Company Overview and Strategic Direction - Philip Morris International is a leading global producer of tobacco and nicotine products, operating in approximately 170 markets with well-known brands such as Marlboro, Parliament, IQOS, ZYN, and VEEV [2] - The company is transitioning from traditional combustible cigarettes to smoke-free alternatives, including heated tobacco devices, oral nicotine pouches, and electronic vapor products [3] Quarterly Performance Highlights - In Q2 2025, adjusted earnings per share were $1.91, exceeding the estimate of $1.86 by 2.7%, while GAAP revenue was $10.1 billion, falling short by 2.1% [1] - Smoke-free products accounted for 41% of net revenue, an increase of 2.9 percentage points year-over-year, with gross profit from these products exceeding 42% of total gross profit [4] - Shipments of smoke-free products rose by 11.8%, with net revenue in this segment increasing by 15.2% and gross profit up by 23.3% [4] Product Performance - IQOS generated over $3 billion in net revenue, holding a 76% share of the global heat-not-burn category, with sales volumes in Europe growing by 9.1% and in Japan by 7.8% [5] - ZYN pouches saw a global shipment volume increase of 26.5%, with U.S. shipments rising over 40% to 190 million cans [6] - VEEV e-vapor product volumes more than doubled, achieving top market positions in six European countries [6] Traditional Cigarette Segment - Traditional cigarette volumes declined by 1.5%, but revenue for this segment grew by 2.1% due to strong pricing [7] - Marketing, Administration, and Research Costs increased by 16.0% compared to the previous year [7] Regional Performance - Europe's organic revenue rose by 7.3%, driven by smoke-free growth, while the Americas experienced a 17% increase in organic net revenues, primarily from oral nicotine [8] - The European market faced a 1.7% decline in shipment volume, mainly due to cigarette declines in specific countries [8] Future Outlook - The company raised its full-year adjusted diluted EPS guidance to $7.43, reflecting an 11.5% to 13.5% growth from last year's adjusted EPS of $6.57 [10] - Organic net revenue growth is forecasted at 6-8%, with smoke-free product volumes expected to grow by 12-14% and cigarette volumes projected to decline by about 2% [10] - Capital expenditure guidance is set at $1.6 billion, primarily for smoke-free product scale-up, with operating cash flow expected around $11.5 billion [10]

Join for a 100% Risk-Free trial and see if our proven method can help you too. You do not need to pay for the costly lessons from the market itself.My last analysis on Altria Group, Inc. (NYSE: MO ) stock was published on June 5 in an article titled "Altria: Wall Street Missed Half Of The Equation.” The focus of theSensor Unlimited contributes to the investing group Envision Early Retirement which is led by Sensor Unlimited. They offer proven solutions to generate both high income and high growth with isola ...

Core Viewpoint - Altria is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite a decline in revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating potential impacts on its stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Altria's quarterly earnings is $1.37 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +4.6%, while revenues are projected to be $5.19 billion, down 1.7% from the previous year [3]. - A positive earnings surprise could lead to a stock price increase, while a miss could result in a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.51%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Altria is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.03%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - Altria currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, combined with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Altria exceeded the expected earnings of $1.17 per share by delivering $1.23, resulting in a surprise of +5.13% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Altria has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - Altria is positioned as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance beyond just earnings results [17].

Core Viewpoint - Philip Morris (PM) is experiencing significant selling pressure, with a 10.4% decline over the past four weeks, but is now positioned for a potential trend reversal as it enters oversold territory, supported by analyst expectations of better-than-previously predicted earnings [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key technical indicator used to identify oversold conditions, with a reading below 30 typically indicating that a stock is oversold [2]. - PM's current RSI reading is 27.52, suggesting that the heavy selling may be exhausting itself, indicating a potential bounce back towards equilibrium in supply and demand [5]. - The RSI helps investors identify entry opportunities when a stock is undervalued due to unwarranted selling pressure [3]. Group 2: Fundamental Indicators - There is a strong consensus among sell-side analysts that PM will report better earnings, leading to a 0.5% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [7]. - An upward trend in earnings estimate revisions is typically associated with price appreciation in the near term, further supporting the potential for a rebound in PM's stock price [7]. - PM holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate trends and EPS surprises, indicating a strong potential for a turnaround [8].

