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摩根士丹利:全球经济-每周视野:经济与市场
摩根· 2025-06-10 02:16
June 9, 2025 04:01 AM GMT Global Economic Briefing | North America M Idea The Weekly Worldview: Economics and Markets How our views on the impact of tariffs on the US and the Fed's path matter for our strategists' views on rates. M In last week's Weekly Worldview, we summarized our key convictions from the Economics mid-year outlook; this week we think through how the economic views translated into asset allocation. In general, our strategists' views align closely to ours and, in particular, the timing of t ...
摩根士丹利:港交所-金融体系周期底部信心增强;评级增持
摩根· 2025-06-09 05:29
June 8, 2025 10:07 PM GMT HK Exchanges & Clearing | Asia Pacific More confidence in financial system cycle bottom; OW | What's Changed | | | | --- | --- | --- | | HK Exchanges & Clearing (0388.HK) | From | To | | Price Target | HK$440.00 | HK$500.00 | We raise our ADV and earnings forecasts for HKEX, factoring in strong YTD performance and higher confidence in a financial system cycle bottom. We expect the shift from financial tightening to development to support ADV and IPO volume amid loosening IPO requir ...
Guess(GES) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-05 21:45
Guess? (GES) Q1 2026 Earnings Call June 05, 2025 04:45 PM ET Speaker0 Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Guess' First Quarter Fiscal twenty twenty six Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To participate, you will need to press 11 on your telephone. You will then hear a message advising your hand is raised. Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn th ...
Macy's(M) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-28 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - First quarter net sales reached $4.6 billion, exceeding guidance of $4.4 billion to $4.5 billion [9][29] - Comparable owned plus licensed plus marketplace sales declined by 1.2%, better than the guidance of a decline of 4.5% to 2.5% [9][29] - Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.16, above the guidance range of $0.12 to $0.15, compared to $0.27 last year [11][33] - Gross margin was $1.8 billion or 39.2% of net sales, flat compared to the prior year [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Macy's net sales were down 6.5%, with comparable sales down 2.1% [30] - Bloomingdale's net sales increased by 2.6%, with comparable sales rising by 3.8% [31] - Blue Mercury net sales were up 0.8%, with comparable sales increasing by 1.5% [31] - Backstage outperformed the total Macy's fleet, while Marketplace achieved approximately 40% GMV growth [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International tourism negatively impacted comparable sales by about 30 basis points [10] - The go-forward business comps outperformed total, declining by 0.9% [10] - The luxury segment showed resilience, with Bloomingdale's and Blue Mercury continuing their positive comp trends [14][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on its "Bold New Chapter" strategy, emphasizing omni-channel performance and reimagining store locations [8][9] - The strategy includes strengthening Macy's, differentiating luxury offerings, and modernizing operations [15][16] - The company aims to leverage generative AI to modernize its supply chain and improve inventory allocation [9][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the second quarter, noting improved performance in May compared to earlier months [43][44] - The company is navigating uncertainties related to tariffs and consumer behavior, with a focus on maintaining flexibility in inventory commitments [22][23] - Management highlighted the importance of strategic pricing decisions to offset tariff impacts while remaining competitive [45][46] Other Important Information - The company closed 64 underperforming locations as part of its strategy [25] - The impact of tariffs is estimated to affect annual gross margin by roughly 20 to 40 basis points [20] - The company plans to invest in customer-facing initiatives funded by savings from closed locations [32][38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Sales guidance and consumer pressure - Management reaffirmed annual sales guidance, noting stronger performance in March and April compared to February, with cautious optimism for the rest of the year [43][44] Question: Strategic pricing decisions - Pricing adjustments are being made selectively, with a focus on maintaining value for customers while managing tariff impacts [45][46] Question: Impact of tariffs on pricing and consumer willingness - Pricing is gradually being integrated into the system, with limited increases observed in the second quarter [51][52] Question: Actions to capture market share - The company is enhancing product offerings, improving marketing quality, and enhancing in-store experiences to capture market share [65][66] Question: Reimagine 125 performance and future plans - Management remains optimistic about the Reimagine 125 initiative, with improvements noted in March and May [75][76] Question: SG&A guidance range - The SG&A guidance range provides flexibility to navigate various scenarios amid uncertainty [78][79] Question: Consumer health and category performance - Consumer health remains under pressure, but there is a positive response to newness and value [114][115]
Abercrombie & Fitch soars 25% even as retailer slashes profit outlook due to tariffs
CNBC· 2025-05-28 12:15
A Abercrombie & Fitch store is seen on April 09, 2025 in New York City.Shares of Abercrombie & Fitch soared on Wednesday, even after the retailer slashed its profit outlook due to tariffs, which are expected to hit its business by $50 million. The company is now expecting full year earnings per share to be between $9.50 and $10.50, down from a previous range of between $10.40 and $11.40. Analysts were expecting earnings of $10.33 a share, according to LSEG. In addition, Abercrombie raised the top end of its ...
