December 15, 2025 11:03 PM GMT China Materials | Asia Pacific 2026 Outlook – Up-cycle Continues Supportive macro environment and some supply disruptions are supporting commodity prices. Energy storage demand remains strong. We prefer aluminum, copper, gold, lithium, and cobalt equities in this environment. Supportive macro environment and supply disruptions are supporting commodity prices: Our global strategy team expects the USD Bear Regime to continue, weakening the DXY another 5% into 1H26 before rebound ...

Gold (GC=F) futures opened at $4,334.30 per troy ounce on Tuesday, nearly even with Monday’s closing price of $4,335.20. The price of gold declined in early trading. The economy and interest-rate outlook continue to be areas of focus for investors. In separate speeches Monday, New York Fed President John Williams and Fed Governor Stephen Miran predicted slower inflation in 2026. Williams was positive about the 2026 outlook and monetary policy heading into the new year, while Miran argued for larger rate ...

Market Overview - Major U.S. index futures indicate a mixed opening, with Nasdaq 100 futures down by 0.5% and Dow futures up by 0.2% [1] - The Dow continues to benefit from a shift toward cyclical stocks, reaching a new record closing high [3] - Overall trading activity may be subdued due to a lack of major U.S. economic data [3] Company Performance - Broadcom (AVGO) shares are under pressure, down by 5.4% in pre-market trading despite better-than-expected fiscal fourth quarter results and positive guidance [2] - Other chipmakers like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Micron Technology (MU) are also experiencing pre-market weakness, indicating a potential rotation out of tech stocks [2] - Oracle (ORCL) shares plunged by 10.8% after reporting fiscal second quarter earnings that exceeded analyst estimates but had weaker-than-expected revenues [5][6] Stock Index Movements - The Dow jumped 646.26 points or 1.3% to a new record closing high of 48,704.01, partly driven by a 6.1% increase in Visa (V) shares after an upgrade from Bank of America [4][5] - The S&P 500 rose 14.32 points or 0.2% to 6,901.00, while the Nasdaq closed down 60.30 points or 0.3% at 23,593.86 [4] Economic Indicators - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. rose to 236,000, an increase of 44,000 from the previous week's revised level of 192,000, exceeding economists' expectations [7] - Gold stocks surged by 4.3%, reaching a new record closing high, alongside a significant increase in gold prices [7][9] International Market Reactions - Asian stocks rallied following a less hawkish outlook from the U.S. Federal Reserve, with the Nikkei 225 Index jumping 1.4% [10][12] - Chinese shares rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.4% after pledges for a proactive fiscal policy [11] - European stocks moved higher, driven by optimism regarding potential interest rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve [16]

来源：光大证券微资讯 美联储降息25个基点，白银价格刷新纪录！ 北京时间12月11日，美联储公布12月利率决议，下调联邦基金利率25个基点。自2025年9月以来，美联 储已经连续三次下调利率，未来仍有望延续降息周期。 在美联储降息的影响下，贵金属走势保持强势，特别是白银现货价格突破62美元/盎司，刷新价格纪 录。 同时，黄金价格也在不断接近前期高点，白银价格走强也刺激黄金市场做多人气。自2015年以来，黄金 进入牛市周期，在长达10年的牛市中，黄金出现了大涨行情。时至今日，市场对金价未来走势出现一定 的分歧。 今天我们就来系统梳理贵金属价格的影响因素，探索黄金价格趋势。 在美联储降息的影响下，美元指数近三周维持弱势，当前已经下跌至99之下。贵金属价格表现强势，特 别是白银价格持续拉升，伦敦白银价格一度拉升至62.884美元/盎司，刷新价格纪录。 1、美联储重磅降息，贵金属价格延续强势 美国当地时间12月9日-10日，美联储召开12月议息会议。正如市场所预期，美联储12月降息25个基点， 连续三次降息累计达75基点。 回顾2024年以来美联储的降息周期，充满着波折。2024年9月，美联储大幅降息50个基点，以应 ...

短期看，美联储打开降息通道，驱动黄金的估值中枢上移；长期看，在地缘政治风险、逆全球化趋势和美元信用体系 弱化的背景下，强化了黄金的配置价值。 每日经济新闻 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | | 涨跌 涨跌幅 4 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 159562 | 黄金股ETF | 2.164 | 0.048 | 2.27% | | 159321 | 黄金股票ETF | 1.516 | 0.032 | 2.16% | | 159315 | 黄金股ETF基金 | 1.623 | 0.033 | 2.08% | | 517520 | 黄金股ETF | 1.978 | 0.040 | 2.06% | | 517400 | 黄金股票ETF | 1.563 | 0.031 | 2.02% | | 159322 | 黄金股票ETF基金 | 1.610 | 0.032 | 2.03% | 消息面上，美国联邦储备委员会12月10日宣布，将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点到3.5%至3.75%之间。这是美联 储继9月17日、10月29日降息后年内的第三次降息，幅度均为25个基点。 黄金股早 ...