Philip Morris International shares sank Tuesday after the tobacco giant missed quarterly sales estimates as demand for cigarettes continued to decline. https://t.co/jxUXPWbJ2K ...

Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call July 22, 2025 9:00 AM ET Company Participants Emmanuel Babeau - Chief Financial Officer James R. Bushnell - Vice President of Investor Relations & Financial Communications Conference Call Participants Bonnie Lee Herzog - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Callum Elliott - Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., LLC., Research Division Eric Adam Serotta - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Gaurav Jain - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Gerald ...

Core Insights - Altria Group's on! nicotine pouch brand is experiencing significant growth, with shipments increasing by 18% to 39.3 million cans in Q1 2025, contrasting with declines in traditional brands [1][8] - The on! brand now holds an 8.8% share of the total oral tobacco market and a 17.9% share of the nicotine pouch segment, despite rising competition [2][8] - Helix, the manufacturer of on!, has successfully increased brand awareness to over 60% through its "It's On!" campaign, enhancing consumer loyalty [3][8] Market Performance - Philip Morris International's ZYN brand leads the nicotine pouch category, shipping over 200 million cans in Q1 2025, a 63% increase year over year, maintaining over 70% of category value [5] - Turning Point Brands reported a nearly tenfold increase in modern oral revenues to $22.3 million in Q1 2025, raising its full-year nicotine pouch sales forecast to $80-$95 million [6] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Altria's shares have declined by 2.6% in the past month, while the industry saw a smaller decline of 0.8% [7] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for Altria is 10.8X, lower than the industry's average of 15.21X [10] - Zacks Consensus Estimates indicate year-over-year earnings growth of 4.9% for 2025 and 3.1% for 2026 [11]

Jacek Olczak, Philip Morris International CEO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss q2 earnings and smoke-free products. ...

Core Insights - Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with both net sales and earnings increasing year over year, although net sales missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate while earnings exceeded it [1][10] - The company has raised its full-year guidance reflecting robust momentum across regions and product categories, particularly in smoke-free products like IQOS and ZYN [1][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the second quarter were $1.91, a 20.1% increase year over year, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.85 [2][10] - Net revenues reached $10,140 million, a 7.1% increase on a reported basis and 6.8% on an organic basis, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10,255 million [3][10] - Adjusted operating income rose 16.1% to $4,246 million, driven by improved pricing and positive volume/mix, despite increased costs in marketing and administration [6][10] Product Performance - Revenues from smoke-free products increased 15.2%, accounting for 41% of total revenues, with strong performance in both IQOS and ZYN [5][10] - Net revenues from combustible products grew 2.1% year over year, supported by strong pricing despite expected volume declines [4][10] Regional Performance - European region net revenues grew 8.7% to $4,234 million, driven by positive pricing and volume mix, although total shipment volumes decreased [8][10] - In the Americas, revenues rose 12.7% to $1,272 million, primarily due to nicotine pouch sales, with total shipment volumes increasing [11][10] - The SSEA, CIS & MEA regions saw net revenues increase by 5.6% to $2,926 million, while the EA, AU & PMI GTR regions grew 2.1% to $1,708 million [8][9] Future Outlook - For 2025, adjusted EPS is now projected in the range of $7.43-$7.56, indicating 13-15% growth, up from the previous range of $7.36-$7.49 [13][10] - PM expects net revenues to increase 6-8% on an organic basis and operating income to rise 11-12.5% [15][10] - The company anticipates operating cash flow exceeding $11.5 billion in 2025, with capital expenditures around $1.6 billion to support smoke-free business investments [15][10]

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