Federal Reserve rate cut
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X @Polyhedra
Polyhedra· 2026-02-03 13:00
Why zkML? Because an analysis from Traverse Legal shows that AI-driven trading systems are now reacting to macroeconomic events faster than any human desk can.When the Federal Reserve announced a rate cut, AI models across Wall Street parsed the signal and executed trades within seconds, triggering volatility and drawing immediate regulatory attention. ...
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Rate Cut Meets Conflicting Jobs Data
Etftrends· 2025-12-15 17:08
Core Viewpoint - The economic narrative was significantly influenced by a Federal Reserve rate cut amidst mixed signals from the labor market [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve implemented a highly anticipated rate cut, which is expected to impact economic conditions and market sentiment [1] Group 2: Labor Market Signals - Conflicting signals were observed in the labor market, as indicated by the latest JOLTS report, suggesting a complex economic environment [1]
💥 Federal Reserve Begins “Economic Reset” #crypto
Altcoin Daily· 2025-12-12 13:01
The Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25 basis points, but it's not just what the Federal Reserve did. It's what Jerome Pal said. What Jerome Pal says at these meetings tends [music] to move markets.And what did he say. So, I don't think that a rate hike is anybody's base case at this point. And I'm not hearing that.What you see is um some people feel we should stop here. Some people feel like we should cut once or more this year and next year. And this is where we start [music] quantitative easing, QE, but the ...
Bitcoin Whales Unload $3.4B in December; BTC Stalls at $92K Resistance: Glassnode
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-12 05:09
Core Insights - Bitcoin's largest non-exchange holders, specifically the 10,000 to 100,000 BTC cohort, have sold or redistributed approximately 36,500 BTC (around $3.4 billion) since December 1, indicating a shift from accumulation to distribution [1][6] - Bitcoin is currently facing resistance at the $94,000 level, trading at $92,250 (-0.2%) during early Asian session on Friday [1] - A significant decline in stablecoin liquidity, with a 50% drop in inflows since August, suggests a lack of fresh capital support for Bitcoin to break above $100,000 [3] Market Dynamics - The market depth is thinning, and Bitcoin is trading steadily near $92,000 as it digests the Federal Reserve's rate cut and plans to inject liquidity through monthly purchases of $40 billion in Treasury bills [3] - Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have seen over $610 million in inflows in the past two days, indicating growing confidence among investors [4] - For Bitcoin to approach the $100,000 mark, a daily close above $94,140 is crucial, with $90,000 serving as immediate support [4] Support and Volatility - Bitcoin is currently testing the $88,000 support level, with the $3.4 billion outflow from the 10,000-100,000 BTC cohort and the 50% drop in stablecoin reserves suggesting that the current price range ($88k-$94k) is being used for distribution rather than accumulation [5] - Increased volatility is expected if Bitcoin loses the $88,000 support handle [5]
Bitcoin Rises, While Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin Trade Sideways: Analyst Says Odds That BTC Regains $100,000 In 2025 Have Risen - Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust (BTC) (ARCA:BTC)
Benzinga· 2025-12-12 02:00
Cryptocurrency Market Overview - Bitcoin rose by 1.40% to $92,081.10, reaching a peak of $93,550 before retreating to around $91,000 [2][3] - Ethereum experienced a slight decline of 0.52%, trading around $3,232.87, with attempts to breach $3,270 failing [2][3] - XRP and Dogecoin recorded minor gains of 0.59% and 0.27%, respectively [2][3] - The global cryptocurrency market capitalization increased by 0.17% to $3.14 trillion [7] Trading Activity and Market Sentiment - Bitcoin's open interest rose by 2.27% to $59.20 billion, while Ethereum derivatives saw a 0.29% increase [5] - Cryptocurrency liquidations totaled $376 million in the last 24 hours, with $227 million in bullish long positions liquidated [5] - 62% of Binance traders with open BTC positions were betting on a price increase, indicating a prevailing bullish sentiment despite a "fear" sentiment in the market [6] Stock Market Performance - Stocks closed at record highs, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average increasing by 646.26 points (1.34%) to 48,704.01 [8] - The S&P 500 rose by 0.21% to 6,901.00, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.26% to 23,593.86 [8] - Shares of Oracle Corp. dropped by 10.83% following disappointing earnings and guidance [8] Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50–3.75% and downplayed the likelihood of future rate hikes [9] Future Outlook for Ethereum - CryptoQuant reported a recovery in Ethereum taker flows, suggesting potential upward price momentum as aggressive buyers return [10] - Analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted positive price action for Bitcoin, increasing the odds of reaching $100,000 by 2025 [11]
Fed chair Jerome Powell's perspective on GDP, interview with US Treasury advisor Joseph Lavorgna
Youtube· 2025-12-11 22:28