Dick's Sporting Goods Q1 Preview: All Eyes On Foot Locker Deal, Tariff Impact
Benzinga· 2025-05-27 17:11
Retailer DICK's Sporting Goods DKS could provide more details of its planned acquisition of Foot Locker, Inc. FL when the company reports first-quarter financial results before market open Wednesday.Here are the analyst estimates, what analysts are saying after the acquisition was announced and key items to watch.Earning Estimates: Analysts expect Dick's Sporting Goods to report first-quarter revenue of $3.59 billion, up from $3.02 billion in last year's first quarter, according to data from Benzinga Pro.Th ...
Copart(CPRT) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-22 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global revenue increased to $1.2 billion, with global service revenue up nearly $88 million or over 9% from the previous year [17] - Third quarter GAAP net income increased by over 6% to $407 million or $0.42 per diluted common share [22] - Global gross profit was approximately $552 million, an increase of $27 million or about 5%, with a gross margin percentage of 46% for the quarter [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global unit sales increased by 1%, with a per business day increase of over 2% [10] - U.S. insurance unit volume decreased close to 1% year over year, while non-insurance U.S. unit volume growth outpaced that of the U.S. insurance business [11] - Blue Car services grew nearly 14% year over year, while dealer sales volume grew over 3% [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International segment unit sales grew by 6% in the quarter, with fee units increasing by 9% [12] - Global average selling prices (ASPs) increased by approximately 3% for the quarter, with U.S. insurance ASPs up over 2% [14] - Global inventory decreased nearly 10% from the year-ago period, with U.S. inventory down approximately 11% [14][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to invest in real estate infrastructure, technology, and operational readiness in anticipation of the 2025 storm season [8] - The acquisition of Hull Ranch in South Florida enhances the company's capacity to handle storm-related vehicle storage [7] - The company aims to enhance capabilities for both storm preparedness and day-to-day operations [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted rising total loss frequency, which reached 22.8% in the first calendar quarter of 2025, up 100 basis points from last year [3] - The company anticipates an active storm season in 2025, similar to 2024, based on meteorological forecasts [6] - Management expressed confidence that cyclical trends regarding uninsured and underinsured drivers will eventually reverse [5] Other Important Information - Global purchased vehicle sales for the third quarter decreased approximately 2%, while gross profit from purchased vehicles decreased 60% [18] - Facility-related costs increased by $51 million or about 12%, reflecting ongoing investments in operational capacity [20] - The company has over $5.6 billion in liquidity, comprised of nearly $4.4 billion in cash and $1.3 billion in revolving credit capacity [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on land assets and benefits for insurance salvage customers - Management emphasized the importance of physical storage and logistics for insurance companies and other sellers, viewing it as essential to their service offering [28] Question: Insights on the shift of insured versus uninsured motorists - Management noted cyclical trends in insurance coverage, with current conditions reflecting a similar downturn as seen during the global financial crisis [31] Question: Update on Purple Wave partnership and future investments - Management acknowledged the uncertain environment affecting Purple Wave but expressed confidence in the strategic fit and potential benefits for Copart [35] Question: Implications of trade policy and tariffs on business - Management highlighted the uncertainty created by tariffs on parts, which increases repair costs and may make total loss options more attractive [38] Question: Market share perspective and growth numbers - Management indicated that market share is influenced by the growth of individual insurance carriers and emphasized their commitment to delivering value to clients [46] Question: Trends in G&A spend and future expectations - Management clarified that the increase in G&A was primarily due to investments in the sales force and other minor platform services, without indicating a steady state number [64] Question: Legislative actions affecting storage fees and total loss thresholds - Management noted that capping storage fees could benefit insurance companies, while changes to total loss thresholds may not significantly distort insurance companies' decisions [72]
高盛:中国4月受美国关税冲击,经济活动数据环比走弱
Goldman Sachs· 2025-05-19 08:55
19 May 2025 | 12:58PM HKT China: Activity data weakened sequentially in April amid the US tariff hit Bottom line: China's activity data weakened sequentially in April, reflecting both the negative impact of increased US tariffs and still-soft domestic demand. Compared to market consensus, fixed asset investment (FAI) and retail sales missed modestly, while industrial production (IP) slightly beat. Retail sales growth declined in April, mainly driven by weaker automobile sales growth despite the ongoing cons ...
高盛:美国关税影响追踪器 - 高频趋势仍显示中国对美贸易流量疲软
Goldman Sachs· 2025-05-13 05:39
12 May 2025 | 5:02AM EDT Americas Transportation: US Tariff Impact Tracker – High Frequency Trends Still Point To China trade Flow Weakness to USA US Tariff Impact Tracker – Net, net, trend bifurcation continues with worries perhaps on the rise for product availability should the trade war persist given potential for freight air pocket in the 2H of the second quarter. Key observations from this week's report are as follows: Goldman Sachs Americas Transportation What the Tracker Is (Previously Published): Wh ...
Volcon ePowersports Reports Operational Highlights and First Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Globenewswire· 2025-05-09 20:15
AUSTIN, Texas, May 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Volcon Inc. (NASDAQ: VLCN) (“Volcon'', the “Company” or “we”), the first all-electric, off-road powersports company, today reported its operational highlights and financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2025. Company Highlights: ● Sold all remaining Grunt EVO motorcycles in Q1● Signed amended and restated golf cart supply agreement with Venom-EV● Evaluating impact of tariffs on products In the first quarter of 2025, Volcon successfully sold all re ...