GPU/AI chip power consumption increasing dramatically [1][3] - Liquid cooling is becoming essential for managing heat in high-density server environments, especially as power density exceeds 100kW [1][5] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Chinese data center market is projected to see a rapid increase in electricity consumption, with a forecasted total of approximately 2.7 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2022, marking a year-on-year growth of about 24.7% [3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology in China has set a target for new large data centers to achieve a Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) of less than or equal to 1.3 by 2025 [3] - The liquid cooling server market in China is expected to grow to $2.37 billion in 2024, representing a 67% increase from 2023 [6] Group 2: Technical Insights - Castrol's liquid cooling solutions emphasize an "end-to-end" approach, integrating the entire system from deployment to operation and decommissioning [2] - Liquid cooling technology is seen as a significant upgrade for data centers, requiring changes in supply chains, design solutions, and standards [3][4] - The company is focusing on compatibility testing with various chip and server types to ensure effective integration of liquid cooling systems [4] Group 3: Financial Considerations - The primary costs for data centers remain in GPU and server hardware, while liquid cooling is viewed as an infrastructure enhancement to manage increased heat loads [5] - Liquid cooling costs can be categorized into capital expenditures (CAPEX) and operational expenditures (OPEX), with potential reductions in energy and maintenance costs due to improved efficiency [5]