Market Overview - The Dow is up approximately 670 points, while the S&P 500 is up about 0.2%, and the NASDAQ is down about 0.3% [1] - Investors are looking beyond big tech and the AI trade following the Fed's third consecutive rate cut [9] Oracle's Performance - Oracle's stock is facing significant declines due to concerns over AI buildout and missed earnings expectations [2][67] - The company has a substantial commitment to OpenAI, but there are doubts about OpenAI's ability to fulfill its financial commitments, leading to concerns about Oracle's future revenue [70][75] Crypto Regulation Developments - Executives from major banks, including Bank of America and Wells Fargo, are meeting with lawmakers to discuss comprehensive crypto legislation [3][4] - The focus of the discussions includes bank permissibility and interest paid on crypto, with banks aiming to influence the legislation [5][6] Federal Reserve Insights - The Fed has revised its GDP growth forecast for next year to 2.3%, with inflation expected to fall to 2.5% and unemployment holding at 4.4% [35][39] - Economists express skepticism about the Fed's projections, suggesting that growth could be higher than anticipated due to strong productivity trends [36][41] AI Market Dynamics - There are concerns about an AI bubble, with only two of the MAG 7 outperforming the broader market index [23] - Analysts suggest that capital is leaking out of the AI trade, and companies like Oracle may struggle to maintain their market positions due to overleveraging [24][25] Adobe's AI Integration - Adobe reported record revenue and cash flows, with a forecast of over 10% growth in annual recurring revenue, driven by the integration of AI into its software [102][104] - The company is focusing on innovation and investing in AI capabilities to enhance its product offerings [106][110]
Bitcoin Rebounds to $93K From Post-Fed Lows, but Altcoins Remain Under Pressure
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-11 21:24
Market Overview - Bitcoin (BTC) rebounded to $93,000 after initially dropping to $89,000 following the Federal Reserve's rate cut, showing a marginal increase over the past 24 hours [1] - Altcoins, including Cardano's ADA and Avalanche's AVAX, experienced declines of 6%-7%, while Ether (ETH) was down 3% but remained above $3,200 [1] Stock Market Correlation - Bitcoin's late-day bounce coincided with a slight recovery in U.S. stocks, with the Nasdaq closing down just 0.25% after being as much as 1.5% lower, while the S&P 500 ended modestly in the green and the DJIA gained 1.3% [2] - Precious metals saw significant gains, with silver rising 5% to an all-time high of $64 per ounce and gold climbing over 1% to near $4,300, aided by a weaker U.S. dollar index [2] Crypto Market Dynamics - Crypto exchange Gemini gained over 30% after receiving regulatory approval to offer prediction markets in the U.S., highlighting positive developments within the crypto sector [3] - Jasper De Maere from Wintermute noted a growing decoupling of crypto from equities, with only 18% of sessions in the past year showing BTC outperforming the Nasdaq on macro days, indicating that the recent rate cut may have been fully priced in [4] - Concerns about stagflation are emerging, shifting market focus from Fed policy to U.S. crypto regulation as a potential major driver [4] Selling Pressure Analysis - Analytics firm Swissblock reported that the downward pressure on Bitcoin is waning, with signs of market stabilization, although it is not yet fully confirmed [5] - The second wave of selling pressure is noted to be weaker than the first, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [5]
Takeaways from the Fed's December rate cut, Eric Jackson presents his bull case for Nextdoor
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-11 15:15
Welcome to Morning Brief presented by Robin Hood, the home to commission free trading. I'm Julie Hyman. Let's get to the three things you need to know today. First up, Oracle shares are sinking and reigniting concerns over the AI trade. Investors were disappointed by the company's cloud sales and an increase in data center spending. Oracle has also taken out significant sums of debt and committed to leasing multiple data center sites. But its massive spending isn't yet translating into revenue, at least not ...
Post Fed Cut, This Popular S&P 500 ETF Is Not a Buy or Sell, But a ‘Married Put.’ How to Create One.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-11 14:00
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's recent decision resulted in a minor and expected move, yet the stock market reacted positively, with the S&P 500 Index increasing by approximately 1% following the announcement [1] - The focus is shifting towards a long-term investment strategy in the S&P 500 ETF (SPY), emphasizing the importance of reliable protection rather than short-term trading [2] - There are various strategies available for investors to manage risk while capitalizing on stock market performance, with a suggestion that individual investors can implement these strategies themselves [3] Group 2 - The article discusses the concept of option collars, which involve owning shares of a stock or ETF, writing covered calls, and purchasing protective puts to manage risk [4] - A specific strategy called "Married Put" is introduced, which combines the use of put options for hedging while owning the underlying asset [4] - To hedge SPY effectively, an investor would need to own 100 shares, resulting in a significant investment of approximately $70,000 at the current price of nearly $700 per share [5] Group 3 - The strategy involves purchasing put options that are about 5% "out of the money," providing the right to sell SPY if it declines by that percentage [6] - The article outlines two distinct investment approaches: profiting from stock market gains and profiting from stock market losses [7]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-11 13:39
The latest Federal Reserve rate cut was welcomed by markets. It was expected - but dissent was more muted than investors had feared. It all points to a more inflationary backdrop continuing into 2026. What might that mean for your money? https://t.co/OFPuGy1C7s ...