Core Viewpoint - Tyson Foods is facing a complex market environment characterized by tight beef supplies and ongoing cost inflation, which are impacting margins, while strong performance in the chicken segment provides some balance [1][2][10] Group 1: Market Challenges - The company is navigating immediate operational pressures alongside its long-term growth strategy, with supply constraints and rising costs being significant factors [2] - Analysts from Piper Sandler project that beef supply stabilization may take two to three years, affecting the fiscal 2026 outlook [3] - A slow recovery in heifer retention is a key challenge, contributing to ongoing supply shortages in the beef sector [4] Group 2: Financial Projections - Tyson anticipates that fiscal 2026 will represent the "low point" for supply, with margin pressures expected to continue through the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 [5] - The Prepared Foods division is experiencing cost inflation, particularly due to a 41.9% year-to-date increase in pork belly prices, which is straining margins [6] - Revenue is expected to grow modestly from $54.7 billion in fiscal 2025 to $55.5 billion in fiscal 2026, with supply constraints being a primary risk [9] Group 3: Operational Highlights - A recent recall of 58 million pounds of products has raised operational risks, but analysts expect the financial impact to be adjusted out of fourth-quarter results [7] - The chicken segment is performing well, with a revised sales growth forecast of 2.5% for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by operational efficiencies and value-added products [7] - Cost savings from phasing out owned cold storage facilities are projected to generate $200 million in benefits through 2028, potentially improving chicken margins from 8% towards historical levels of 10-11% [8] Group 4: Profitability Outlook - Piper Sandler maintains fiscal 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimate at $3.90 and fiscal 2026 EPS at $4.20, indicating stable core profitability [8] - The company's ability to manage costs and gradually rebuild cattle herds will be crucial for maintaining steady profitability and positioning for long-term supply stabilization [10]

All of this. Oracle's numbers, which we'll get into later in the show, the fact that we're seeing a commitment in terms of money and investment coming from Micron, it all signals supply is needed. They can't build it fast enough.You're right, Caroline. I mean, and I think we've heard that consistently from the Hyperscalers. You know, there was that Mecca dinner where Elon Musk and Larry Ellison had dinner with with Jensen Wong and just kept saying, More chips, please, More chips.The supply constraint is the ...