Core Insights - Volume growth has accelerated in the latest quarter, indicating robust payment activity [1] Group 1 - The increase in volume growth suggests a positive trend in payment processing [1]

Visa, Inc. (NYSE:V) released its fourth-quarter earnings report after Tuesday's closing bell.Here's a look at the key figures from the quarter. V stock is moving. See the real-time price action here.The Details: Visa reported quarterly earnings of $2.98 per share which beat the analyst estimate of $2.97. Quarterly revenue came in at $10.72 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $10.61 billion and was up from revenue of $9.61 billion from the same period last year.Read Next: Amazon To Cut Up To ...

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is reaching record highs, with the S&P 500 up 0.4%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 265 points (0.6%), and the Nasdaq composite up 1% [1] - The bond market is experiencing modest movements as investors await key events, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement and earnings reports from major companies [2] Company Performance - United Parcel Service (UPS) shares increased by 7.5% after reporting stronger-than-expected profit and revenue, along with a positive forecast for the holiday shipping season [3] - PayPal's stock rose 6.9% following a better-than-expected profit report and the announcement of a quarterly dividend for shareholders, as well as a new payment deal with OpenAI's ChatGPT [4] - Skyworks Solutions saw an 8.1% increase in stock price after announcing a merger with Qorvo in a cash-and-stock deal valued at $22 billion, with Skyworks shareholders set to own approximately 63% of the combined entity [4] - Royal Caribbean's stock fell 8.7% despite reporting stronger profits, as revenue fell short of expectations due to bad weather and the temporary closure of a destination [5] - D.R. Horton experienced a 3.3% decline in stock price after reporting weaker-than-expected profits, citing challenges for homebuyers and cautious consumer sentiment [6] - Amazon's stock rose 1.5% after announcing a reduction of about 14,000 corporate jobs (approximately 4% of its workforce) to increase spending on artificial intelligence while cutting costs [7] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a third interest rate cut at its final meeting of the year, which is crucial for the stock market that has rallied on these expectations [8] - Fed officials have indicated a potential continuation of rate cuts into next year, although they may need to adjust if inflation rises significantly [9] - The yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 3.98% from 4.01% [9] International Markets - International stock markets showed mixed results, with Japan's Nikkei 225 down 0.6% and South Korea's Kospi down 0.8% [10] Commodity Market - Gold prices have struggled after reaching nearly $4,400 per ounce last week, now dropping below $4,000 per ounce, with a year-to-date gain of approximately 50% [11]

Market Overview - The market is experiencing a resilient rally, with the S&P index closing above 6,800 and potentially reaching 6,900 soon [2][4] - There is a prevailing optimism regarding earnings, with expectations for a strong earnings season, particularly from major companies like Visa and Mastercard [4][5] Investor Sentiment - Investors are currently not expressing near-term negative views, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [3] - Concerns about potential issues, such as job data, are present but not significantly impacting market confidence [4][6] Economic Factors - The fiscal backdrop is supportive of growth, with expectations for lower rates, which is seen as a tailwind for the market [6] - The current liquidity and benign inflation are contributing to a positive market environment, although there is a recognition that this could change in the new year [7] Market Dynamics - There is a sense that market enthusiasm is being driven by fundamentals, particularly profits that continue to surprise on the upside [9] - Despite some investors being cautious and questioning if certain sectors are in a bubble, this has not translated into a significant shift in capital allocation [8][9]

Core Argument - Apple is seeking to dismiss a racketeering lawsuit from Fintiv, which accuses Apple of stealing technology for its mobile wallet, Apple Pay [1][3]. Group 1: Lawsuit Details - Fintiv claims that Apple misappropriated technology for Apple Pay that it had previously sought to license from CorFire, a company acquired by Fintiv in 2014 [2]. - The lawsuit alleges that Apple generated fees for major credit card issuers and payment networks through Apple Pay, which is widely used across various Apple devices [3]. Group 2: Apple's Response - Apple argues that Fintiv delayed pursuing its claims, having been aware of the relevant facts since 2014, and contends that Fintiv has not demonstrated a pattern of racketeering [3]. - In the event the case is not dismissed, Apple requests that it be transferred to U.S. District Judge Alan Albright in Texas, who has extensive experience with the underlying dispute [4]. Group 3: Judge's Background - Judge Albright previously oversaw a significant portion of U.S. patent cases and is considered a favorable judge for plaintiffs in technology-related lawsuits [5].

Core Viewpoint - Jack Henry (JKHY) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the actual results being crucial for its near-term stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on November 4, with a consensus estimate of quarterly earnings at $1.64 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +0.6%. Revenues are projected to be $636.69 million, an increase of 5.9% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.87%, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Jack Henry is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -6.42%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Jack Henry exceeded the expected earnings of $1.46 per share by delivering $1.75, resulting in a surprise of +19.86%. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [13][14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, the combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 makes it challenging to predict a positive outcome for the upcoming earnings report [12][17].

