PX价格走势

Search documents
PX:供应增加明显以及下游聚酯加大减产力度 短期PX承压
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-11 02:07
Supply and Demand - The supply of PX has increased, with Asian PX operating rates rising to 87% (+4.9%) and domestic PX rates at 75.1% (+3.1%) [2] - Demand for PTA has also improved, with operating rates around 84%, as several PTA plants are restarting operations [2] Market Outlook - Following the recovery of PX profitability, supply has increased due to delayed maintenance and higher operating rates, leading to a weakening supply-demand balance [3] - Despite the recent pressure on PX prices, strong short-term demand from PTA restarts and new capacity coming online may limit further price declines [3] - The short-term strategy suggests monitoring support around 6400, with potential for price fluctuations, and a focus on short-term spread trades [3] Spot Market - On June 10, Asian PX prices rebounded, with spot prices for July at 815 and August at 813, while paper prices for September were at 800/805 [1] - The cost of PX rose by 9 USD/ton to 817 USD/ton, equivalent to 6765 RMB/ton [1]
PX:供需边际转弱但现货偏紧现实下 PX支撑偏强
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-30 02:46
Supply and Demand - Asian PX supply has increased, with overall load rising to 69.4% (+1.9%) and domestic PX load reaching 78% (+3.9%) [2] - Demand has seen a decrease, with PTA load dropping to 75.7% (-1.4%) due to the restart of 1 million tons of PTA capacity by Energetic and 1.5 million tons by Taiwan Chemical, while Dushan Energy's 3 million tons facility is under maintenance [2] Market Performance - On May 29, Asian PX prices rose by $16/ton to $852/ton, equivalent to 7061 RMB/ton, with PXN near $282/ton [1] - The current spot market for PX remains strong, with July prices negotiating at +20/+30, August at +13, and September at +10/+17 [1] - The market sentiment is buoyed by reduced tariff risks and rumors of some PTA manufacturers cutting PTA contract volumes due to PX shortages [1][3] Market Outlook - Despite the recent recovery in PX profitability and the gradual restart of previously maintained facilities, there is an expectation of weakening supply-demand dynamics due to downstream polyester production cuts [3] - Short-term PX market remains tight, with upward price movement limited by the anticipated supply-demand shift [3] - Strategies include monitoring pressure above 6800 for PX and looking for opportunities in PX-SC spread trading [3]