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中国出口追踪:高基数带来的挑战
2025-08-25 01:40
V i e w p o i n t | 21 Aug 2025 21:26:47 ET │ 10 pages China Economics China Export Tracker (16): High Base to Kick In? CITI'S TAKE We update our high-frequency trackers of Chinese exports up to Aug 20th . Tail risks for US-China tariffs could be largely defused, while uncertainty remains on US demand. China's overall cargo throughput remained stable but is softening in year-on-year terms as the high base from last year gradually kicks in. +852-2501-2792 xinyu.ji@citi.com Yuanliu Hu AC +852-2501-2746 yuanli ...
中国出口追踪(15):关税升级风险暂解-China Export Tracker (15)_ Tariff Reescalation Risk Defused for Now
2025-08-18 02:52
V i e w p o i n t | 14 Aug 2025 20:20:43 ET │ 10 pages China Economics China Export Tracker (15): Tariff Reescalation Risk Defused for Now CITI'S TAKE We update our high-frequency trackers of Chinese exports up to Aug 13th . Tail risks on US-China tariff reescalation should have been largely defused for now, with the truce officially extended to mid-November (MOFCOM, Aug 12th). China's overall cargo throughput recovered to 6.8%YoY in the week ending Aug 10th, with month-to-date volume trending at 3~5%YoY. C ...
中国出口追踪-7 月出口寻求高个位数增长-China Economics_ China Export Tracker (12)_ Looking for High-Single-Digit Growth in July Exports
2025-07-30 02:32
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Chinese Exports and Trade Dynamics - **Key Focus**: The resilience of China's exports, particularly to the US, and the overall cargo throughput and container export volume trends Core Insights 1. **Export Growth Expectations**: Anticipation of approximately 8% year-on-year growth in Chinese exports for July, reflecting resilience noted in previous outlooks [1][3] 2. **US-China Trade Resilience**: Despite potential volatilities, China's containership shipments to the US showed a positive year-on-year change in mid-July, with a contraction in US bills for seaborne imports from China widening but remaining stable [2] 3. **Consumer Electronics Impact**: The trade of consumer electronics is expected to negatively affect bilateral trade in Q3, with significant year-on-year declines in exports of smartphones (-71.1%) and laptops (-40.6%) noted in June [2] 4. **Cargo Throughput Increase**: Overall cargo throughput in China increased by 8.0% year-on-year for the week ending July 20, indicating a positive trend in export activities [3][6] 5. **Container Export Volume Growth**: Container export volume recorded double-digit growth in the week ending July 18, supporting the expectation of continued export growth in July [3][10] Additional Important Details 1. **Tariff Talks and Trade Dynamics**: Upcoming US-China tariff talks could lead to a narrowing of tariff differentials, potentially allowing previously diverted exports to return to China [2] 2. **Recent Trends in Container Departures**: Container departures from China to the US showed a year-on-year increase of 6.8% in the 15 days ending July 22, compared to a previous decline of -11.3% [13] 3. **Seaborne Import Bills**: The year-on-year change in US seaborne bills for imports from China was reported at -31.0% for the week ending July 19, indicating a significant contraction [14] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the current state and outlook of Chinese exports, particularly in relation to the US market, and highlights the potential impacts of trade dynamics and consumer electronics on future performance.
Nike Needs US-China Trade Truce; Xiaomi's SUV Worries Tesla? | Insight with Haslinda Amin 6/27/2025
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-27 05:33
Insight with Haslinda Amin, a daily news program featuring in-depth, high-profile interviews and analysis to give viewers the complete picture on the stories that matter. The show features prominent leaders spanning the worlds of business, finance, politics and culture. Chapters: 00:00:00 - Insight with Haslinda Amin begins 00:01:50 - Asia stocks rise on US, China trade deal hopes 00:05:58 - Lutnick says US-China trade truce signed 00:09:00 - Morningstar's David Swartz: Rate Nike as undervalued 00:20:04 - G ...