Core Insights - Mastercard is expected to report earnings on October 30, 2025, with projected revenue growth of approximately 16% year-over-year to $8.54 billion and earnings growth of 11% to $4.32 per share, driven by increases in gross dollar volume and strong cross-border transactions [2] - The company has a current market capitalization of $500 billion, with revenue of $30 billion over the past twelve months, operating profits of $18 billion, and net income of $14 billion [3] Revenue Drivers - Revenue growth is anticipated to be fueled by robust global consumer spending and a recovery in international travel, particularly in Europe and Asia [2] - Mastercard's expanding suite of value-added services, such as data analytics and cybersecurity, is expected to contribute to revenue growth beyond core transaction fees [2] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, Mastercard has recorded 20 earnings data points, resulting in 10 positive and 10 negative one-day post-earnings returns, indicating a 50% occurrence of positive returns [5] - The median of positive one-day returns is 2.3%, while the median of negative returns is -1.8% [5] Correlation Analysis - A strategy based on understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be beneficial, particularly if the correlation is strong [6] - The correlation between one-day and five-day post-earnings returns can guide trading decisions, with traders potentially taking long positions if the one-day return is positive [6]

Group 1 - Global Payments is currently in the final leg of its Phase 16, with a negative outlook as it approaches Phase 17, which is considered a no-trade zone [1][9] - The stock entered Phase 4 in 2017 and traded within a Cakra structure until Phase 8, but failed to break out positively in Phase 9, leading to a bearish phase known as the Move of Pralaya [2][3] - The stock has experienced a decline of over 50% by the time it reached Phase 13, transitioning into its Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16) without showing signs of bullish momentum [5][9] Group 2 - For a Nirvana move to occur in Phase 18, the Guna Triads must exhibit Satoguna, which has been absent in Global Payments' case, ruling out any possibility of a Nirvana move [6][9] - The stock's underperformance is expected to continue until at least November 2027, with any short-term rallies likely to be temporary [9][10] - The fundamental outlook for Global Payments shifted negatively after breaking its Cakra in Phase 9, reinforcing a bearish bias due to the lack of meaningful strength during its triads [10]

Earnings Reports - United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.31 per share on revenue of $20.83 billion [2] - Waste Management Inc. (WM) posted weaker-than-expected results for Q3, leading to a 3.4% decline in shares to $206.50 [2] - Visa Inc. (V) is anticipated to report quarterly earnings of $2.97 per share on revenue of $10.61 billion [2] - Nucor Corp. (NUE) reported Q3 earnings of $2.63 per share, exceeding the analyst estimate of $2.25 per share, with revenue of $8.52 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $8.15 billion [2] - PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.20 per share on revenue of $8.23 billion [2] Stock Performance - UPS shares rose 0.7% to $89.80 in after-hours trading [2] - WM shares fell 3.4% to $206.50 in after-hours trading [2] - Visa shares increased by 0.3% to $348.80 in after-hours trading [2] - Nucor shares slipped 0.6% to $143.24 in after-hours trading [2] - PayPal shares gained 1.3% to $71.15 in after-hours trading [2]

Market Overview - US stock futures are showing positive movement, with Dow Jones Industrial Average futures up 0.3% and Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.1%, as investors anticipate record highs and a potential interest-rate cut from the Federal Reserve [1][2] - The S&P 500 index closed above 6,800 for the first time, reflecting rising optimism regarding a US-China trade deal [2] Federal Reserve Meeting - Markets are preparing for the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting, with expectations for a second consecutive interest-rate cut to be announced [3] - Investors are particularly focused on comments from Chair Jerome Powell regarding the likelihood of another rate cut in December amid a data blackout due to the US government shutdown [3] Earnings Reports - The earnings season is in full swing, with notable reports from companies such as Visa, UnitedHealth, UPS, and PayPal expected [4] - Upcoming earnings from major tech companies, including Alphabet, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft, are highly anticipated, especially Amazon's report following its announcement of cutting 14,000 jobs to reduce costs [4][12] Company Performance - UnitedHealth raised its annual profit forecast after exceeding earnings expectations, resulting in a 4% increase in its stock price during premarket trading [9] - UPS shares surged 14% in premarket trading after the company forecasted fourth-quarter revenue above Wall Street estimates [10] - Qorvo's stock rose 10% following reports of acquisition talks with Apple supplier Skyworks, while Confluent's stock increased by 11% after beating third-quarter earnings expectations [11] Job Cuts and Cost Management - Amazon announced plans to cut approximately 14,000 corporate jobs as part of its strategy to manage costs amid significant investments in AI [12]