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Core Insights - Collective Mining Ltd. has announced significant assay results from seven diamond drill holes that have expanded the Apollo system by 450 metres to the north, indicating a large-scale, high-grade mineralization enriched in gold, silver, copper, and tungsten [1][6][7] - The Apollo system is part of the flagship Guayabales Project in Caldas, Colombia, which is characterized by multiple targets and rich infrastructure [1][15] Exploration and Drilling Activities - The company has completed 153,000 metres of diamond drilling across its Guayabales and San Antonio projects, with 106,500 metres specifically at Apollo [2] - An aggressive drilling program is planned for 2026, targeting up to 100,000 metres of additional drilling, supported by US$135 million in cash as of December 1, 2025 [3][2] New Discoveries - The discovery of the Hanging Wall Vein Zone during directional drilling has revealed thick zones of gold-rich sheeted veinlets, which have the potential to significantly increase the overall mineral inventory of the Apollo system [4][6] - The Hanging Wall Vein Zone has expanded the mineralized footprint of Apollo, increasing the northeast strike length by 43% to approximately 1,050 metres [7] Notable Assay Results - Significant intercepts from the Hanging Wall Vein Zone include 61.30 metres at 1.78 g/t gold equivalent and 130.40 metres at 1.15 g/t gold equivalent [6][12] - The Northern Expansion Zone has also shown notable results, including 91.15 metres at 2.31 g/t gold equivalent and 120.35 metres at 1.35 g/t gold equivalent [9][12] Future Plans - The company plans to initiate a follow-up drilling campaign targeting the Hanging Wall Vein Zone in early Q1 2026 to further delineate this new discovery [8] - The management is optimistic about the potential for significant resource expansion at Apollo, with targeted drilling planned for the newly discovered zones [4][8]

Core Insights - B2Gold (BTG) shares encountered significant resistance at $6 in mid-October and are currently trading at approximately $4.5, indicating a substantial decline in value [1] Company Performance - The recent drop in B2Gold's share price has erased nearly all capital gains that investors had previously realized [1] Market Context - The current trading price of B2Gold reflects a notable decrease from its mid-October resistance level, suggesting potential volatility in the stock [1]

Group 1 - Gold futures opened at $4,228.10 per troy ounce, down 0.4% from the previous closing price of $4,243 [1] - Analysts expect a quarter-point rate reduction from the U.S. central bank, with a 89.6% probability that the target rate will be lowered to a range of 3.50% to 3.75% [1][2] - The last PCE inflation report indicated a rise in prices by 2.8% in September, up from 2.6% in June and July, raising concerns about reducing rates while inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target [2] Group 2 - The price of gold has shown significant gains, with a one-year increase of 63.4% [4] - Gold futures prices have increased by 0.2% over the past week, 6.2% over the past month, and 61.4% over the past year [9] - Lower interest rates make gold more attractive compared to cash yields, potentially increasing demand for gold [3] Group 3 - Factors influencing gold prices include geopolitical events, central bank buying trends, inflation, interest rates, and mining production [13]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have shown stability as investors anticipate a Federal Reserve rate decision, with expectations of a quarter-point rate cut, which could influence gold demand due to lower cash yields [2][3]. Gold Price Trends - The opening price of gold futures on Tuesday was $4,219.60 per troy ounce, slightly up from Monday's closing price of $4,217.70 [1]. - Over the past week, gold prices have decreased by 0.3%, increased by 6% over the past month, and risen by 60.3% year-over-year [7]. Federal Reserve Influence - The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting will include a Summary of Economic Projections, which will provide insights into GDP growth, unemployment, inflation, and interest rates, with Chair Jerome Powell expected to comment on the interest-rate outlook for 2026 [2][3]. Market Dynamics - Analysts predict two quarter-point rate cuts in 2026, potentially lowering the federal funds target range to 3% to 3.25%, which may increase gold demand as falling interest rates reduce cash yields [3]. Investment Considerations - Gold is viewed as a stabilizer in a diversified portfolio rather than a driver of high returns, with appropriate expectations and allocation being crucial to limit pricing risk [10]. - Investors are advised to consider gold investments as speculative due to the unpredictable nature of commodity prices influenced by various macroeconomic and political factors [11].